渣打银行表示，共和党的大获全胜将使比特币在年底前上涨至 125,000 美元。

英国银行表示，如果共和党赢得参议院、众议院和白宫，数字资产行业将会更容易

Standard Chartered has predicted that a Republican sweep in the upcoming US elections will propel Bitcoin to an astronomical $125,000 by the year’s end.

渣打银行预测，共和党在即将到来的美国大选中大获全胜，将推动比特币在年底前达到 125,000 美元的天文数字。

The British bank said that if the GOP manages to secure the Senate, the House of Representatives, and the White House, the digital asset industry will have an easier time passing new laws favorable to the crypto space.

这家英国银行表示，如果共和党能够赢得参议院、众议院和白宫的席位，数字资产行业将更容易通过有利于加密货币领域的新法律。

But what if Vice President Kamala Harris becomes the next president?

但如果副总统卡马拉·哈里斯成为下一任总统怎么办？

“In a Harris scenario, we still think BTC can end the year at around $75,000,” Geoff Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s head of digital asset research, wrote in a note on Friday.

渣打银行数字资产研究主管杰夫·肯德里克 (Geoff Kendrick) 在周五的一份报告中写道：“在哈里斯情景中，我们仍然认为 BTC 年底价格可能会达到 75,000 美元左右。”

Bitcoin to the moon no matter what?

无论如何，比特币都能登上月球？

Either way, it doesn’t matter how the US elections pan out on November 5, say analysts—Bitcoin is headed for the moon. Now, it’s only a question of how high.

分析师表示，无论如何，无论 11 月 5 日美国大选结果如何，比特币都将走向月球。现在，只是多高的问题。

That’s because both Trump and Harris have made pro-crypto overtures ahead of the vote.

这是因为特朗普和哈里斯在投票前都提出了支持加密货币的提议。

Trump trade

特朗普贸易

The former president’s full-throated advocacy has, however, made him a favorite in some crypto circles. Supporters such as Messari’s Ryan Selkis have argued that crypto’s future hinges on Trump’s ability to reclaim the White House.

然而，这位前总统的大力倡导使他成为一些加密货币圈子的最爱。 Messari 的 Ryan Selkis 等支持者认为，加密货币的未来取决于特朗普夺回白宫的能力。

This has given rise to the so-called “Trump trade,” the idea that Bitcoin will soar if the real estate tycoon wins.

这引发了所谓的“特朗普交易”，即如果房地产大亨获胜，比特币就会飙升。

In September, Bernstein analysts predicted that Bitcoin’s price would surge to $90,000 this year if that happens, but it would fall as low as $30,000 if Harris were elected. They have since changed their tune and predict it will hit $200,000 by the end of 2025.

今年 9 月，伯恩斯坦分析师预测，如果这种情况发生，今年比特币的价格将飙升至 90,000 美元，但如果哈里斯当选，比特币价格将跌至 30,000 美元。此后他们改变了态度，预计到 2025 年底将达到 20 万美元。

Similarly, a Kaiko analysis of Bitcoin options data suggests that traders already bet the cryptocurrency will hit a new all-time high no matter who wins the election.

同样，Kaiko 对比特币期权数据的分析表明，交易员已经押注无论谁赢得选举，加密货币都将创下历史新高。

A ‘scam’

一个“骗局”

After calling Bitcoin a “scam” in 2021, Trump flipped the script in May and campaigns as a pro-crypto candidate. His sons have even launched a DeFi project called World Liberty Financial.

在 2021 年称比特币为“骗局”后，特朗普在 5 月份翻转剧本，以支持加密货币的候选人身份进行竞选。他的儿子们甚至推出了一个名为 World Liberty Financial 的 DeFi 项目。

Harris, though initially quiet on the matter, said in September that her administration will boost America’s competitiveness and partner with companies to “encourage innovative technologies like AI and digital assets.”

哈里斯虽然最初对此事保持沉默，但在 9 月份表示，她的政府将提高美国的竞争力，并与企业合作“鼓励人工智能和数字资产等创新技术”。

Standard Chartered’s note also says that Harris would be less negative for crypto than another Biden term. That’s because Biden vetoed a bill that would have allowed traditional banks to custody cryptocurrencies.

渣打银行的报告还表示，哈里斯对加密货币的负面影响将小于拜登的另一个任期。这是因为拜登否决了一项允许传统银行托管加密货币的法案。

“With digital assets having become a more prominent political issue since then, we doubt whether a Harris administration would seek the same veto,” wrote Kendrick.

肯德里克写道：“自那时以来，数字资产已成为一个更加突出的政治问题，我们怀疑哈里斯政府是否会寻求同样的否决权。”

“Bitcoin would head higher after an initial dip, once the market recognises that regulatory change is still likely under Harris, even if at a slower pace.”

“一旦市场认识到哈里斯领导下的监管变革仍有可能发生，即使步伐较慢，比特币在最初的下跌后将会走高。”