比特币优势（BTC.D）使人意外地进入了历史上强大的阻力区域

这一急剧的举动引起了分析师和交易者之间的极大兴趣，其关键技术指标和图表形成表明了潜在的转折点

The Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has made an unexpected climb into a historically strong resistance zone, now hovering near the 64.7% mark in the High Time Frame (HTF). This sharp move has sparked considerable interest among analysts and traders, especially as key technical indicators and chart formations suggest a potential turning point that could herald the long-awaited 2025 altcoin season.

比特币优势（BTC.D）使人意外地攀登了一个历史悠久的阻力区，现在徘徊在高空框架（HTF）中的64.7％大关附近。这一急剧的举动引起了分析师和交易者之间的极大兴趣，尤其是当关键的技术指标和图表形成表明，潜在的转折点可能预示了期待已久的2025年Altcoin季节。

Bitcoin Dominance Faces HTF Resistance

比特币优势面对HTF阻力

The Bitcoin Dominance has been steadily climbing for almost 3 years, highlighting the flagship cryptocurrency’s enduring influence over the broader market. However, crypto analyst Gert van Lagen has unveiled an unexpected uptick in BTC.D.

比特币的主导地位已经稳步攀升了近3年，强调了旗舰加密货币对更广阔市场的持久影响。但是，加密分析师格特·范·拉根（Gert Van Lagen）在BTC.D中揭示了意外的上升。

The analyst shared a technical chart analysis of Bitcoin Dominance, highlighting a confluence of bearish signals that could be indicating the apex of Bitcoin's dominance, setting the stage for a return of capital to altcoins. The analyst has pointed out that Bitcoin Dominance has now reached a key HTF resistance zone of around 64%-76 %. The current chart also shows a rising wedge pattern, a typical indicator of market exhaustion before a potential trend reversal. This crucial wedge pattern has formed within the same HTF resistance zone where BTC.D topped out in past cycles, including the 2021 peak.

分析师分享了比特币优势的技术图表分析，强调了看跌信号的汇合，这可能表明比特币优势的顶点，这为资本回归Altcoins奠定了基础。该分析师指出，比特币的优势现在已经达到了HTF的关键阻力区，约为64％-76％。当前图表还显示了楔形模式上升，这是潜在趋势逆转之前市场疲惫的典型指标。这种关键的楔形模式已在同一HTF电阻区域内形成，在过去的循环中，包括2021峰。

suggesting that the bullish trend might be running out of steam.

表明看涨趋势可能耗尽了蒸汽。

Expanding on the Bitcoin Dominance recent rise, other analysts like Ijaz Awan on X disclosed that BTC.D is currently approaching a major resistance zone between 71.38% and 73.06%. The analyst highlights that this area has been a strong turning point in the past, acting as a top back in 2017, 2019 and 2021. With Bitcoin Dominance nearing past peaks, the analyst predicts a potential start of the altcoin season.

随着比特币的统治地位扩大，X上的Ijaz Awan等其他分析师透露，BTC.D目前正接近71.38％至73.06％的主要阻力区。分析师强调，该地区在过去一直是一个很强的转折点，在2017年，2019年和2021年成为首位。随着比特币优势接近过去的峰值，分析师预测，Altcoin季节的潜在开始。

Is The Altcoin Season Really Coming?

Altcoin季节真的到了吗？

In his post, Lagen concluded his analysis by stating that the altcoin season is dawning. Other prominent analysts share this view, believing that Bitcoin’s Dominance serves as a key indicator of an impending altcoin season.

在他的帖子中，拉根（Lagen）总结了他的分析，并指出山寨币季节正在下降。其他著名的分析师也分享了这一观点，认为比特币的主导地位是即将来临的替代赛季节的关键指标。

Notably, Karman Asghar, a crypto trader and analyst, confirmed in an X post that a new altcoin season is brewing in 2025 as the Bitcoin Dominance chart flashes familiar warning signs. The analyst shared two parallel charts, comparing similar Bitcoin Dominance in 2021 and 2025. Both charts displayed BTC.D forming a double top, with a clear bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence.

值得注意的是，加密货币交易员兼分析师Karman Asghar在X帖子中证实，随着比特币优势图表闪烁熟悉的警告信号，新的Altcoin季节正在2025年酿造。分析师共享了两个并行图表，比较了2021年和2025年的相似比特币优势。这两个图表均显示BTC.D形成双顶部，并具有清晰的看跌相对强度指数（RSI）差异。

While the bearish RSI divergence isn't a guaranteed trigger, its recurrence combined with historical market behaviour gives credibility to the idea that the market may be on the brink of another major altcoin season.

尽管看跌的RSI差异不是保证的触发因素，但它的复发与历史市场行为相结合，使市场可能处于另一个主要的Altcoin季节的边缘。