比特币（BTC）仍然锁定在$ 105,000以下的狭窄范围内

比特币仍被锁定在狭窄的范围内，低于105,000美元，尽管大约100,000美元的支持，但仍无法维持突破的动力。

Bitcoin (BTC) price is still trading in a tight range below $105,000 as the cryptocurrency fails to sustain momentum for a breakout despite strong support around $100,000.

比特币（BTC）的价格仍处于低于105,000美元以下的紧张范围内，尽管加密货币仍无法维持势头，尽管大约100,000美元，但仍无法获得突破。

Top traders are adjusting their Bitcoin price predictions

顶级交易者正在调整其比特币价格预测

As of Friday, May 16, Bitcoin is trading at $103,741, consolidating within a $3,500 band for the past week. The resistance at $105,000 has now held for several sessions, leaving traders looking for a fresh catalyst to push the market higher.

截至5月16日星期五，比特币的交易价格为103,741美元，在过去一周的3,500美元乐队中合并。抵抗力为105,000美元，现在已经举行了几次会议，这使贸易商正在寻找新的催化剂，以推动市场更高。

Technical ceiling keeps BTC in check

技术天花板可保留BTC

Bitcoin’s recent price action reflects sideways consolidation between $101,500 support and $105,000 resistance, according to data from Cointelegraph and Swissblock. Two failed breakout attempts have left traders cautious heading into the weekend.

根据Cointelegraph和Swissblock的数据，比特币最近的价格动作反映了侧向合并在101,500美元的支持和105,000美元的阻力之间。两次失败的突破尝试使交易员谨慎前往周末。

Market intelligence platform Santiment noted a slight shift to bearish sentiment among retail traders. Historically, this has preceded sudden upward moves, as the market tends to move opposite to public expectation.

市场情报平台santiment指出，零售商人之间的看跌感情有点转变。从历史上看，由于市场往往与公众期望相反，因此这已经突然向上移动。

Large sell orders and ETF pressure limit upside

大型卖出订单和ETF压力限制上升空间

On-chain analytics from Material Indicators show thick liquidity walls between $105,000 and $110,000 on major exchanges like Binance. These large ask orders are preventing BTC from breaking out to new all-time highs.

材料指标的链分析表明，在Binance之类的主要交易所中，厚厚的流动性墙在105,000美元至110,000美元之间。这些大的询问订单阻止了BTC爆发到新的历史最高点。

Meanwhile, longer-term trend indicators remain bullish. A recent bullish crossover of the 50-day and 100-day moving averages reflects continued upward momentum for the macro trend.

同时，长期趋势指标仍然看涨。最近的50天和100天移动平均值的看涨跨界，反映了宏观趋势的势头。

$100K holds, but downside risks linger

$ 10万美元持有，但下行风险持续

Traders are closely watching the $98,000–$100,000 range, where Bitcoin has established a strong support floor. A break below this zone could trigger stop-losses and send prices lower, while a bounce could refuel bullish momentum.

贸易商正在密切关注$ 98,000- $ 100,000的范围，比特币建立了强大的支持层。低于该区域的休息可能会引发停止损失，并将价格降低，而反弹可能会为看涨的势头加油。

According to analyst Michael van de Poppe, $98,000 is a critical level to hold for a continuation of the uptrend. Others like Daan Crypto Trades are eyeing previous local highs above $106,000 and the original surge point at $93,000 as key pivot levels.

根据分析师迈克尔·范德·波普（Michael van de Poppe）的说法，$ 98,000是延续上升趋势的关键水平。像Daan Crypto交易之类的其他人正在关注以前的本地高点106,000美元以上，而原始的激增点为93,000美元，作为关键枢轴水平。

Quantum computing risk looms

量子计算风险织机

Adding to investor uncertainty, BlackRock issued a cautionary note in its latest Bitcoin ETF filing, warning that quantum computing breakthroughs could threaten the cryptographic foundations of digital assets. The asset manager now holds nearly 3% of the total BTC supply, prompting further concerns about centralized control over a decentralized currency.

贝莱德（Blackrock）在最新的比特币ETF文件中发表了警告，警告说，量子计算的突破可能威胁到数字资产的加密基础。现在，资产经理占BTC总供应总额的近3％，引起了人们对分散货币的集中控制的进一步担忧。

While experts believe such threats are years away, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino recently predicted that future advances could unlock dormant coins—including those linked to Bitcoin’s anonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto.

尽管专家认为这些威胁已经过去了，但系绳首席执行官保罗·阿多诺（Paolo Ardoino）最近预测，未来的进步可能会解锁休眠的硬币，包括与比特币匿名创作者Satoshi Nakamoto相关的那些硬币。

Outlook: Awaiting the next catalyst

展望：等待下一个催化剂

For now, Bitcoin appears stuck in a holding pattern, caught between technical resistance and macroeconomic uncertainty. Traders are watching for weekend volatility or a new catalyst—such as economic data, policy shifts, or ETF-driven flows—to trigger the next move.

就目前而言，比特币似乎陷入了固定模式，在技术抵抗和宏观经济不确定性之间陷入困境。贸易商正在关注周末波动率或新的催化剂，例如经济数据，政策变化或ETF驱动的流动，以触发下一步行动。