比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC/USD稳定在100,00美元以上，但短期下降趋势持续存在

比特币目前的交易价格为102,980美元，确保了2.04万亿美元的市值。 24小时的贸易量为233.2亿美元，盘中范围在102,801至104,263美元之间，市场反映了强大的向上移动后的合并阶段。

Bitcoin is currently trading at $102,980, securing a market capitalization of $2.04 trillion. With a 24-hour trade volume of $23.32 billion and an intraday range between $102,801 and $104,263, the market is reflecting a phase of consolidation following a robust upward movement.

比特币目前的交易价格为102,980美元，确保了2.04万亿美元的市值。 24小时的贸易量为233.2亿美元，盘中范围在102,801至104,263美元之间，市场反映了强大的向上移动后的合并阶段。

The 1-hour chart indicates a clear short-term downtrend, with price action forming consistent lower highs and testing the $102,668 level as a potential bounce point. Volume has decreased during bullish attempts, signaling weakened buying momentum. Immediate resistance lies between $103,800 and $104,000, where bearish engulfing patterns offer opportunities for tactical short entries. Scalping opportunities may arise if bitcoin sustains support at $102,600 with a corresponding uptick in volume.

1小时的图表表明短期下降趋势明显，价格动作形成一致的较低高点，并测试102,668美元的水平，作为潜在的弹跳点。在看涨期间，数量有所减少，表明购买势头减弱。立即阻力在103,800至104,000美元之间，看跌吞噬模式为战术短篇小说提供了机会。如果比特币以102,600美元的价格获得支持，则可能会出现剥头皮机会。

On the 4-hour chart, the structure is more mixed, highlighting a brief rally to $105,706 that has since reversed into a lower high and lower low pattern. The current bearish trajectory is supported by heavier volume on down candles, demonstrating prevailing sell-side pressure. Resistance at $104,500 is critical; only a decisive reclaim and hold above this level would shift sentiment toward bullish. Meanwhile, the $100,500 to $100,800 support band is a key area to monitor for a reaction, either as a continuation point or a potential reversal zone.

在4小时的图表上，该结构更加混合，突出了一个简短的集会，至105,706美元，此后已将其倒转为较低和较低的低模式。当前的看跌轨迹得到了向下蜡烛的较重体积的支持，表明了盛行的卖方压力。 $ 104,500的电阻至关重要；只有决定性的回收和持有，才能将情绪转移到看涨的范围内。同时，$ 100,500至$ 100,800的支撑频带是监控反应的关键区域，无论是延续点还是潜在的逆转区。

The daily chart provides a broader context of bitcoin's uptrend since late April, rising from approximately $82,784 to a high of $105,706. However, this macro bullish trend is now confronting signs of fatigue, evident in small-bodied candles and upper wicks, denoting indecision. A notable drop in volume near recent highs further signals a lack of strong buying conviction. The $96,000 to $98,000 zone serves as structural support, while $105,700 remains a formidable resistance level that must be decisively broken to extend the uptrend.

自4月下旬以来，每日图表提供了比特币上升趋势的更广泛的背景，从大约82,784美元增加到105,706美元的高价。但是，这种宏观看涨的趋势现在正面临着疲劳的迹象，这在小型蜡烛和上灯芯上显而易见，表示犹豫不决。最近的高点附近的显着下降进一步表明缺乏强烈的购买定罪。 96,000美元至98,000美元的区域是结构性支持，而105,700美元仍然是一个强大的电阻水平，必须果断地破坏以扩大上升趋势。

From a technical indicators standpoint, most oscillators including the relative strength index (RSI), Stochastic, commodity channel index (CCI), average directional index (ADX), and Awesome oscillator are showing neutral readings, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction. Notably, the momentum and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicators are signaling sell conditions, aligning with short-term bearish patterns observed on lower timeframes.

从技术指标的角度来看，大多数振荡器，包括相对强度指数（RSI），随机，商品通道指数（CCI），平均方向指数（ADX）和出色的振荡器，都显示出中性读数，这表明这两个方向都缺乏强大的动量。值得注意的是，动量和移动平均收敛差异（MACD）指标是信号销售条件，与在较低时间范围内观察到的短期看跌模式对齐。

Conversely, moving averages continue to reflect a predominantly bullish stance. The exponential moving averages (EMAs) across 10, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 periods all indicate buying strength, except the 10-period simple moving average (SMA) which is flashing a bearish signal. The alignment of longer-period EMAs above their respective SMAs reinforces the overall uptrend, albeit tempered by current market hesitation.

相反，移动平均值继续反映出主要是看涨的立场。在10、20、30、50、100和200个周期中的指数移动平均值（EMA）都表明购买强度，除了10个周期的简单移动平均线（SMA），该平均值（SMA）正在闪烁看跌信号。较长的EMA超过其各自的SMA的一致性加强了整体上升趋势，尽管当前市场犹豫不决。

Sustaining this structure requires maintaining support above $100,000, while a break below this psychological level could initiate a more pronounced correction.

维持这种结构需要维持超过100,000美元的支持，而低于此心理水平的休息可能会引发更明显的更正。

If bitcoin manages to maintain support at the $100,500–$102,600 zone and breaches the $105,700 resistance with substantial volume, it could pave the way for a continuation of the bullish trend toward new highs. However, a failure to reclaim the $104,500 resistance and a subsequent breakdown below $100,000 could trigger a deeper corrective phase and invalidate the short-term bullish setup.

如果比特币设法将支持保持在$ 100,500- $ 102,600的区域，并违反了$ 105,700的电阻，则可以为大量量提供了大量资金，它可能为继续前往新高高的看涨趋势铺平了道路。但是，未能收回104,500美元的电阻和随后的100,000美元以下的故障，可能会触发更深层次的纠正阶段，并使短期看涨的设置无效。