Solana（Sol）價格預測：新的牛市開始了嗎？

在過去的幾周中，數字資產市場一直充滿波動，而Solana（Sol）也不例外。

The digital asset market has been subject to significant volatility in recent weeks, and Solana (SOL) has not been an exception. As its price has seen a recent setback, some indicators suggest that SOL might be gearing up for a potential bullish cycle.

在最近幾週，數字資產市場一直在發生顯著波動，而Solana（Sol）也不例外。由於其價格最近遇到了挫折，一些指標表明SOL可能正在為潛在的看漲週期做好準備。

Solana’s price rebounded from a session low of $96 to close near $107, showcasing some resilience. This upward movement was further buoyed by global news, particularly the decision to halt the implementation of higher tariffs on several countries, which pushed the price up to $119.

Solana的價格從96美元的會議低至107美元接近107美元，展示了一些韌性。全球新聞進一步推動了這種向上的運動，特別是決定停止在幾個國家實施更高關稅的決定，這使價格提高了119美元。

However, despite this positive move, SOL experienced a 4% setback today as the market shifts its attention to the U.S. inflation report for March.

但是，儘管採取了積極的舉動，但索爾（Sol）今天經歷了4％的挫折，因為市場將注意力轉移到了3月的美國通貨膨脹報告上。

The inflation rate came in at 2.4%, which was 20 basis points lower than the analysts’ consensus estimate. Usually, such an underperformance would likely lead to a crypto market rally. But the looming tariffs are casting a shadow over the market, preventing broader enthusiasm. This uncertainty continues to dampen investor sentiment.

通貨膨脹率為2.4％，比分析師的共識估計低20個基點。通常，這種表現不佳可能會導致加密貨幣市場集會。但是，迫在眉睫的關稅在市場上蒙上了陰影，防止了更廣泛的熱情。這種不確定性繼續削弱投資者的情緒。

FART Coin Drives DEX Trading Volumes Higher

放屁硬幣驅動DEX交易量更高

A major catalyst for the recent increase in Solana’s decentralized finance (DeFi) activity has been the surge in FART, a Solana-based meme coin. FART has taken the market by surprise as its price has nearly doubled in the past week while many other digital assets have faced steep declines.

索拉納（Solana）分散融資（DEFI）活動最近增加的主要催化劑是基於索拉納（Solana）的模因硬幣Fart的激增。 Fart在過去一周中的價格幾乎翻了一番，而其他許多數字資產卻面臨急劇下降，因此Fart的價格幾乎翻了一番。

Trading volumes for FART in the past 24 hours have soared by 56%, reaching nearly $432 million. Among these volumes, a large portion is being driven by the FART/SOL pair on Solana-based DEXs like Orca and Raydium.

在過去的24小時內，放屁的交易量飆升了56％，達到了近4.32億美元。在這些卷中，大部分是由基於Solana的Dex（如Orca和Raydium）上的Fart/Sol對驅動的。

The price action in meme coins often triggers a broader speculative frenzy, and this momentum could potentially spill over into other Solana-based assets, including SOL itself.

模因硬幣中的價格動作通常會觸發更廣泛的投機性瘋狂，這種勢頭可能會溢出到其他基於Solana的資產（包括Sol本身）中。

The increase in trading volumes on Solana DEXs has been substantial, with the first 9 days of the month showing a 23.5% increase over March’s volumes. This uptick suggests that the market could be starting to reverse its downtrend, especially if meme coins like FART continue to rally.

Solana Dexs交易量的增加是可觀的，本月的前9天顯示3月份的量增長了23.5％。這個上升表明，市場可能會開始扭轉其下降趨勢，尤其是如果像Fart這樣的模因硬幣繼續集會。

Solana’s Price Action and Technical Indicators

Solana的價格行動和技術指標

Looking at Solana’s price chart, SOL bounced off a key support level this week, offering some hope for a bullish recovery. Momentum indicators have shown slight improvement, further adding to the optimism.

從索拉納（Solana）的價格表中看，索爾（Sol）本週彈起了關鍵的支持水平，為看漲的康復提供了一些希望。動量指標顯示出略有改進，進一步增加了樂觀。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) recently crossed above its signal line, sending a buy signal, while the MACD’s histogram shows that negative momentum has decelerated.

最近的相對強度指數（RSI）最近越過其信號線，發送了買入信號，而MACD的直方圖顯示負動量已減速。

Despite these positive signals, SOL is still largely confined to a downtrend until a stronger reversal is confirmed. The chart features a descending triangle, a bearish price pattern that signals selling pressure at any price above the support level. As SOL continues to approach this support, there is a threat of further downward pressure, especially if the broader market remains pessimistic.

儘管有這些積極的信號，但SOL仍在很大程度上僅限於下降趨勢，直到確認更強的逆轉為止。該圖表以下降的三角形為特色，這是一種看跌的價格模式，標誌著以高於支持水平的任何價格銷售壓力。隨著SOL繼續接觸此支持，存在進一步的下降壓力的威脅，尤其是在更廣泛的市場仍然悲觀的情況下。

If SOL breaks below the $100 support, it could face a 22% decline, targeting the $78 area. If global trade tensions worsen, this could push the price even lower, potentially as low as $70.

如果SOL突破低於100美元的支持，則可能面臨22％的下降，以78美元的價格為目標。如果全球貿易緊張局勢惡化，這可能會推動價格降低，可能低至70美元。

Trading volumes around the $100 level have been relatively high, indicating a significant buildup of buy orders at this critical juncture. If sellers manage to break this level again, the market’s buying power could already be exhausted, favoring a bearish breakout.

交易量約100美元左右的水平相對較高，這表明在這個關鍵時刻，大量的買入訂單積累了。如果賣家再次設法突破了這個水平，那麼市場的購買力就已經耗盡了，有利於看跌的突破。

If buyers can defend the $100 support, it suggests that they are still capable of pushing the price higher. However, if sellers manage to break through the $100 level again, it signals that the market's buying strength might be waning, favoring a continuation of the downtrend.

如果買家可以捍衛100美元的支持，則表明他們仍然有能力提高價格。但是，如果賣方再次突破了100美元的水平，則表明市場的購買力可能正在減弱，有利於繼續下降。

If sellers break through the $100 support level and close a candle below it, it would be a bearish signal, indicating that sellers have gained control and are likely to continue pushing the price lower.

如果賣家突破了100美元的支持水平並關閉下方的蠟燭，那將是一個看跌信號，表明賣方已經獲得了控制權，並且很可能會繼續推動價格降低。

But if buyers manage to defend the $100 support level and close a candle above it, it would be a bullish signal, indicating that buyers are still in control and might be able to push the price higher.

但是，如果買家設法捍衛100美元的支持水平並關閉其上方的蠟燭，那將是一個看漲的信號，表明買家仍處於控制之中，並且可能能夠將價格提高提高。

The technical indicators are also showing mixed signals. The RSI is showing signs of oversold conditions, which could lead to a short-term rebound. However, the MACD is still in negative territory, which indicates that there is more selling pressure than buying pressure.

技術指標也顯示出混合的信號。 RSI顯示出售出條件的跡象，這可能會導致短期反彈。但是，MACD仍處於負面狀態，這表明銷售壓力比購買壓力更大。

Overall, the technical indicators are suggesting that the tide might be turning in favor of buyers, but the selling pressure is still strong.

總體而言，技術指標表明，潮流可能會轉向買家，但銷售壓力仍然很大。

The direction of the global trade talks will also be a key factor to watch. If the talks break down and trade tensions escalate, this could lead to further weakness in the crypto market, which could push SOL lower. However, if the talks proceed smoothly and there are signs of a trade deal being reached, this could lead to a rally in the crypto market, which could push SOL higher.

全球貿易談判的方向也將是觀看的關鍵因素。如果談判破裂並貿易緊張局勢升級，這可能會導致加密貨幣市場的進一步疲軟，這可能會降低Sol。但是，如果談判順利進行，並且有達成貿易協議的跡象，這可能會導致加密貨幣市場的集會，這可能會使SOL更高。

In the short term, SOL

在短期內，SOL