比特币周期顶部以及 104,000 美元后 BTC 的走向

Bitcoin price crossed the $100,000 milestone on Wednesday, hitting a new all-time high at $104,088 on December 5. As BTC price rallied to a new high, traders shifted their focus to altcoins, seeking higher returns.

周三，比特币价格突破 100,000 美元里程碑，并于 12 月 5 日创下历史新高，达到 104,088 美元。随着 BTC 价格上涨至新高，交易者将注意力转向山寨币，寻求更高的回报。

Crypto traders’ enthusiasm was rewarded with significant capital inflows to Spot Bitcoin ETFs and an increase in BTC options trade volume. However, as Bitcoin price rallied, altcoins also saw a surge in buying interest.

加密货币交易者的热情得到了大量资本流入现货比特币 ETF 和比特币期权交易量增加的回报。然而，随着比特币价格上涨，山寨币的购买兴趣也激增。

According to data from Coinglass, over $135 million in shorts were liquidated in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin’s rally to $104,000 has added nearly 12% in open interest and 125% in options trading volume.

根据 Coinglass 的数据，过去 24 小时内清算了超过 1.35 亿美元的空头。比特币涨至 104,000 美元，未平仓合约增加了近 12%，期权交易量增加了 125%。

Traders are rotating capital to altcoins, XRP and Solana (SOL) based meme coins and artificial intelligence tokens. XRP attempts to dethrone USD Tether (USDT) as the third largest cryptocurrency.

交易者正在将资金转向山寨币、XRP 和基于 Solana (SOL) 的模因币和人工智能代币。 XRP 试图取代 USD Tether（USDT）成为第三大加密货币。

With Bitcoin dominance rising and XRP ranking third, traders are rotating capital into altcoins. After Bitcoin price rallied to $100,000, traders shifted their focus to altcoins, expecting higher returns.

随着比特币主导地位的上升和 XRP 排名第三，交易者正在将资金转向山寨币。比特币价格上涨至 10 万美元后，交易者将注意力转向山寨币，期望获得更高的回报。

However, capital rotation is likely as altcoin season is in play, and traders should be watching for the top cycle for altcoins this season.

然而，随着山寨币季节的到来，资本可能会轮换，交易者应该关注本季节山寨币的最高周期。

According to Blockchain.centre’s altcoin season index, alts could continue outperforming BTC, as they did in the past 90 days. The index helps identify whether the altcoins in the top 100 cryptocurrencies ranked by market cap are yielding gains or lagging behind when compared to Bitcoin.

根据 Blockchain.centre 的山寨币季节指数，山寨币的表现可能会继续优于 BTC，就像过去 90 天一样。该指数有助于确定市值排名前 100 名的加密货币中的山寨币与比特币相比是否正在产生收益或落后。

While most altcoins in the top 50 rallied alongside Bitcoin this week, the top five tokens to watch are Render, Sui, Pepe, Hyperliquid and Ondo.

虽然本周前 50 名中的大多数山寨币与比特币一起上涨，但值得关注的前 5 名代币是 Render、Sui、Pepe、Hyperliquid 和 Ondo。

Render rallied close to its March 2024 peak at $11.7613. A 35% rally from the current price could push RNDR to test resistance at $13.6330.

Render 价格上涨至接近 2024 年 3 月的峰值 11.7613 美元。从当前价​​格上涨 35% 可能会推动 RNDR 测试阻力位 13.6330 美元。

Technical indicators, relative strength index and moving average convergence/ divergence support the thesis of price gain in RNDR. The 161.80% Fibonacci retracement of RNDR’s rally sets $16.9517 as the cycle top and price discovery target this cycle.

技术指标、相对强弱指数和移动平均收敛/发散支持 RNDR 价格上涨的论点。 RNDR 反弹的 161.80% 斐波那契回撤位将 16.9517 美元设定为本周期的周期顶部和价格发现目标。

SUI is nearly 20% away from its psychologically important $5 target. Sui token trades at $4.1588 on December 5, rallying alongside Bitcoin. RSI has crossed above 70, typically this would generate a sell-signal for traders however MACD could see a crossover of the MACD line above the signal line, a bullish sign for SUI.

SUI 距离 5 美元的重要心理目标还有近 20%。 12 月 5 日，Sui 代币交易价格为 4.1588 美元，与比特币一起上涨。 RSI 已突破 70，通常这会为交易者产生卖出信号，但 MACD 可能会看到 MACD 线交叉到信号线上方，这是 SUI 的看涨信号。

PEPE is gearing to test its November 2024 peak of $0.00002597, nearly 17% above the current price level. RSI is sloping upwards and under the 70 level, meaning PEPE is not in the overvalued zone yet. PEPE could enter price discovery once it breaks past its November peak, the $0.00003348 is the price discovery target for PEPE. The target coincides with the 141.40% Fibonacci retracement of the November price rally.

PEPE 正准备测试 2024 年 11 月的峰值 0.00002597 美元，较当前价格水平高出近 17%。 RSI 向上倾斜并低于 70 水平，这意味着 PEPE 尚未处于高估区域。一旦突破 11 月高点，PEPE 可能进入价格发现阶段，0.00003348 美元是 PEPE 的价格发现目标。该目标与 11 月价格上涨的 141.40% 斐波那契回撤位一致。

HYPE hit a new all-time high at $0.12875 on Thursday. The token could rally to the psychologically important $0.15000 level, nearly 22% above the current price. A successful break of this level could bring the $0.17689 target into play, this represents the 141.40% Fibonacci retracement of HYPE’s rally to its new all-time high. Technical indicators support a thesis of gain in HYPE price.

HYPE 周四创下 0.12875 美元的历史新高。该代币可能会反弹至 0.15000 美元的心理重要水平，比当前价格高出近 22%。成功突破该水平可能会使 0.17689 美元的目标发挥作用，这代表 HYPE 反弹至历史新高的 141.40% 斐波那契回撤位。技术指标支持 HYPE 价格上涨的论点。

ONDO trades at $1.74214 at the time of writing. The token is 12% away from its all-time high of $1.95063. RSI is sloping upward and shows that ONDO is currently overvalued at 86. While typically it is considered a sell signal for the token, MACD flashes green histogram bars above the neutral line, signaling underlying positive momentum in ONDO price.

截至撰写本文时，ONDO 的交易价格为 1.74214 美元。该代币距离历史高点 1.95063 美元还有 12% 的差距。 RSI 向上倾斜，表明 ONDO 目前被高估为 86。虽然通常将其视为代币的卖出信号，但 MACD 在中性线上方闪烁绿色柱状图，表明 ONDO 价格存在潜在的积极势头。

Ethereum is on an upward trend. The altcoin could target its previous all-time high at $4,878 if the altcoin sustains its upward momentum.

以太坊正处于上升趋势。如果山寨币维持其上涨势头，则其先前的历史高点可能会达到 4,878 美元。

ETH price needs to break above the psychologically important $4,000 level to target the previous all-time high and enter price discovery this cycle. With upcoming ecosystem developments and higher utility and adoption with layer 2 and layer 3 chains, Ethereum gears for further gains.

ETH 价格需要突破 4,000 美元的重要心理关口，才能瞄准之前的历史高点并进入本周期的价格发现。随着即将到来的生态系统的发展以及第 2 层和第 3 层链的更高实用性和采用，以太坊准备获得进一步的收益。

The RSI is sloping upwards, crossing

RSI 向上倾斜，交叉