Cardano，Bull Run和分析師：Ada會打1美元嗎？

分析師正在關注卡爾達諾（Cardano）的潛在牛跑，將其與2021年的激增進行了比較。 ADA會打破1美元的障礙，還是另一個加密項目首先達到“ 1”？

Cardano (ADA) is once again capturing the spotlight as analysts weigh in on its potential for a bull run. Will it mirror its 2021 breakout, or will it face strong resistance?

Cardano（ADA）再次引起人們的關注，因為分析師重視其牛的潛力。它會反映其2021年突破，還是會面臨強烈的阻力？

Cardano's Chart Echoes 2021: Analyst Ali Martinez's Perspective

Cardano的圖表迴聲2021：分析師Ali Martinez的觀點

Analyst Ali Martinez draws parallels between Cardano's current chart and its impressive 2021 surge, where ADA skyrocketed from under $1 to an all-time high of $3.10 within months. Martinez suggests that the current consolidation pattern resembles the pre-rally phase of 2021, hinting at a potential repeat if ADA maintains its position above critical support levels.

分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）在卡爾達諾（Cardano）目前的圖表和其令人印象深刻的2021年潮流之間取得了相似之處，在幾個月內，艾達（Ada）從1美元飆升至3.10美元。馬丁內斯（Martinez）認為，當前的合併模式類似於2021年的拉力賽前階段，如果ADA將其位置保持在關鍵支持水平上方，則可能重複出現潛在的重複。

Key Support and Resistance Levels

關鍵支持和阻力水平

At the time of writing, ADA is trading near $0.87, navigating within an upward channel with support around $0.83–$0.84. Trader Joe Swanson emphasizes the $0.88–$0.90 range as crucial support, suggesting that holding this level could pave the way for a move towards $1+. Conversely, losing this support could lead to a retest of $0.75–$0.70. Analyst Sssebi also identifies $0.83–$0.84 as a reliable support zone, aligning with the lower boundary of ADA's ascending channel.

在撰寫本文時，ADA的交易價格接近0.87美元，在一個向上的渠道中航行，支持約為0.83-0.84美元。交易者喬·斯旺森（Joe Swanson）強調了$ 0.88– $ 0.90的範圍，這是至關重要的支持，這表明保持這一水平可能為邁向$ 1+的道路鋪平了道路。相反，失去這種支持可能會導致重新估價0.75-0.70美元。分析師SSEBI還將$ 0.83– $ 0.84確定為一個可靠的支撐區，與ADA升級渠道的下邊界保持一致。

Technical Indicators: A Neutral Stance

技術指標：中立立場

Cardano's technical structure presents a cautiously optimistic picture. ADA is trading above its 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), signaling sustained buyer control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 51, indicating a balanced market neither overbought nor under significant selling pressure. This neutral RSI reading mirrors ADA's pre-rally state in 2021.

Cardano的技術結構表現出了謹慎的樂觀圖片。 ADA的交易高於其20、50、100和200天的指數移動平均值（EMAS），這是信號持續的買方控制。相對強度指數（RSI）徘徊在51左右，表明市場既沒有過多，也沒有承受巨大的銷售壓力。這種中性的RSI閱讀反映了ADA在2021年的領先狀態。

Whale Accumulation vs. Retail Apathy

鯨魚的積累與零售冷漠

On-chain data from Santiment reveals that large ADA holders (whales) have been steadily increasing their balances, mirroring the accumulation pattern observed before the 2021 rally. However, retail participation remains subdued, with daily active addresses significantly lower than the peak of the last bull cycle. DeFi activity is also modest, indicating limited liquidity compared to other major platforms.

來自Santiment的鏈上數據表明，大型ADA持有人（鯨魚）一直在穩步提高其平衡，反映了在2021年拉力賽之前觀察到的積累模式。但是，零售參與仍然柔和，每天的活動地址明顯低於上一個牛週期的峰值。 DEFI活動也適中，表明與其他主要平台相比，流動性有限。

External Factors: ETF Filing and Fed Policy

外部因素：ETF申請和美聯儲政策

Bitcoin's strong performance bolsters ADA's bullish outlook, as ADA has historically followed Bitcoin's lead during major cycles. Macroeconomic conditions, however, present challenges, with high interest rates potentially hindering liquidity. The potential approval of Grayscale's Cardano ETF by the SEC in October 2025 could unlock significant institutional capital flows into ADA.

比特幣的出色表現砲彈艾達（Ada）的看漲前景，因為艾達（Ada）歷史上一直遵循比特幣在大周期中的領先優勢。然而，宏觀經濟狀況出現了挑戰，高利率可能會阻礙流動性。 SEC在2025年10月獲得灰度表的Cardano ETF的潛在認可可能會將大量的機構資本流動到ADA中。

The Race to $1: ADA vs. Emerging Projects

$ 1的競賽：ADA與新興項目

While Cardano aims to breach the $1 mark, projects like BlockchainFX ($BFX) offer alternative paths to potential returns. With its presale price set to double upon launch, BFX presents early investors with a potentially faster route to gains. Whether ADA or BFX reaches

卡爾達諾（Cardano）的目標是違反$ 1大關，但像BlockChainFX（$ bfx）這樣的項目為潛在回報提供了替代途徑。 BFX在推出後的預售價格將增加一倍，為早期投資者提供了潛在的提高速度。 ADA或BFX是否達到