Macroeconomist Lyn Alden Predicts Bitcoin Will Finish 2025 Above Its Current Price of $85,000

Macroeconomist Lyn Alden believes Bitcoin will finish 2025 above its current price of $85,00, but says that the U.S. government's recent tariff actions have muted what could have been a more bullish trajectory.

Macroeconomist Lyn Alden predicts Bitcoin will finish 2025 above its current price, but recent U.S. government tariff actions have dampened what could have been a more bullish outlook, Bloomberg reports.

Speaking on the April 17 episode of Coin Stories, Alden cited President Donald Trump’s February tariff announcement as a key factor holding back Bitcoin’s upside potential this year.

“Before all this tariff kerfuffle, I would have had a higher price target,” Alden said, adding that her guess is they end up “higher at the end of the year than we are now, at least.”

Alden explained that a “massive liquidity unlock”—such as the U.S. Federal Reserve stepping in with quantitative easing or implementing yield curve control—could help Bitcoin approach more optimistic price levels. However, recent economic uncertainty and the threat of tariffs have dimmed that prospect.

“If we see the Fed get more involved in propping up the financial markets, and in particular if we see, like, a five-year period of poor stock market returns in the U.S., but good global liquidity, then I think Bitcoin could do okay in that scenario.”

She added that if they encounter a five-year period like the pre-2008 financial crisis, where U.S. equities struggle but global liquidity remains strong, then Bitcoin could benefit.

“If we encounter a five-year period like that again, that could be a period where Bitcoin does pretty well, even as the U.S. stock market doesn't do particularly well.”

Bitcoin’s 24/7 trading cuts both ways

Alden highlighted that Bitcoin’s always-on nature makes it more sensitive to market volatility compared to traditional financial assets. When traditional markets show signs of stress, Bitcoin often reacts ahead of the Monday open.

“Some pools of capital can sell their Bitcoin on a Sunday and prepare for an open on Monday that is going to pour over into Monday’s price action in the U.S. markets.”

However, she believes Bitcoin could break away from traditional market indexes like the Nasdaq 100, especially in macroeconomic scenarios where U.S. equities face difficulties but global liquidity remains strong.

In her prior research, Alden described Bitcoin as a “Global Liquidity Barometer,” showcasing that it tracks the global M2 money supply direction 83% of the time on a 12-month basis. This positions Bitcoin above other assets like gold or U.S. stocks in terms of its correlation to global liquidity trends.

At press time, Bitcoin was trading around $84,950, according to CoinMarketCap.

Recently, we wrote that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) logged a second straight day of net inflows on Tuesday, signaling a potential shift in institutional sentiment.

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