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加密货币新闻

比特币公牛继续在95,000美元的电阻水平上挣扎

2025/04/29 01:13

同时,总加密货币市值几乎没有移动,仅占据了0.13%的速度,即悬停在3.05万亿美元的大关左右。

比特币公牛继续在95,000美元的电阻水平上挣扎

Bitcoin bulls continued to struggle with the $95,000 resistance level as investors awaited a slew of key U.S. economic data due in the coming week.

随着投资者在未来一周等待一系列美国关键的美国经济数据,比特币公牛继续以95,000美元的阻力水平挣扎。

The total crypto market cap barely moved, inching up just 0.13% to hover around the $3.05 trillion mark.

总加密货币市场上限几乎没有移动,仅占0.13%的悬停在3.05万亿美元的左右。

Sentiment also cooled off a bit, slipping from ‘greed’ to neutral on the crypto fear and greed index, which arrived at 51 at last check.

情绪也有些冷却,从“贪婪”滑到了加密恐惧和贪婪索引上的中立,最后检查到51处。

A handful of top altcoins posted small gains on the day, but most gave back some of the ground they had made last week, with market focus still largely on Bitcoin.

当天,少数顶级山寨币的收益很小,但大多数人都回馈了他们上周取得的一些基础,市场的重点仍然很大程度上放在比特币上。

Why is Bitcoin struggling to break higher?

为什么比特币努力打破更高?

Bitcoin stayed rangebound between $92,953 and $95,490 as traders grew hesitant ahead of this week’s deluge of economic data.

随着贸易商在本周的经济数据淹没之前,比特币在92,953美元至95,490美元之间的距离之间保持了距离。

It’s shaping up to be a busy week for U.S. macro, with Q1 GDP numbers, nonfarm payrolls, and major tech earnings all on deck.

对于美国宏观来说,这是一个繁忙的一周,QDP数字,非农业工资和大型技术收益都在甲板上。

But the real spotlight is on the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, due out on Monday, April 30.

但是,真正的聚光灯在于4月30日星期一将于联邦储备的首选通货膨胀措施,个人消费支出(PCE)指数。

With the PCE and GDP figures arriving just before the monthly candle close, markets are bracing for a potential volatility spike across crypto and other risk assets.

随着PCE和GDP数字在每月蜡烛关闭之前到达,市场正准备在加密货币和其他风险资产中潜在的波动性峰值。

To add to the uneasiness, the ongoing U.S. trade tariffs have already been stirring sharp swings in crypto, stocks, and commodities, keeping investors on edge.

为了增加不安,正在进行的美国贸易关税已经在加密,股票和商品中引起了急剧的振奋,使投资者处于边缘状态。

Unless and until the data drops and the inflation picture becomes clearer, Bitcoin looks set to stay largely trapped within the current range.

除非并且直到数据下降并且通货膨胀情况变得更加清晰,否则比特币看起来将在很大程度上被困在当前范围内。

Some historical trends suggest that Bitcoin may have hit a local top.

一些历史趋势表明,比特币可能已经达到了当地的顶峰。

Over the past week, Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $3.06 billion in net inflows, marking the highest weekly inflow since December last year. According to FalconX, ETF inflows generally have short-term predictive power for price increases but are not always a signal for a broader reversal.

在过去的一周中,比特币ETF的净流入量为30.6亿美元,标志着自去年12月以来的每周流入最高。根据Falconx的说法,ETF流入通常具有价格上涨的短期预测能力,但并不总是对更广泛的逆转的信号。

Historically, a surge in inflows has often preceded local tops, such as in March and June 2024. For instance, in March, Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of around $73,300 shortly after spot ETFs recorded over $1 billion in daily inflows.

从历史上看,流入的激增通常是在当地上衣之前的,例如2024年3月和6月。

Similarly, in early June, another spike in ETF inflows helped drive Bitcoin from $67,000 to around $72,000, before it dropped sharply by 25% to $53,000 in the weeks that followed.

同样,在6月初,ETF流入的另一个高峰有助于将比特币从67,000美元提高到72,000美元左右,然后在随后的几周内急剧下降至53,000美元。

What’s next for Bitcoin?

比特币的下一步是什么?

Macro data is expected to play a key role in shaping Bitcoin’s short-term direction, but from a technical standpoint, BTC still needs to flip the $95,000 level into solid support to open the door for further upside.

宏数据有望在塑造比特币的短期方向方面发挥关键作用,但是从技术角度来看,BTC仍然需要将$ 95,000的水平翻转为可靠的支持,以打开大门以进一步上升。

According to crypto analyst Captain Faibik, Bitcoin was forming an ascending triangle on the 4-hour chart, typically seen as a bullish pattern.

根据加密分析师Faibik上尉的说法,比特币在4小时图表上形成了一个上升的三角形,通常被视为看涨模式。

Bulls need to clear the $95,300 horizontal resistance to confirm the breakout, which could then set the stage for a push toward the $100,000 mark.

公牛需要清除$ 95,300的水平阻力以确认突破,然后可以为$ 100,000的大关推动舞台。

Popular trader CrypNuevo shared a similarly optimistic view, forecasting an “interesting week” ahead for Bitcoin. He said momentum still looks intact and that BTC could see another leg up toward $97,000, where liquidity clusters are building.

受欢迎的交易者Crypnuevo分享了类似乐观的观点,预测比特币的“有趣的一周”。他说,势头看起来仍然完好无损,BTC可能会看到另一支脚向97,000美元,那里的流动性集群正在建设。

CoinGlass data highlights a dense pocket of liquidity between $97,000 and $100,000.

Coinglass Data突出了一个浓密的流动性,在97,000美元至100,000美元之间。

If Bitcoin manages to reach the $100,000 mark, around $5 billion worth of short positions could be liquidated. This short squeeze could add extra momentum to the move, but may also set the stage for increased volatility once the liquidity is cleared.

如果比特币设法达到100,000美元,则可以清算价值约50亿美元的短职位。这种短暂的挤压可能会为移动增加额外的动力,但一旦清除流动性,也可能为增加的波动奠定了基础。

If Bitcoin pulls back from current levels, it faces support at $92,000, which coincides with the lower band of the Bollinger indicator and could offer some defense against further downside.

如果比特币从目前的水平退回,它将面对92,000美元的支撑,这与Bollinger指标的下部频段相吻合,并且可以为进一步的缺点提供一些防御。

On the other hand, if bulls manage to break above the $95,000-$95,300 resistance zone, the next target to watch will be the $97,000-$98,000 range, where a large cluster of sell orders is visible.

另一方面,如果公牛设法超过了95,000美元至95,300美元的电阻区,那么要观看的下一个目标将是$ 97,000- $ 98,000的范围,其中可见大量的卖出订单。

Pointing to a potential setback, fellow trader Johnny noted that Bitcoin still has an open CME gap around $92,000 that may need to be filled before any major upside move can continue.

交易员约翰尼(Johnny)指出潜在的挫折,指出,比特币仍然有一个开放的CME差距约为92,000美元,可能需要填补任何重大上行移动之前。

CME gaps, created when Bitcoin futures close at one price and reopen at another, are often revisited by price action, meaning BTC could dip back toward $92,000 before making a fresh attempt at higher levels.

当比特币期货以一个价格关闭并重新开放时,CME Gaps通常会被价格行动重新审视,这意味着BTC可以降低到92,000美元,然后再尝试更高级别。

Nevertheless, long-term predictions for Bitcoin range well above $100k.

然而,对比特币的长期预测范围远高于$ 10万美元。

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