Cardano, Bull Run, and Analysts: Will ADA Hit $1?

Analysts are eyeing Cardano's potential bull run, comparing it to its 2021 surge. Will ADA break the $1 barrier, or will another crypto project reach '1' first?

Cardano (ADA) is once again capturing the spotlight as analysts weigh in on its potential for a bull run. Will it mirror its 2021 breakout, or will it face strong resistance?

Cardano's Chart Echoes 2021: Analyst Ali Martinez's Perspective

Analyst Ali Martinez draws parallels between Cardano's current chart and its impressive 2021 surge, where ADA skyrocketed from under $1 to an all-time high of $3.10 within months. Martinez suggests that the current consolidation pattern resembles the pre-rally phase of 2021, hinting at a potential repeat if ADA maintains its position above critical support levels.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

At the time of writing, ADA is trading near $0.87, navigating within an upward channel with support around $0.83–$0.84. Trader Joe Swanson emphasizes the $0.88–$0.90 range as crucial support, suggesting that holding this level could pave the way for a move towards $1+. Conversely, losing this support could lead to a retest of $0.75–$0.70. Analyst Sssebi also identifies $0.83–$0.84 as a reliable support zone, aligning with the lower boundary of ADA's ascending channel.

Technical Indicators: A Neutral Stance

Cardano's technical structure presents a cautiously optimistic picture. ADA is trading above its 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), signaling sustained buyer control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 51, indicating a balanced market neither overbought nor under significant selling pressure. This neutral RSI reading mirrors ADA's pre-rally state in 2021.

Whale Accumulation vs. Retail Apathy

On-chain data from Santiment reveals that large ADA holders (whales) have been steadily increasing their balances, mirroring the accumulation pattern observed before the 2021 rally. However, retail participation remains subdued, with daily active addresses significantly lower than the peak of the last bull cycle. DeFi activity is also modest, indicating limited liquidity compared to other major platforms.

External Factors: ETF Filing and Fed Policy

Bitcoin's strong performance bolsters ADA's bullish outlook, as ADA has historically followed Bitcoin's lead during major cycles. Macroeconomic conditions, however, present challenges, with high interest rates potentially hindering liquidity. The potential approval of Grayscale's Cardano ETF by the SEC in October 2025 could unlock significant institutional capital flows into ADA.

The Race to $1: ADA vs. Emerging Projects

While Cardano aims to breach the $1 mark, projects like BlockchainFX ($BFX) offer alternative paths to potential returns. With its presale price set to double upon launch, BFX presents early investors with a potentially faster route to gains. Whether ADA or BFX reaches