专家：比特币的局限性阻碍了货币替代潜力

随着比特币越来越受欢迎，支持者认为它有取代法定货币的潜力。然而，约翰·霍普金斯大学的史蒂夫·汉克教授仍保持怀疑态度，声称比特币无法挑战法定货币或黄金等贵金属。他将比特币的重要性比作“拉斯维加斯的一场杂耍”，这呼应了经济学家彼得·希夫 (Peter Schiff) 提出的担忧，后者认为比特币是一种“非事件”，对更广泛的金融格局影响微乎其微。

Bitcoin's Inability to Replace Fiat Currencies: Experts Reiterate Concerns

比特币无法取代法定货币：专家重申担忧

Amid the ongoing maturation of Bitcoin (BTC), proponents have touted its potential to supplant fiat currencies, citing its adoption as legal tender in El Salvador. However, Professor Steve Hanke, an applied economics professor at Johns Hopkins University, has maintained his long-held skepticism towards Bitcoin, emphasizing its inability to challenge fiat currencies or precious metals like gold.

随着比特币（BTC）的不断成熟，支持者吹捧其取代法定货币的潜力，并称其在萨尔瓦多被采用为法定货币。然而，约翰·霍普金斯大学应用经济学教授史蒂夫·汉克（Steve Hanke）仍然对比特币持长期怀疑态度，强调其无法挑战法定货币或黄金等贵金属。

In an interview with David Lin published on May 12th, Hanke asserted that the prospects of Bitcoin replacing fiat currencies were akin to a "sideshow in Las Vegas." His sentiments align with a period marked by increased institutional investment in Bitcoin, largely driven by the introduction of exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

在 5 月 12 日发表的 David Lin 采访中，汉克断言，比特币取代法定货币的前景类似于“拉斯维加斯的杂耍”。他的观点与机构对比特币投资增加的时期一致，这主要是由于交易所交易基金（ETF）的引入所推动的。

"We're talking about a sideshow that happens in places like Las Vegas," Hanke said. "As I've said since day one, Bitcoin is a highly speculative asset with zero fundamental value."

“我们正在谈论在拉斯维加斯等地举行的余兴节目，”汉克说。 “正如我从第一天起就说过的，比特币是一种高度投机的资产，基本价值为零。”

Hanke has previously expressed strong opposition to El Salvador's decision to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, warning that such a move could lead to economic collapse. As reported by Finbold, the renowned economist suggested that corruption was a significant factor in countries' decisions to endorse Bitcoin.

汉克此前曾对萨尔瓦多采用比特币作为法定货币的决定表示强烈反对，并警告称此举可能导致经济崩溃。据芬博尔德报道，这位著名经济学家表示，腐败是各国决定支持比特币的一个重要因素。

Echoing Hanke's sentiments, economist Peter Schiff, who also participated in the interview, dismissed Bitcoin as a "non-event," describing it as a sideshow with minimal impact on the broader financial landscape.

接受采访的经济学家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）回应了汉克的观点，他将比特币视为“无关紧要的事件”，并将其描述为对更广泛的金融格局影响最小的一场余兴节目。

"It's important to the people who have bought it, and they're going to end up losing a lot of money if they don't sell it. But somebody's got to get caught holding the bag because somebody's going to own it when the music stops," Schiff said.

“这对购买它的人来说很重要，如果他们不卖掉它，他们最终会损失很多钱。但是总得有人被抓到拿着包，因为当音乐响起时，有人会拥有它。停止，”希夫说。

Schiff's skepticism extended to Bitcoin's potential to replace conventional assets such as gold or fiat currencies.

希夫的怀疑延伸到了比特币取代黄金或法定货币等传统资产的潜力。

"Central banks aren't going to buy it," he asserted. "It's not going to replace gold, not to mention any of these fiat currencies."

“央行不会买账，”他断言。 “它不会取代黄金，更不用说任何这些法定货币了。”

Schiff is known for his criticism of Bitcoin, questioning its intrinsic value and labeling it a failure due to factors such as transaction fees.

希夫以批评比特币而闻名，质疑其内在价值，并因交易费用等因素而将其标记为失败。

Hanke has further suggested that Bitcoin could face a "catastrophic crash" resulting from large amounts of BTC entering spot ETFs, rendering it more vulnerable. He contends that buyers of BTC ETFs are unlikely to be genuine believers in the asset.

汉克进一步表示，由于大量比特币进入现货 ETF，比特币可能面临“灾难性崩盘”，从而使其更加脆弱。他认为 BTC ETF 的买家不太可能是该资产的真正信徒。

Currently, Bitcoin is facing bearish pressure and resistance at approximately $65,000. At the time of writing, BTC was trading at approximately $61,183.

目前，比特币面临看跌压力，阻力位约为 65,000 美元。截至撰写本文时，BTC 交易价格约为 61,183 美元。