比特币（BTC）价格将在达到顶峰之前继续波动

宏解码趋势振荡器（MTO）正在成为一种有希望的预测工具，可以知道何时发生比特币（BTC）价格峰值周期。

Bitcoin (BTC) has recently shown significant price fluctuations, briefly touching above $106,000 before stabilizing around $103,000. However, despite this volatility, a predictive tool known as the Macro Trend Oscillator (MTO) suggests that Bitcoin (BTC) still has a long way to go to reach its price peak.

比特币（BTC）最近显示出明显的价格波动，在稳定约103,000美元之前，短暂接触了106,000美元。但是，尽管有这种波动性，但一种被称为宏观趋势振荡器（MTO）的预测工具表明，比特币（BTC）仍有很长的路要走要达到其价格峰值。

Designed by Bitcoin (BTC) analysts known as Decode on the X social media platform, the Oscillator is a powerful tool that combines around 40 macroeconomic indicators. These indicators include interest rates, global liquidity, industrial production, and market volatility, which are further distilled down to 17 key metrics.

振荡器是由X社交媒体平台上被称为Decode的比特币（BTC）分析师设计的，是一种强大的工具，可结合大约40个宏观经济指标。这些指标包括利率，全球流动性，工业生产和市场波动，这些指标进一步蒸馏至17个关键指标。

After being normalized and visualized in the form of a histogram, the 17 macroeconomic indicators create a cyclic pattern that has been shown to align closely with the cyclical peaks of Bitcoin (BTC) in 2013, 2017, and 2021.

在以直方图的形式进行标准化和可视化之后，17个宏观经济指标创建了一个环状模式，该模式已显示出与2013年和2021年比特币（BTC）周期性峰紧密相符的环境模式。

The light-green histogram on the chart marks each peak of the Bitcoin (BTC) cycle, and the change from the dark red zone to green signals the end of the bearish phase and the start of the price rally. Currently, the histogram is still in the dark red zone with the latest reading at -11.47, suggesting that macroeconomic conditions may soon favor a major rally for Bitcoin (BTC).

图表上的轻绿色直方图标记了比特币（BTC）周期的每个峰，以及从深红色区到绿色的变化信号是看跌阶段的末端和价格集会的开始。目前，直方图仍处于深红色区域，最新读数为-11.47，这表明宏观经济状况可能很快可能有利于比特币（BTC）的重大集会。

Decode’s analysis is not just limited to Bitcoin (BTC) specific indicators. In one of the accompanying charts of the S&P 500 Index with a 2-month time frame, a long-term comparison is made between the current global environment and the economic backdrop of the late 1980s and early 1990s.

解码的分析不仅限于比特币（BTC）特定指标。在标准普尔500指数的伴随图表中，有2个月的时间范围，在当前的全球环境与1980年代末和1990年代初的经济背景之间进行了长期比较。

Decode’s macro trend oscillator proved to be reliable in forecasting periods of recession and expansion in both cases. When the histogram moves into the green zone, the economy and price enter a prolonged expansion phase.

在这两种情况下，Decode的宏观趋势振荡器被证明是在经济衰退和扩张期的预测期间可靠的。当直方图进入绿色区域时，经济和价格进入了延长的膨胀阶段。

The third chart offers a more detailed view of Bitcoin (BTC) weekly trends, including the overlap of M2 money supply growth, another popular monetary metric. In a configuration called “Bitcoin Mode”, the Macro Trend Oscillator adjusts its sensitivity to metrics that directly affect the crypto market.

第三张图表提供了比特币（BTC）每周趋势的更详细的视图，包括M2货币供应增长的重叠，这是另一个流行的货币指标。在称为“比特币模式”的配置中，宏趋势振荡器调整了对直接影响加密市场的指标的敏感性。

Although Bitcoin (BTC) has rallied in recent months, the histogram still shows a negative red zone and has yet to see the dark green histogram that would mark the peak of the cycle.

尽管比特币（BTC）在最近几个月内集会，但直方图仍然显示为负红色区域，尚未看到标志着周期峰的深绿色直方图。

According to this setup, the Oscillator shows that Bitcoin (BTC) still has a lot of room to move in this cycle, and the price peak is unlikely to occur in 2025. Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $103,300, showing temporary stability but also potential for further upside.

根据该设置，振荡器表明，比特币（BTC）在这个周期中仍然有很大的移动空间，而且价格峰不可能在2025年发生。目前，比特币（BTC）的交易价格为103,300美元，显示出临时稳定性，也显示出进一步的上涨。

Using Decode’s Macro Trend Oscillator, investors and analysts can gain deeper insights into when Bitcoin (BTC) price peak cycles might occur. The tool not only provides predictions based on current market conditions but also offers a historical perspective that can help in making more informed investment decisions.

使用Decode的宏观趋势振荡器，投资者和分析师可以更深入地了解比特币（BTC）价格峰值周期何时发生。该工具不仅基于当前的市场条件提供预测，而且还提供了历史观点，可以帮助做出更明智的投资决策。