比特币（BTC）价格可能在2025年10月11日的这一周期中达到最高

比特币的价格似乎在当前周期中达到了最高，在获得新的历史最高高点108,786之后，它开始了下降趋势

A recent post on X by crypto analyst Brett showcases an interesting analysis of the Bitcoin price structure and its potential trajectory in what remains of the current cycle. This evaluation looks at the price of BTC from the cycle “bottom to present” and “present to top.”

加密分析师布雷特（Brett）在X上发表的最新文章展示了对比特币价格结构及其在当前周期中剩下的潜在轨迹的有趣分析。该评估着眼于从“底部到现在”和“现在到顶部”的BTC价格。

Taking the previous two cycles as a foundation, Brett was able to calculate the number of days it took the Bitcoin price to travel from the bottom to the present and from the present to the top. In the chart below, the “blue” box represents the amount of time since the last bottom, while the “green” box represents the amount of time from “present” to the cycle tops.

布雷特（Brett）以前两个周期为基础，能够计算出比特币价格从底部到现在以及从现在到顶部的天数的数量。在下图中，“蓝色”框表示最后一个底部以来的时间，而“绿色”框表示从“现在”到周期顶部的时间。

As observed in the highlighted chart, the analyst transposed this same period on the previous two cycles (starting at the 2015 and 2018 bottoms, respectively). In both cases, the time frame measured 903 days.

正如在突出显示的图表中观察到的那样，分析师对前两个周期（分别从2015年和2018年底部开始）对同一时期进行了转移。在这两种情况下，时间范围均为903天。

In the previous two cycles, the Bitcoin price reached a new all-time high or the cycle peak 161 days after the highlighted 903-day period (after the bottom). In 2017, it took the flagship cryptocurrency 161 days to reach a then-all-time high of around $16,000. Similarly, the BTC price also reached the cycle top around $69,000 after 161 days in 2021.

在前两个周期中，比特币价格达到了新的历史最高或周期峰值，或者在突出显示903天（底部之后）之后的161天。 2017年，旗舰加密货币花了161天才达到当时的全部高点约16,000美元。同样，在2021年的161天后，BTC价格也达到了周期的最高69,000美元。

From this historical perspective, this pattern suggests that the current cycle’s top for the Bitcoin price could be just 161 days away. If the pattern holds and the current price trajectory continues, this would place the premier cryptocurrency’s peak at exactly October 11, 2025.

从这个历史的角度来看，这种模式表明，比特币价格的当前周期的最高点可能只有161天。如果该模式成立并且当前的价格轨迹仍在继续，这将使总理加密货币的峰值恰好在2025年10月11日。

However, it is worth mentioning that there have been questions about the Bitcoin price following the typical cycle theory. With the bull run initially pronounced over at the start of 2025, the recent positive price action in the market seems to oppose the expected cyclical price movement.

但是，值得一提的是，遵循典型周期理论的比特币价格存在疑问。随着公牛运行最初在2025年初发起的宣布，最近市场上的正价行动似乎反对预期的周期性价格运动。