比特币（BTC）徘徊在$ 96,730，因为美联储保持稳定

比特币（BTC）维持支持以上$ 95,000的能力可以确定市场是否朝着新鲜的高度迈进

Bitcoin (BTC) price is currently consolidating above a key support zone that could determine whether the market continues toward a new all-time high or faces a near-term correction, according to analysts at Bitfinex.

Bitfinex的分析师表示，比特币（BTC）的价格目前正固结在关键支持区之上，该区域可以确定市场是否持续到新的历史高度或面临近期更正。

As of Monday, May 7, Bitcoin is trading at $96,730. According to Bitfinex, the critical pivot point for the next major move is the $95,000 support zone.

截至5月7日星期一，比特币的交易价格为96,730美元。根据Bitfinex的说法，下一个重大举措的关键枢轴点是95,000美元的支持区。

If this level holds, and macroeconomic trends remain in mind, then this could confirm a “structural shift” back into bullish territory and open the door for Bitcoin to retest its $109,000 all-time high, which was set on January 20, 2025.

如果此水平保持成立，并且宏观经济趋势仍在牢记，那么这可以确认“结构性转变”重新回到看涨领土，并为比特币打开大门，以重新测试其历史上109,000美元的历史最高水平，该高位定于2025年1月20日。

This level is also the upper bound of a three-month trading range that was established between November 2024 and February 2025.

该水平也是2024年11月至2025年2月之间建立的三个月交易范围的上限。

If the support at $95,000 flips, then it could trigger a breakout toward $98,000 and beyond, potentially trapping short sellers and leading to a short squeeze scenario. Crypto analyst Thomas Fahrer pointed out that $400 million in short positions could be liquidated if BTC reaches $98,000.

如果支撑额为95,000美元，那么它可能会触发$ 98,000及以后的突破，可能会捕获短卖方并导致短暂的挤压场景。加密分析师托马斯·法勒（Thomas Fahrer）指出，如果BTC达到98,000美元，可以清算4亿美元的短职位。

But if Bitcoin fails to defend the $95,000 level, then it may spark a short-term rejection and another round of corrective price action.

但是，如果比特币未能捍卫95,000美元的水平，那么它可能会引发短期拒绝和另一轮纠正价格行动。

“The next few days will be critical as BTC either breaks higher or revisits lower support levels, likely contingent upon macroeconomic cues and trading sentiment,” Bitfinex noted in its latest market report.

Bitfinex在其最新的市场报告中指出：“接下来的几天将是至关重要的，因为BTC要么打破较高或重新审视较低的支持水平，这可能取决于宏观经济提示和交易情绪。”

Bitcoin price movements over the past 7 days.

比特币的价格移动在过去7天中。

According to Real Vision analyst Jamie Coutts, the best-case scenario for Bitcoin price this year will see it hit $123,000 by June.

根据Real Vision分析师Jamie Coutts的说法，今年比特币价格的最佳情况将看到6月的$ 123,000。

In March, Coutts set a price target of $150,000 for Bitcoin by the end of the year in a bull-bear scenario. However, in a recent interview with Real Vision, he adjusted the prediction, setting a best-case scenario of $123,000 by June.

3月，Coutts在牛市场景中将比特币的价格目标定为150,000美元。但是，在最近对《真实视野》采访时，他调整了预测，并在6月定下了123,000美元的最佳情况。

This adjustment follows recent price action and macroeconomic trends, which have introduced possibilities for a steeper correction or a more gradual recovery.

这种调整是在最近的价格行动和宏观经济趋势之后进行的，这些趋势引入了更陡峭的校正或更逐渐恢复的可能性。

According to the analysis, if Bitcoin experiences steeper declines from its 2025 high, the potential for reaching $123,000 in June will decrease. Conversely, if the price trends upward more smoothly, it could achieve this level.

根据分析，如果比特币经历的经历从2025年高下降，那么6月至123,000美元的潜力将减少。相反，如果价格趋势更加顺利，则可以达到这一水平。

The updated price target also takes into account the U.S. Federal Reserve's actions and the upcoming halving event in March 2024, both of which are expected to exert significant influence on Bitcoin price movements.

更新的价格目标还考虑了美国美联储的行动以及即将在2024年3月的减半活动，预计这两者都会对比特币价格变动产生重大影响。

If the Fed pivots earlier than anticipated and begins cutting interest rates in the second half of 2024, while simultaneously reducing inflation, it could create an environment conducive to a stronger and earlier recovery in the cryptocurrency market.

如果美联储比预期的要早，并在2024年下半年开始降低利率，同时降低了通货膨胀，它可能会创造一个有利于加密货币市场中更强大和更早的恢复的环境。

Moreover, the halving event is likely to be a pivotal moment, potentially leading to a surge in price as BTC approaches the new all-time high set earlier this year.

此外，在今年早些时候BTC接近新的历史最高时分时，一半的比赛可能是一个关键的时刻，可能导致价格上涨。

If the price increases smoothly from the current levels to $123,000, it could also trigger a massive liquidation of short positions, potentially leading to a price explosion.

如果价格从目前的水平顺利上升到123,000美元，它也可能引发大量的短职位清算，可能导致价格爆炸。

If the lower time frames are considered, the price is currently facing resistance at the 200-EMA on the 4-hour chart, which might limit further gains in the short term.

如果考虑较低的时间范围，则价格目前在4小时图表上的200-EMA上面临阻力，这可能会在短期内限制进一步的收益。