Bitcoin Cycle Top and Where BTC Is Headed After $104,000

Bitcoin price crossed the $100,000 milestone on Wednesday, hitting a new all-time high at $104,088 on December 5. As BTC price rallied to a new high, traders shifted their focus to altcoins, seeking higher returns.

Crypto traders’ enthusiasm was rewarded with significant capital inflows to Spot Bitcoin ETFs and an increase in BTC options trade volume. However, as Bitcoin price rallied, altcoins also saw a surge in buying interest.

According to data from Coinglass, over $135 million in shorts were liquidated in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin’s rally to $104,000 has added nearly 12% in open interest and 125% in options trading volume.

Traders are rotating capital to altcoins, XRP and Solana (SOL) based meme coins and artificial intelligence tokens. XRP attempts to dethrone USD Tether (USDT) as the third largest cryptocurrency.

With Bitcoin dominance rising and XRP ranking third, traders are rotating capital into altcoins. After Bitcoin price rallied to $100,000, traders shifted their focus to altcoins, expecting higher returns.

However, capital rotation is likely as altcoin season is in play, and traders should be watching for the top cycle for altcoins this season.

According to Blockchain.centre’s altcoin season index, alts could continue outperforming BTC, as they did in the past 90 days. The index helps identify whether the altcoins in the top 100 cryptocurrencies ranked by market cap are yielding gains or lagging behind when compared to Bitcoin.

While most altcoins in the top 50 rallied alongside Bitcoin this week, the top five tokens to watch are Render, Sui, Pepe, Hyperliquid and Ondo.

Render rallied close to its March 2024 peak at $11.7613. A 35% rally from the current price could push RNDR to test resistance at $13.6330.

Technical indicators, relative strength index and moving average convergence/ divergence support the thesis of price gain in RNDR. The 161.80% Fibonacci retracement of RNDR’s rally sets $16.9517 as the cycle top and price discovery target this cycle.

SUI is nearly 20% away from its psychologically important $5 target. Sui token trades at $4.1588 on December 5, rallying alongside Bitcoin. RSI has crossed above 70, typically this would generate a sell-signal for traders however MACD could see a crossover of the MACD line above the signal line, a bullish sign for SUI.

PEPE is gearing to test its November 2024 peak of $0.00002597, nearly 17% above the current price level. RSI is sloping upwards and under the 70 level, meaning PEPE is not in the overvalued zone yet. PEPE could enter price discovery once it breaks past its November peak, the $0.00003348 is the price discovery target for PEPE. The target coincides with the 141.40% Fibonacci retracement of the November price rally.

HYPE hit a new all-time high at $0.12875 on Thursday. The token could rally to the psychologically important $0.15000 level, nearly 22% above the current price. A successful break of this level could bring the $0.17689 target into play, this represents the 141.40% Fibonacci retracement of HYPE’s rally to its new all-time high. Technical indicators support a thesis of gain in HYPE price.

ONDO trades at $1.74214 at the time of writing. The token is 12% away from its all-time high of $1.95063. RSI is sloping upward and shows that ONDO is currently overvalued at 86. While typically it is considered a sell signal for the token, MACD flashes green histogram bars above the neutral line, signaling underlying positive momentum in ONDO price.

Ethereum is on an upward trend. The altcoin could target its previous all-time high at $4,878 if the altcoin sustains its upward momentum.

ETH price needs to break above the psychologically important $4,000 level to target the previous all-time high and enter price discovery this cycle. With upcoming ecosystem developments and higher utility and adoption with layer 2 and layer 3 chains, Ethereum gears for further gains.

The RSI is sloping upwards, crossing