Cardano，Bull Run和分析师：Ada会打1美元吗？

分析师正在关注卡尔达诺（Cardano）的潜在牛跑，将其与2021年的激增进行了比较。 ADA会打破1美元的障碍，还是另一个加密项目首先达到“ 1”？

Cardano (ADA) is once again capturing the spotlight as analysts weigh in on its potential for a bull run. Will it mirror its 2021 breakout, or will it face strong resistance?

Cardano（ADA）再次引起人们的关注，因为分析师重视其牛的潜力。它会反映其2021年突破，还是会面临强烈的阻力？

Cardano's Chart Echoes 2021: Analyst Ali Martinez's Perspective

Cardano的图表回声2021：分析师Ali Martinez的观点

Analyst Ali Martinez draws parallels between Cardano's current chart and its impressive 2021 surge, where ADA skyrocketed from under $1 to an all-time high of $3.10 within months. Martinez suggests that the current consolidation pattern resembles the pre-rally phase of 2021, hinting at a potential repeat if ADA maintains its position above critical support levels.

分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）在卡尔达诺（Cardano）目前的图表和其令人印象深刻的2021年潮流之间取得了相似之处，在几个月内，艾达（Ada）从1美元飙升至3.10美元。马丁内斯（Martinez）认为，当前的合并模式类似于2021年的拉力赛前阶段，如果ADA将其位置保持在关键支持水平上方，则可能重复出现潜在的重复。

Key Support and Resistance Levels

关键支持和阻力水平

At the time of writing, ADA is trading near $0.87, navigating within an upward channel with support around $0.83–$0.84. Trader Joe Swanson emphasizes the $0.88–$0.90 range as crucial support, suggesting that holding this level could pave the way for a move towards $1+. Conversely, losing this support could lead to a retest of $0.75–$0.70. Analyst Sssebi also identifies $0.83–$0.84 as a reliable support zone, aligning with the lower boundary of ADA's ascending channel.

在撰写本文时，ADA的交易价格接近0.87美元，在一个向上的渠道中航行，支持约为0.83-0.84美元。交易者乔·斯旺森（Joe Swanson）强调了$ 0.88– $ 0.90的范围，这是至关重要的支持，这表明保持这一水平可能为迈向$ 1+的道路铺平了道路。相反，失去这种支持可能会导致重新估价0.75-0.70美元。分析师SSEBI还将$ 0.83– $ 0.84确定为一个可靠的支撑区，与ADA升级渠道的下边界保持一致。

Technical Indicators: A Neutral Stance

技术指标：中立立场

Cardano's technical structure presents a cautiously optimistic picture. ADA is trading above its 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), signaling sustained buyer control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 51, indicating a balanced market neither overbought nor under significant selling pressure. This neutral RSI reading mirrors ADA's pre-rally state in 2021.

Cardano的技术结构表现出了谨慎的乐观图片。 ADA的交易高于其20、50、100和200天的指数移动平均值（EMAS），这是信号持续的买方控制。相对强度指数（RSI）徘徊在51左右，表明市场既没有过多，也没有承受巨大的销售压力。这种中性的RSI阅读反映了ADA在2021年的领先状态。

Whale Accumulation vs. Retail Apathy

鲸鱼的积累与零售冷漠

On-chain data from Santiment reveals that large ADA holders (whales) have been steadily increasing their balances, mirroring the accumulation pattern observed before the 2021 rally. However, retail participation remains subdued, with daily active addresses significantly lower than the peak of the last bull cycle. DeFi activity is also modest, indicating limited liquidity compared to other major platforms.

来自Santiment的链上数据表明，大型ADA持有人（鲸鱼）一直在稳步提高其平衡，反映了在2021年拉力赛之前观察到的积累模式。但是，零售参与仍然柔和，每天的活动地址明显低于上一个牛周期的峰值。 DEFI活动也适中，表明与其他主要平台相比，流动性有限。

External Factors: ETF Filing and Fed Policy

外部因素：ETF申请和美联储政策

Bitcoin's strong performance bolsters ADA's bullish outlook, as ADA has historically followed Bitcoin's lead during major cycles. Macroeconomic conditions, however, present challenges, with high interest rates potentially hindering liquidity. The potential approval of Grayscale's Cardano ETF by the SEC in October 2025 could unlock significant institutional capital flows into ADA.

比特币的出色表现炮弹艾达（Ada）的看涨前景，因为艾达（Ada）历史上一直遵循比特币在大周期中的领先优势。然而，宏观经济状况出现了挑战，高利率可能会阻碍流动性。 SEC在2025年10月获得灰度表的Cardano ETF的潜在认可可能会将大量的机构资本流动到ADA中。

The Race to $1: ADA vs. Emerging Projects

$ 1的竞赛：ADA与新兴项目

While Cardano aims to breach the $1 mark, projects like BlockchainFX ($BFX) offer alternative paths to potential returns. With its presale price set to double upon launch, BFX presents early investors with a potentially faster route to gains. Whether ADA or BFX reaches

卡尔达诺（Cardano）的目标是违反$ 1大关，但像BlockChainFX（$ bfx）这样的项目为潜在回报提供了替代途径。 BFX在推出后的预售价格将增加一倍，为早期投资者提供了潜在的提高速度。 ADA或BFX是否达到