Cryptocurrency analytics platform Alphractal has issued its latest market assessment, highlighting that despite rising investor hopes, altcoin season has not yet arrived.

Cryptocurrency analytics platform Alphractal has issued its latest market assessment, noting that while investor hopes are high for an altcoin season, it has yet to arrive.
According to the platform’s own Altcoin Seasonality Index, the crypto market remains firmly in “Bitcoin season.”
Only Newcomers Outperforming BTC
Alphractal’s data shows that only a handful of altcoins—mainly new market entrants—have managed to outperform Bitcoin over the last 60 days. Meanwhile, well-established altcoins are lagging behind, offering little reason for capital to shift away from Bitcoin.
A visual breakdown via the Bitcoin vs. Altcoin Position Index shows the current trends in dominance. Orange zones on the chart indicate Bitcoin’s control over the market, while blue zones suggest a shift toward altcoins. Neutral, signal-free zones, on the other hand, advise that the best course of action might be to avoid both sides for the moment.
Despite the current Bitcoin dominance, Alphractal highlights that market signals are beginning to shift, and an official altcoin season could arrive in the coming days. Historically, altcoins have thrived best when Bitcoin moves sideways or experiences a short-term downturn, allowing capital to move into riskier assets.
For now, however, Bitcoin reigns supreme, and traders eagerly awaiting an altcoin breakout will need to remain patient—until the season truly changes.
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