量子计算对加密构成真正的威胁

Quip Network的联合创始人Colton Dillion表示，量子计算对加密货币构成了真正的威胁，并使缓慢移动的治理流程风险使区块链易受伤害。

Cryptocurrency is set to face a serious threat from quantum computing, according to Colton Dillion, co-founder of Quip Network, which provides quantum-proof vaults for digital assets.

Quip Network的联合创始人Colton Dillion表示，加密货币将面临量子计算的严重威胁，该网络为数字资产提供了量子库。

Speaking at the IEEE Canada Blockchain Forum, part of Consensus 2025 in Toronto, Dillion said the technology, which uses the quantum states of subatomic particles to perform calculations instead of transistors and binary code, is still in its infancy. But companies including Google and Microsoft are pressing forward with research and development.

Dillion在多伦多共识2025年的IEEE加拿大区块链论坛上说，该技术使用亚原子粒子的量子状态执行计算而不是晶体管和二进制代码，但仍处于起步阶段。但是，包括Google和Microsoft在内的公司正在推进研究和开发。

The goal is a massive step-up in speed that makes tough calculations like cracking encryption, such as that used to protect blockchains, faster and simpler.

目标是速度的巨大升级，它使诸如破解加密之类的艰难计算，例如用于保护区块链的速度更快，更简单。

And when quantum computing becomes available, any attacker is unlikely to announce their presence immediately.

当量子计算可用时，任何攻击者都不太可能立即宣布其存在。

“The threat won’t start with Satoshi’s keys getting stolen. The real quantum attack will look subtle, quiet, and gradual, like whales casually moving funds. By the time everyone realizes what’s happening, it’ll be too late,” he said.

他说：“威胁不会始于萨托西的钥匙被盗。真正的量子攻击看起来会微妙，安静和逐渐逐渐变化，就像鲸鱼随随便便地移动资金。到每个人都意识到发生了什么事时，这将太晚了。”

Dillion's doomsday scenario involves a quantum-computing-powered double-spend attack. In theory, quantum computing could reduce the mining power required for a traditional 51% attack down to about 26%, Dillion said.

Dillion的世界末日场景涉及由量子计算的双重攻击。理论上，量子计算可以将传统51％攻击所需的采矿能力降低到约26％。

"So now you've compromised the 10,000 largest wallets. You rewind the chain, liquidate those 10,000 largest wallets, then double spend all the transactions, and now you've really got a nuclear bomb,” he said.

他说：“因此，现在您已经妥协了10,000个最大的钱包。您倒带了链条，清算了10,000个最大的钱包，然后双倍花费所有交易，现在您确实有一个核弹炸弹。”

The industry, of course, is working to find a solution.

当然，该行业正在努力找到解决方案。

Bitcoin developer Agustin Cruz, for instance, proposed QRAMP, a Bitcoin Improvement Proposal (BIP) that mandates a hard-fork migration to quantum-secure addresses. Quantum startup BTQ has proposed replacing the proof-of-work consensus system that underpins the original blockchain entirely with quantum-native consensus.

例如，比特币开发人员Agustin Cruz提出了QRAMP，该QRAMP是一个比特币改进建议（BIP），该提议将硬实迁移到量子安全地址。量子启动BTQ已提出取代工作证明共识系统，该系统完全以量子本地共识为原始区块链。

The problem is that the proposals must gain community approval. Blockchain governance, such as Bitcoin Improvement Proposals (BIPs) and their Ethereum equivalents, Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs), tends to be rife with politics, making it a long, inherently cautious process.

问题是建议必须获得社区认可。区块链治理，例如比特币改进建议（BIPS）及其以太坊等效物，以太坊改善建议（EIPS）往往充满政治，使其成为一个漫长的，固有的谨慎过程。

For example, the Bitcoin community's recent resolution on the OP_RETURN function was years in the making, with months of developer debates about what's considered the "proper" use of the blockchain. Ethereum's upgrades, like the Merge, also faced lengthy debates and delays.

例如，比特币社区最近在OP_RETURN功能上的决议是多年的，开发人员几个月就辩论了被认为是区块链的“正确”。像合并一样，以太坊的升级也面临着漫长的辩论和延误。

But Dillion argues that the governance process leaves crypto dangerously exposed because quantum computing threats will evolve much faster than the protocols can respond.

但是Dillion认为，治理过程使加密货币危险地暴露出来，因为量子计算威胁的发展速度要比协议所能响应的要快得多。

“Everyone's trying to do this from the top down by starting with a BIP or an EIP and getting everyone's buy-in together. But we think that this is a very difficult, heavy lift,” he said.

他说：“每个人都试图通过从肉鸡或EIP开始并将每个人的买入一起从自上而下做到这一点。但是我们认为这是一个非常困难，沉重的提升。”

Quip Network's quantum-proof vaults aim to circumvent the political inertia by allowing immediate user-level adoption without requiring protocol upgrades. The vaults leverage hybrid cryptography, blending classical cryptographic standards with quantum-resistant techniques to provide blockchain-agnostic security.

Quip Network的防量子保管库的目的是通过允许立即采用不需要协议升级的用户级采用来规避政治惯性。拱顶利用混合密码学，将古典加密标准与抗量子抗性技术相结合，以提供区块链 - 静态安全性。

Effectively, they allow the whales, holders of large amounts of a cryptocurrency, to secure their stashes while waiting for the machinations of blockchain governance to get it together. Crypto communities can't afford leisurely debates, he argues.

有效地，它们允许鲸鱼，大量加密货币的持有人确保其藏匿处，同时等待区块链治理的阴谋使其团结起来。他认为，加密社区负担不起悠闲的辩论。

“The BIP and EIP processes are great for governance, but terrible for rapid threat response,” Dillion said. "When quantum hits, attackers won’t wait for community consensus.”

Dillion说：“ BIP和EIP过程非常适合治理，但对于快速威胁的反应而言，可怕。” “当量子击中时，攻击者将不会等待社区共识。”

The IEEE is a Knowledge Partner of Consensus.

IEEE是共识的知识合作伙伴。