由于担心美国经济放缓，比特币暴跌 3% 至 56,000 美元

专家表示，由于需求缺乏和明显的看跌情绪，加密货币市场暂时将继续疲软。

Major cryptocurrency Bitcoin fell below 76 million won ($56,000) on Friday amid concerns over a slowing U.S. economy, with market anxiety set to heighten ahead of August U.S. employment data.

由于对美国经济放缓的担忧，主要加密货币比特币周五跌破 7600 万韩元（56,000 美元），市场焦虑情绪将在 8 月份美国就业数据公布之前加剧。

Further fueling concerns over the sustained downtrend is a Bitfinex report forecasting a potential 20 percent drop in the values of the digital coins to $40,000 if the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) announces a 50 basis point in the federal funds rate this month.

Bitfinex 的一份报告进一步加剧了人们对持续下跌趋势的担忧，该报告预测，如果美联储 (Fed) 本月宣布联邦基金利率上调 50 个基点，数字货币的价值可能会下跌 20% 至 40,000 美元。

Experts say the crypto market weakness will continue for the time being, strained by lack of demand in a clear bearish sentiment.

专家表示，由于需求缺乏和明显的看跌情绪，加密货币市场暂时将继续疲软。

According to market data, Bitcoin traded at 76.34 million won on Bithumb, a Korean cryptocurrency exchange, down 0.7 percent from the previous day.

市场数据显示，韩国加密货币交易所Bithumb上比特币交易价格为7634万韩元，较前一交易日下跌0.7%。

On Upbit, another major exchange in Korea, the digital coin traded at 76.48 million won, reflecting a decline of more than 3 percent.

在韩国另一家主要交易所Upbit上，该数字货币的交易价格为7648万韩元，跌幅超过3%。

Ethereum declined to 3.21 million won on Bithumb, down 0.16 percent. On Upbit, it traded at 3.22 million won, down 3.16%.

Bithumb 上以太坊跌至 321 万韩元，跌幅 0.16%。在Upbit上，其交易价格为322万韩元，下跌3.16%。

The "kimchi premium" stood at 1.8 percent, reflecting a recovery from its previous low near zero at the end of July. This figure is still significantly lower than the over 10 percent premium observed in mid-March, when the digital coin's value surpassed 12.4 million won.

“泡菜溢价”为 1.8%，从 7 月底接近于零的低点开始回升。这一数字仍显着低于 3 月中旬超过 10% 的溢价，当时数字货币的价值超过 1240 万韩元。

The premium refers to the price difference of digital coins between Korean exchanges and offshore exchanges. The higher the figure, the stronger the demand from investors in Korea.

溢价是指韩国交易所和离岸交易所之间数字货币的价格差异。该数字越高，表明韩国投资者的需求越强。

Behind the weak price movements are lower-than-expected U.S. private-sector payrolls. The United States added only 99,000 jobs, far below the previous market expectation of 144,000 and the smallest gain since 2021.

价格走势疲弱的背后是美国私营部门就业人数低于预期。美国仅增加了9.9万个就业岗位，远低于此前市场预期的14.4万个，也是2021年以来的最小增幅。

This increases the chance of the Fed cutting interest rates during its upcoming Sept. 18 Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

这增加了美联储在即将举行的 9 月 18 日联邦公开市场委员会会议期间降息的可能性。

CryptoQuant's chief analyst Julio Moreno said Bitcoin's current weakness is due to a lack of observed demand increase with all valuation indicators in a bearish phase.

CryptoQuant 首席分析师 Julio Moreno 表示，比特币目前的疲软是由于缺乏观察到的需求增长，所有估值指标都处于看跌阶段。

"Bitcoin price is down simply because there is no demand growth," Moreno said on X, formerly Twitter. "Indeed, demand is declining right now. Basically all valuation metrics are in bearish territory."

莫雷诺在 X（前 Twitter）上表示：“比特币价格下跌只是因为需求没有增长。” “事实上，目前需求正在下降。基本上所有估值指标都处于看跌区域。”

He is also of the view that no one can make a definitive prediction on the timing of the rebound.

他还认为，没有人能够对反弹的时间做出明确的预测。

"Unfortunately, nobody knows (whether the prices will hit an all-time high in the fourth quarter). That's why we monitor demand and other metrics. Yes, seasonality is positive in Q4. But it also depends on the overall economic and Bitcoin market conditions.."

“不幸的是，没有人知道（价格是否会在第四季度创下历史新高）。这就是我们监控需求和其他指标的原因。是的，第四季度的季节性是积极的。但这也取决于整体经济和比特币市场状况..”

The Bitfinex report said crypto investors were looking forward to the Fed's cut in September as a catalyst for a bull move, worn down by months of lackluster price action.

Bitfinex 的报告称，加密货币投资者期待美联储 9 月份的降息，作为牛市走势的催化剂，因为数月的价格走势低迷，令投资者感到疲倦。

However, escalating recession fears can translate to a deeper correction.

然而，不断升级的衰退担忧可能会转化为更深层次的调整。

"Bitcoin could drop as much as 20 percent following a September rate cut if the easing cycle is paired with a recession," the report said.

报告称：“如果宽松周期与经济衰退同时发生，那么 9 月份降息后，比特币可能会下跌 20%。”

A 50 basis point "Big cut" might result in a short-lived spike only to be erased by growing concerns of an oncoming recession and more pain for asset prices, Bitfinex added.

Bitfinex 补充称，50 个基点的“大幅降息”可能会导致短暂的飙升，但最终会因人们对即将到来的经济衰退和资产价格承受更大痛苦的担忧而被抹去。