加密货币市场在波动性减半的情况下反弹

加密货币市场经历了小幅复苏，比特币（BTC）从 59,650 美元的低点反弹至 64,200 美元。然而，由于减半前的波动和持续疲软，价格仍远低于三月高点。标准普尔和纳斯达克指数周四收盘分别下跌 0.22% 和 0.52%，而道指因对通胀和利率的担忧而收盘持平。山寨币交易涨跌互现，Livepeer (LPT) 上涨 12.7%，Meme coin cat in a dogs world (MEW) 下跌 11.7%。

Cryptocurrency Market Experiences Slight Recovery Amid Pre-Halving Volatility

加密货币市场在减半前的波动中小幅复苏

London, April 20, 2024 - The global cryptocurrency market has witnessed a modest revival in trading activity on Thursday, although prices remain considerably below the historic highs established in March. The market has been marked by pre-halving volatility and persistent weakness.

伦敦，2024 年 4 月 20 日 - 周四，全球加密货币市场交易活动略有复苏，但价格仍远低于 3 月份创下的历史高位。市场的特点是减半前的波动和持续疲软。

With less than 30 hours until Bitcoin (BTC), the world's leading cryptocurrency, undergoes its quadrennial halving event, crypto enthusiasts eagerly await its completion. Halvings involve a 50% reduction in the issuance rate of new BTC, potentially triggering market fluctuations.

距离世界领先的加密货币比特币 (BTC) 四年一度的减半事件还有不到 30 小时，加密货币爱好者们热切地等待着它的完成。减半涉及新BTC发行率降低50%，可能引发市场波动。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin has rebounded slightly from the intraday low of $59,650 recorded on Wednesday, briefly touching $64,200 before retreating to find support around $63,300.

截至撰写本文时，比特币已从周三创下的盘中低点 59,650 美元小幅反弹，短暂触及 64,200 美元，然后回落至 63,300 美元附近找到支撑。

The broader financial landscape has also experienced volatility. Stock markets initially opened lower but recovered during midday trading before slipping back into negative territory near the close. Uncertainty surrounding inflation and interest rate expectations has fueled market volatility. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic reiterated on Thursday that he does not anticipate reducing interest rates until the end of the year.

更广泛的金融格局也经历了波动。股市最初开盘走低，但在午盘交易中回升，然后在收盘时跌回负值区域。通胀和利率预期的不确定性加剧了市场波动。亚特兰大联储主席拉斐尔·博斯蒂克周四重申，他预计在今年年底之前不会降息。

The S&P 500 Index closed down 0.22%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.52%, continuing its negative streak, which analysts predict could extend to a fourth consecutive weekly decline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average remained flat.

标准普尔 500 指数收盘下跌 0.22%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.52%，延续跌势，分析师预计跌势可能延续第四周。道琼斯工业平均指数保持平稳。

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the dollar's strength against a basket of foreign currencies, rose 0.4% to 106.152. The U.S. 10-Year Treasury note yield increased by 7.6 basis points to 4.638%.

衡量美元兑一揽子外币强势的美元指数（DXY）上涨0.4%，至106.152。美国10年期国债收益率上升7.6个基点至4.638%。

Bitcoin's Post-Halving Outlook

比特币减半后的前景

Analysts at Secure Digital Markets have observed that Bitcoin has shown resilience following its brief dip below the crucial $60,000 level. However, they note that Bitcoin remains below its 50-day moving average, indicating resistance around $67,000.

Secure Digital Markets 的分析师观察到，比特币在短暂跌破 60,000 美元的关键水平后表现出了韧性。然而，他们指出，比特币仍低于 50 日移动均线，表明阻力位在 67,000 美元左右。

"Market conditions currently favor spot premiums over futures contracts," the analysts stated, "reminiscent of previous trends when Bitcoin traded around $40,000." This suggests reduced speculative activity and a more favorable environment.

分析师表示：“目前的市场状况有利于现货溢价，而不是期货合约，这让人想起之前比特币交易价格在 40,000 美元左右时的趋势。”这表明投机活动减少，环境更加有利。

They further highlighted a decline in outflows from Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) over the past few weeks, with net flows remaining negative since Friday. Grayscale, the largest Bitcoin ETF provider, accounted for a significant portion of recent outflows.

他们进一步强调了过去几周比特币现货交易所交易基金（ETF）的流出量下降，自周五以来净流量仍为负值。最大的比特币 ETF 提供商 Grayscale 占近期资金流出的很大一部分。

Despite the short-term sideways price action anticipated during and after the halving, most analysts maintain an optimistic view of Bitcoin's long-term prospects. Drawing parallels to previous halving cycles, market analyst Rekt Capital suggests that Bitcoin's next peak may occur between mid-September and mid-October 2025.

尽管预计减半期间和减半后价格会出现短期横盘走势，但大多数分析师仍对比特币的长期前景保持乐观看法。与之前的减半周期相似，市场分析师 Rekt Capital 表示，比特币的下一个峰值可能会出现在 2025 年 9 月中旬至 10 月中旬之间。

Altcoin Performance

山寨币表现

Among the top 200 altcoins, trading sentiment was mixed on Thursday, with a slight majority experiencing gains. Livepeer (LPT) recorded the most substantial increase, rising 12.7% to $13.27. Jito (JTO) and Centrifuge (CFG) also exhibited notable gains.

在排名前 200 的山寨币中，周四的交易情绪好坏参半，其中微弱多数都出现上涨。 Livepeer (LPT) 涨幅最大，上涨 12.7% 至 13.27 美元。 Jito (JTO) 和 Centrifuge (CFG) 也表现出显着的增长。

Meme coin cat in a dogs world (MEW) led the decliners, shedding 11.7% in value. Core (CORE) and Sui (SUI) also experienced noticeable price decreases of 9% and 7.3%, respectively.

Meme coin cat in a dogs world (MEW) 领跌，跌幅达 11.7%。 Core (CORE) 和 Sui (SUI) 的价格也分别明显下跌 9% 和 7.3%。

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization stands at approximately $2.3 trillion, with Bitcoin maintaining a dominance rate of 54.2%.

加密货币总市值约为2.3万亿美元，其中比特币保持着54.2%的主导地位。