比特幣（BTC）價格將在達到頂峰之前繼續波動

宏解碼趨勢振盪器（MTO）正在成為一種有希望的預測工具，可以知道何時發生比特幣（BTC）價格峰值週期。

Bitcoin (BTC) has recently shown significant price fluctuations, briefly touching above $106,000 before stabilizing around $103,000. However, despite this volatility, a predictive tool known as the Macro Trend Oscillator (MTO) suggests that Bitcoin (BTC) still has a long way to go to reach its price peak.

比特幣（BTC）最近顯示出明顯的價格波動，在穩定約103,000美元之前，短暫接觸了106,000美元。但是，儘管有這種波動性，但一種被稱為宏觀趨勢振盪器（MTO）的預測工具表明，比特幣（BTC）仍有很長的路要走要達到其價格峰值。

Designed by Bitcoin (BTC) analysts known as Decode on the X social media platform, the Oscillator is a powerful tool that combines around 40 macroeconomic indicators. These indicators include interest rates, global liquidity, industrial production, and market volatility, which are further distilled down to 17 key metrics.

振盪器是由X社交媒體平台上被稱為Decode的比特幣（BTC）分析師設計的，是一種強大的工具，可結合大約40個宏觀經濟指標。這些指標包括利率，全球流動性，工業生產和市場波動，這些指標進一步蒸餾至17個關鍵指標。

After being normalized and visualized in the form of a histogram, the 17 macroeconomic indicators create a cyclic pattern that has been shown to align closely with the cyclical peaks of Bitcoin (BTC) in 2013, 2017, and 2021.

在以直方圖的形式進行標準化和可視化之後，17個宏觀經濟指標創建了一個環狀模式，該模式已顯示出與2013年和2021年比特幣（BTC）週期性峰緊密相符的環境模式。

The light-green histogram on the chart marks each peak of the Bitcoin (BTC) cycle, and the change from the dark red zone to green signals the end of the bearish phase and the start of the price rally. Currently, the histogram is still in the dark red zone with the latest reading at -11.47, suggesting that macroeconomic conditions may soon favor a major rally for Bitcoin (BTC).

圖表上的輕綠色直方圖標記了比特幣（BTC）週期的每個峰，以及從深紅色區到綠色的變化信號是看跌階段的末端和價格集會的開始。目前，直方圖仍處於深紅色區域，最新讀數為-11.47，這表明宏觀經濟狀況可能很快可能有利於比特幣（BTC）的重大集會。

Decode’s analysis is not just limited to Bitcoin (BTC) specific indicators. In one of the accompanying charts of the S&P 500 Index with a 2-month time frame, a long-term comparison is made between the current global environment and the economic backdrop of the late 1980s and early 1990s.

解碼的分析不僅限於比特幣（BTC）特定指標。在標準普爾500指數的伴隨圖表中，有2個月的時間範圍，在當前的全球環境與1980年代末和1990年代初的經濟背景之間進行了長期比較。

Decode’s macro trend oscillator proved to be reliable in forecasting periods of recession and expansion in both cases. When the histogram moves into the green zone, the economy and price enter a prolonged expansion phase.

在這兩種情況下，Decode的宏觀趨勢振盪器被證明是在經濟衰退和擴張期的預測期間可靠的。當直方圖進入綠色區域時，經濟和價格進入了延長的膨脹階段。

The third chart offers a more detailed view of Bitcoin (BTC) weekly trends, including the overlap of M2 money supply growth, another popular monetary metric. In a configuration called “Bitcoin Mode”, the Macro Trend Oscillator adjusts its sensitivity to metrics that directly affect the crypto market.

第三張圖表提供了比特幣（BTC）每週趨勢的更詳細的視圖，包括M2貨幣供應增長的重疊，這是另一個流行的貨幣指標。在稱為“比特幣模式”的配置中，宏趨勢振盪器調整了對直接影響加密市場的指標的敏感性。

Although Bitcoin (BTC) has rallied in recent months, the histogram still shows a negative red zone and has yet to see the dark green histogram that would mark the peak of the cycle.

儘管比特幣（BTC）在最近幾個月內集會，但直方圖仍然顯示為負紅色區域，尚未看到標誌著周期峰的深綠色直方圖。

According to this setup, the Oscillator shows that Bitcoin (BTC) still has a lot of room to move in this cycle, and the price peak is unlikely to occur in 2025. Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $103,300, showing temporary stability but also potential for further upside.

根據該設置，振盪器表明，比特幣（BTC）在這個週期中仍然有很大的移動空間，而且價格峰不可能在2025年發生。目前，比特幣（BTC）的交易價格為103,300美元，顯示出臨時穩定性，也顯示出進一步的上漲。

Using Decode’s Macro Trend Oscillator, investors and analysts can gain deeper insights into when Bitcoin (BTC) price peak cycles might occur. The tool not only provides predictions based on current market conditions but also offers a historical perspective that can help in making more informed investment decisions.

使用Decode的宏觀趨勢振盪器，投資者和分析師可以更深入地了解比特幣（BTC）價格峰值週期何時發生。該工具不僅基於當前的市場條件提供預測，而且還提供了歷史觀點，可以幫助做出更明智的投資決策。