宏觀經濟學家林恩·奧爾登（Lyn Alden）預測，比特幣將比目前的價格超過$ 85,000的2025

宏觀經濟學家林恩·奧爾登（Lyn Alden）認為，比特幣將在目前的85,00美元的價格上漲2025年，但表示美國政府最近的關稅行動使可能更持久的軌跡陷入困境。

Macroeconomist Lyn Alden predicts Bitcoin will finish 2025 above its current price, but recent U.S. government tariff actions have dampened what could have been a more bullish outlook, Bloomberg reports.

宏觀經濟學家林恩·奧爾登（Lyn Alden）預測，比特幣將比目前的價格高2025，但最近美國政府的關稅行動削弱了本來可以看出的前景。

Speaking on the April 17 episode of Coin Stories, Alden cited President Donald Trump’s February tariff announcement as a key factor holding back Bitcoin’s upside potential this year.

奧爾登（Alden）在4月17日的《硬幣故事》（Coin Stories）發表的劇集中說，唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的2月份關稅公告是阻礙比特幣今年的上升潛力的關鍵因素。

“Before all this tariff kerfuffle, I would have had a higher price target,” Alden said, adding that her guess is they end up “higher at the end of the year than we are now, at least.”

奧爾登說：“在所有這些關稅kerfuffle之前，我的目標價值更高。”她補充說，她的猜測是，至少至少比我們現在，他們最終“在年底上都要高”。

Alden explained that a “massive liquidity unlock”—such as the U.S. Federal Reserve stepping in with quantitative easing or implementing yield curve control—could help Bitcoin approach more optimistic price levels. However, recent economic uncertainty and the threat of tariffs have dimmed that prospect.

奧爾登（Alden）解釋說，“大規模的流動性解鎖”（例如，美國美聯儲介入定量寬鬆或實施收益曲線的控制）可能會幫助比特幣方法更樂觀的價格水平。但是，最近的經濟不確定性和關稅威脅使這一前景黯淡。

“If we see the Fed get more involved in propping up the financial markets, and in particular if we see, like, a five-year period of poor stock market returns in the U.S., but good global liquidity, then I think Bitcoin could do okay in that scenario.”

“如果我們看到美聯儲更多地參與了支撐金融市場的參與，尤其是在美國看到五年的股票市場回報率五年，但是全球流動性良好，那麼我認為在這種情況下，比特幣可以做得很好。”

She added that if they encounter a five-year period like the pre-2008 financial crisis, where U.S. equities struggle but global liquidity remains strong, then Bitcoin could benefit.

她補充說，如果他們遇到了像2008年前的金融危機這樣的五年時期，美國股票的掙扎，但全球流動性仍然強大，那麼比特幣就可以受益。

“If we encounter a five-year period like that again, that could be a period where Bitcoin does pretty well, even as the U.S. stock market doesn't do particularly well.”

“如果我們又遇到了這樣的五年時期，那可能是比特幣表現良好的時期，即使美國股票市場的表現不佳。”

Bitcoin’s 24/7 trading cuts both ways

比特幣的24/7交易兩種削減

Alden highlighted that Bitcoin’s always-on nature makes it more sensitive to market volatility compared to traditional financial assets. When traditional markets show signs of stress, Bitcoin often reacts ahead of the Monday open.

奧爾登（Alden）強調，比特幣始終在持續的性質使其對市場波動更加敏感，而不是傳統的金融資產。當傳統市場表現出壓力的跡象時，比特幣通常在周一開放之前做出反應。

“Some pools of capital can sell their Bitcoin on a Sunday and prepare for an open on Monday that is going to pour over into Monday’s price action in the U.S. markets.”

“一些資本池可以在周日出售其比特幣，並準備在周一開放，這將湧入美國市場的周一價格行動。”

However, she believes Bitcoin could break away from traditional market indexes like the Nasdaq 100, especially in macroeconomic scenarios where U.S. equities face difficulties but global liquidity remains strong.

但是，她認為比特幣可能會脫離納斯達克100（Nasdaq 100）等傳統市場指數，尤其是在美國股票面臨困難但全球流動性的宏觀經濟方案中。

In her prior research, Alden described Bitcoin as a “Global Liquidity Barometer,” showcasing that it tracks the global M2 money supply direction 83% of the time on a 12-month basis. This positions Bitcoin above other assets like gold or U.S. stocks in terms of its correlation to global liquidity trends.

奧爾登（Alden）在先前的研究中將比特幣描述為“全球流動性晴雨表”，表明它在12個月的時間內追踪了全球M2貨幣供應方向的83％。就其與全球流動性趨勢的相關性而言，這將比特幣置於其他資產之上。

At press time, Bitcoin was trading around $84,950, according to CoinMarketCap.

根據CoinMarketCap的數據，在發稿時，比特幣的交易約為84,950美元。

Recently, we wrote that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) logged a second straight day of net inflows on Tuesday, signaling a potential shift in institutional sentiment.

最近，我們寫道，現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）在周二連續第二天記錄了第二天的淨流入，這表明機構情緒可能發生了潛在的轉變。

The post Macroeconomist predicts Bitcoin will finish 2025 higher despite tariff impact appeared first on Chain News.

宏觀經濟學家預測，儘管關稅影響在連鎖新聞上出現，但比特幣將更高2025。