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比特币的早期集会至110,000美元,尽管美国 - 中国贸易谈判的进展有一些迹象,但没有留下深刻的印象,紧张局势迅速失去了动力
Bitcoin's early rally to $110,000 lost momentum on Wednesday as US-China trade talks failed to impress despite some signs of progress, and tensions surged after Israel told US officials it was ready to launch an operation into Iran.
比特币的早期集会在周三损失了110,000美元的势头,因为尽管有一些进展迹象,但美国 - 中国贸易谈判仍未留下深刻的印象。
Bitcoin touched $110,300 after a better-than-expected May CPI print, with headline inflation rising 2.4% year-over-year, slightly below the forecasted 2.5%. The figures offered a brief boost despite worries over tariff-driven inflation pressures.
在5月的CPI印刷中,比特币触及了110,300美元,标题通货膨胀率同比增长2.4%,略低于预测的2.5%。尽管担心关税驱动的通货膨胀压力,但这些数字仍提供了短暂的提升。
The largest crypto asset also found support from President Trump announcing progress in US-China trade talks on the day. But analysts say the new deal is still narrow in scope, largely focused on rare earth export controls.
最大的加密资产还发现,特朗普总统宣布当天在美中贸易谈判中的进展。但是分析人士说,新交易的范围仍然很狭窄,主要集中于稀土出口控制。
According to Capital Economics’ Mark Williams, major trade barriers remain largely untouched, with tariffs still running at 55% on Chinese goods and 10% on US exports.
根据资本经济学的马克·威廉姆斯(Mark Williams)的说法,主要的贸易壁垒基本上仍未受到影响,中国商品的关税仍为55%,美国出口额仍为10%。
"It seems like more of a pause in the trade war rather than a resolution, even though the administration is framing it as a win," Williams added.
威廉姆斯补充说:“即使政府将其作为胜利,这似乎更像是贸易战中的停顿,而不是一项决议。”
The Fed is not expected to lower interest rates at its policy meeting next week. While May’s CPI came in slightly below expectations, inflation rose to 2.4% year-over-year, up from 2.3% in April, and remains above the Fed’s 2% target.
预计在下周其政策会议上,美联储不会降低利率。尽管May的CPI略低于预期,但通货膨胀率同比增长2.4%,高于4月的2.3%,并且仍高于美联储的2%目标。
Coupled with stronger-than-expected job growth, this has led market participants to almost entirely rule out the possibility of a rate cut in June, according to CME FedWatch data.
根据CME FedWatch数据,这使市场参与者几乎完全排除了6月份降低利率的可能性。
The odds of a rate cut in July also declined following the new inflation data, leaving September, November, and December as the only realistic windows for policy easing this year.
在新的通货膨胀数据数据后,7月份降低的税率的几率也下降了,这是9月,11月和12月,这是今年唯一现实的政策窗口。
Markets now price in a 74% chance of a rate cut in September, rising to nearly 88% in November and roughly 96% in December.
现在,市场的价格为9月的74%机会降低,11月上升至近88%,12月的价格上涨了约96%。
As the summer progresses, the potential for lower inflation may arise from excess retail inventory and a decline in housing prices, according to Nic Puckrin, co-founder of The Coin Bureau.
Coin Bureau的联合创始人Nic Puckrin表示,随着夏季的发展,较低通货膨胀的潜力可能是由于零售库存过多和住房价格下跌而产生的。
"We could be seeing an overall trend of lower inflation in the coming months," Puckrin stated.
Puckrin说:“在接下来的几个月中,我们可能会看到通货膨胀率降低的总体趋势。”
With persistently low inflation, Puckrin anticipates that the Fed might be induced to cut rates in the subsequent months.
随着通货膨胀率持续低,Puckrin预计可能会在随后的几个月内降低美联储。
"I think we might get a rate cut or two out of the Fed yet, which could help to propel Bitcoin upwards."
“我认为我们可能会从美联储中降低一两次税率,这可能有助于将比特币向上推动。”
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