Solana（Sol）价格预测：新的牛市开始了吗？

在过去的几周中，数字资产市场一直充满波动，而Solana（Sol）也不例外。

The digital asset market has been subject to significant volatility in recent weeks, and Solana (SOL) has not been an exception. As its price has seen a recent setback, some indicators suggest that SOL might be gearing up for a potential bullish cycle.

在最近几周，数字资产市场一直在发生显着波动，而Solana（Sol）也不例外。由于其价格最近遇到了挫折，一些指标表明SOL可能正在为潜在的看涨周期做好准备。

Solana’s price rebounded from a session low of $96 to close near $107, showcasing some resilience. This upward movement was further buoyed by global news, particularly the decision to halt the implementation of higher tariffs on several countries, which pushed the price up to $119.

Solana的价格从96美元的会议低至107美元接近107美元，展示了一些韧性。全球新闻进一步推动了这种向上的运动，特别是决定停止在几个国家实施更高关税的决定，这使价格提高了119美元。

However, despite this positive move, SOL experienced a 4% setback today as the market shifts its attention to the U.S. inflation report for March.

但是，尽管采取了积极的举动，但索尔（Sol）今天经历了4％的挫折，因为市场将注意力转移到了3月的美国通货膨胀报告上。

The inflation rate came in at 2.4%, which was 20 basis points lower than the analysts’ consensus estimate. Usually, such an underperformance would likely lead to a crypto market rally. But the looming tariffs are casting a shadow over the market, preventing broader enthusiasm. This uncertainty continues to dampen investor sentiment.

通货膨胀率为2.4％，比分析师的共识估计低20个基点。通常，这种表现不佳可能会导致加密货币市场集会。但是，迫在眉睫的关税在市场上蒙上了阴影，防止了更广泛的热情。这种不确定性继续削弱投资者的情绪。

FART Coin Drives DEX Trading Volumes Higher

放屁硬币驱动DEX交易量更高

A major catalyst for the recent increase in Solana’s decentralized finance (DeFi) activity has been the surge in FART, a Solana-based meme coin. FART has taken the market by surprise as its price has nearly doubled in the past week while many other digital assets have faced steep declines.

索拉纳（Solana）分散融资（DEFI）活动最近增加的主要催化剂是基于索拉纳（Solana）的模因硬币Fart的激增。 Fart在过去一周中的价格几乎翻了一番，而其他许多数字资产却面临急剧下降，因此Fart的价格几乎翻了一番。

Trading volumes for FART in the past 24 hours have soared by 56%, reaching nearly $432 million. Among these volumes, a large portion is being driven by the FART/SOL pair on Solana-based DEXs like Orca and Raydium.

在过去的24小时内，放屁的交易量飙升了56％，达到了近4.32亿美元。在这些卷中，大部分是由基于Solana的Dex（如Orca和Raydium）上的Fart/Sol对驱动的。

The price action in meme coins often triggers a broader speculative frenzy, and this momentum could potentially spill over into other Solana-based assets, including SOL itself.

模因硬币中的价格动作通常会触发更广泛的投机性疯狂，这种势头可能会溢出到其他基于Solana的资产（包括Sol本身）中。

The increase in trading volumes on Solana DEXs has been substantial, with the first 9 days of the month showing a 23.5% increase over March’s volumes. This uptick suggests that the market could be starting to reverse its downtrend, especially if meme coins like FART continue to rally.

Solana Dexs交易量的增加是可观的，本月的前9天显示3月份的量增长了23.5％。这个上升表明，市场可能会开始扭转其下降趋势，尤其是如果像Fart这样的模因硬币继续集会。

Solana’s Price Action and Technical Indicators

Solana的价格行动和技术指标

Looking at Solana’s price chart, SOL bounced off a key support level this week, offering some hope for a bullish recovery. Momentum indicators have shown slight improvement, further adding to the optimism.

从索拉纳（Solana）的价格表中看，索尔（Sol）本周弹起了关键的支持水平，为看涨的康复提供了一些希望。动量指标显示出略有改进，进一步增加了乐观。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) recently crossed above its signal line, sending a buy signal, while the MACD’s histogram shows that negative momentum has decelerated.

最近的相对强度指数（RSI）最近越过其信号线，发送了买入信号，而MACD的直方图显示负动量已减速。

Despite these positive signals, SOL is still largely confined to a downtrend until a stronger reversal is confirmed. The chart features a descending triangle, a bearish price pattern that signals selling pressure at any price above the support level. As SOL continues to approach this support, there is a threat of further downward pressure, especially if the broader market remains pessimistic.

尽管有这些积极的信号，但SOL仍在很大程度上仅限于下降趋势，直到确认更强的逆转为止。该图表以下降的三角形为特色，这是一种看跌的价格模式，标志着以高于支持水平的任何价格销售压力。随着SOL继续接触此支持，存在进一步的下降压力的威胁，尤其是在更广泛的市场仍然悲观的情况下。

If SOL breaks below the $100 support, it could face a 22% decline, targeting the $78 area. If global trade tensions worsen, this could push the price even lower, potentially as low as $70.

如果SOL突破低于100美元的支持，则可能面临22％的下降，以78美元的价格为目标。如果全球贸易紧张局势恶化，这可能会推动价格降低，可能低至70美元。

Trading volumes around the $100 level have been relatively high, indicating a significant buildup of buy orders at this critical juncture. If sellers manage to break this level again, the market’s buying power could already be exhausted, favoring a bearish breakout.

交易量约100美元左右的水平相对较高，这表明在这个关键时刻，大量的买入订单积累了。如果卖家再次设法突破了这个水平，那么市场的购买力就已经耗尽了，有利于看跌的突破。

If buyers can defend the $100 support, it suggests that they are still capable of pushing the price higher. However, if sellers manage to break through the $100 level again, it signals that the market's buying strength might be waning, favoring a continuation of the downtrend.

如果买家可以捍卫100美元的支持，则表明他们仍然有能力提高价格。但是，如果卖方再次突破了100美元的水平，则表明市场的购买力可能正在减弱，有利于继续下降。

If sellers break through the $100 support level and close a candle below it, it would be a bearish signal, indicating that sellers have gained control and are likely to continue pushing the price lower.

如果卖家突破了100美元的支持水平并关闭下方的蜡烛，那将是一个看跌信号，表明卖方已经获得了控制权，并且很可能会继续推动价格降低。

But if buyers manage to defend the $100 support level and close a candle above it, it would be a bullish signal, indicating that buyers are still in control and might be able to push the price higher.

但是，如果买家设法捍卫100美元的支持水平并关闭其上方的蜡烛，那将是一个看涨的信号，表明买家仍处于控制之中，并且可能能够将价格提高提高。

The technical indicators are also showing mixed signals. The RSI is showing signs of oversold conditions, which could lead to a short-term rebound. However, the MACD is still in negative territory, which indicates that there is more selling pressure than buying pressure.

技术指标也显示出混合的信号。 RSI显示出售出条件的迹象，这可能会导致短期反弹。但是，MACD仍处于负面状态，这表明销售压力比购买压力更大。

Overall, the technical indicators are suggesting that the tide might be turning in favor of buyers, but the selling pressure is still strong.

总体而言，技术指标表明，潮流可能会转向买家，但销售压力仍然很大。

The direction of the global trade talks will also be a key factor to watch. If the talks break down and trade tensions escalate, this could lead to further weakness in the crypto market, which could push SOL lower. However, if the talks proceed smoothly and there are signs of a trade deal being reached, this could lead to a rally in the crypto market, which could push SOL higher.

全球贸易谈判的方向也将是观看的关键因素。如果谈判破裂并贸易紧张局势升级，这可能会导致加密货币市场的进一步疲软，这可能会降低Sol。但是，如果谈判顺利进行，并且有达成贸易协议的迹象，这可能会导致加密货币市场的集会，这可能会使SOL更高。

In the short term, SOL

在短期内，SOL