比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC/USD穩定在100,00美元以上，但短期下降趨勢持續存在

比特幣目前的交易價格為102,980美元，確保了2.04萬億美元的市值。 24小時的貿易量為233.2億美元，盤中範圍在102,801至104,263美元之間，市場反映了強大的向上移動後的合併階段。

Bitcoin is currently trading at $102,980, securing a market capitalization of $2.04 trillion. With a 24-hour trade volume of $23.32 billion and an intraday range between $102,801 and $104,263, the market is reflecting a phase of consolidation following a robust upward movement.

比特幣目前的交易價格為102,980美元，確保了2.04萬億美元的市值。 24小時的貿易量為233.2億美元，盤中範圍在102,801至104,263美元之間，市場反映了強大的向上移動後的合併階段。

The 1-hour chart indicates a clear short-term downtrend, with price action forming consistent lower highs and testing the $102,668 level as a potential bounce point. Volume has decreased during bullish attempts, signaling weakened buying momentum. Immediate resistance lies between $103,800 and $104,000, where bearish engulfing patterns offer opportunities for tactical short entries. Scalping opportunities may arise if bitcoin sustains support at $102,600 with a corresponding uptick in volume.

1小時的圖表表明短期下降趨勢明顯，價格動作形成一致的較低高點，並測試102,668美元的水平，作為潛在的彈跳點。在看漲期間，數量有所減少，表明購買勢頭減弱。立即阻力在103,800至104,000美元之間，看跌吞噬模式為戰術短篇小說提供了機會。如果比特幣以102,600美元的價格獲得支持，則可能會出現剝頭皮機會。

On the 4-hour chart, the structure is more mixed, highlighting a brief rally to $105,706 that has since reversed into a lower high and lower low pattern. The current bearish trajectory is supported by heavier volume on down candles, demonstrating prevailing sell-side pressure. Resistance at $104,500 is critical; only a decisive reclaim and hold above this level would shift sentiment toward bullish. Meanwhile, the $100,500 to $100,800 support band is a key area to monitor for a reaction, either as a continuation point or a potential reversal zone.

在4小時的圖表上，該結構更加混合，突出了一個簡短的集會，至105,706美元，此後已將其倒轉為較低和較低的低模式。當前的看跌軌跡得到了向下蠟燭的較重體積的支持，表明了盛行的賣方壓力。 $ 104,500的電阻至關重要；只有決定性的回收和持有，才能將情緒轉移到看漲的範圍內。同時，$ 100,500至$ 100,800的支撐頻帶是監控反應的關鍵區域，無論是延續點還是潛在的逆轉區。

The daily chart provides a broader context of bitcoin's uptrend since late April, rising from approximately $82,784 to a high of $105,706. However, this macro bullish trend is now confronting signs of fatigue, evident in small-bodied candles and upper wicks, denoting indecision. A notable drop in volume near recent highs further signals a lack of strong buying conviction. The $96,000 to $98,000 zone serves as structural support, while $105,700 remains a formidable resistance level that must be decisively broken to extend the uptrend.

自4月下旬以來，每日圖表提供了比特幣上升趨勢的更廣泛的背景，從大約82,784美元增加到105,706美元的高價。但是，這種宏觀看漲的趨勢現在正面臨著疲勞的跡象，這在小型蠟燭和上燈芯上顯而易見，表示猶豫不決。最近的高點附近的顯著下降進一步表明缺乏強烈的購買定罪。 96,000美元至98,000美元的區域是結構性支持，而105,700美元仍然是一個強大的電阻水平，必須果斷地破壞以擴大上升趨勢。

From a technical indicators standpoint, most oscillators including the relative strength index (RSI), Stochastic, commodity channel index (CCI), average directional index (ADX), and Awesome oscillator are showing neutral readings, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction. Notably, the momentum and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicators are signaling sell conditions, aligning with short-term bearish patterns observed on lower timeframes.

從技術指標的角度來看，大多數振盪器，包括相對強度指數（RSI），隨機，商品通道指數（CCI），平均方向指數（ADX）和出色的振盪器，都顯示出中性讀數，這表明這兩個方向都缺乏強大的動量。值得注意的是，動量和移動平均收斂差異（MACD）指標是信號銷售條件，與在較低時間範圍內觀察到的短期看跌模式對齊。

Conversely, moving averages continue to reflect a predominantly bullish stance. The exponential moving averages (EMAs) across 10, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 periods all indicate buying strength, except the 10-period simple moving average (SMA) which is flashing a bearish signal. The alignment of longer-period EMAs above their respective SMAs reinforces the overall uptrend, albeit tempered by current market hesitation.

相反，移動平均值繼續反映出主要是看漲的立場。在10、20、30、50、100和200個週期中的指數移動平均值（EMA）都表明購買強度，除了10個週期的簡單移動平均線（SMA），該平均值（SMA）正在閃爍看跌信號。較長的EMA超過其各自的SMA的一致性加強了整體上升趨勢，儘管當前市場猶豫不決。

Sustaining this structure requires maintaining support above $100,000, while a break below this psychological level could initiate a more pronounced correction.

維持這種結構需要維持超過100,000美元的支持，而低於此心理水平的休息可能會引發更明顯的更正。

If bitcoin manages to maintain support at the $100,500–$102,600 zone and breaches the $105,700 resistance with substantial volume, it could pave the way for a continuation of the bullish trend toward new highs. However, a failure to reclaim the $104,500 resistance and a subsequent breakdown below $100,000 could trigger a deeper corrective phase and invalidate the short-term bullish setup.

如果比特幣設法將支持保持在$ 100,500- $ 102,600的區域，並違反了$ 105,700的電阻，則可以為大量量提供了大量資金，它可能為繼續前往新高高的看漲趨勢鋪平了道路。但是，未能收回104,500美元的電阻和隨後的100,000美元以下的故障，可能會觸發更深層次的糾正階段，並使短期看漲的設置無效。