比特幣（BTC）徘徊在$ 96,730，因為美聯儲保持穩定

比特幣（BTC）維持支持以上$ 95,000的能力可以確定市場是否朝著新鮮的高度邁進

Bitcoin (BTC) price is currently consolidating above a key support zone that could determine whether the market continues toward a new all-time high or faces a near-term correction, according to analysts at Bitfinex.

Bitfinex的分析師表示，比特幣（BTC）的價格目前正固結在關鍵支持區之上，該區域可以確定市場是否持續到新的歷史高度或面臨近期更正。

As of Monday, May 7, Bitcoin is trading at $96,730. According to Bitfinex, the critical pivot point for the next major move is the $95,000 support zone.

截至5月7日星期一，比特幣的交易價格為96,730美元。根據Bitfinex的說法，下一個重大舉措的關鍵樞軸點是95,000美元的支持區。

If this level holds, and macroeconomic trends remain in mind, then this could confirm a “structural shift” back into bullish territory and open the door for Bitcoin to retest its $109,000 all-time high, which was set on January 20, 2025.

如果此水平保持成立，並且宏觀經濟趨勢仍在牢記，那麼這可以確認“結構性轉變”重新回到看漲領土，並為比特幣打開大門，以重新測試其歷史上109,000美元的歷史最高水平，該高位定於2025年1月20日。

This level is also the upper bound of a three-month trading range that was established between November 2024 and February 2025.

該水平也是2024年11月至2025年2月之間建立的三個月交易範圍的上限。

If the support at $95,000 flips, then it could trigger a breakout toward $98,000 and beyond, potentially trapping short sellers and leading to a short squeeze scenario. Crypto analyst Thomas Fahrer pointed out that $400 million in short positions could be liquidated if BTC reaches $98,000.

如果支撐額為95,000美元，那麼它可能會觸發$ 98,000及以後的突破，可能會捕獲短賣方並導致短暫的擠壓場景。加密分析師托馬斯·法勒（Thomas Fahrer）指出，如果BTC達到98,000美元，可以清算4億美元的短職位。

But if Bitcoin fails to defend the $95,000 level, then it may spark a short-term rejection and another round of corrective price action.

但是，如果比特幣未能捍衛95,000美元的水平，那麼它可能會引發短期拒絕和另一輪糾正價格行動。

“The next few days will be critical as BTC either breaks higher or revisits lower support levels, likely contingent upon macroeconomic cues and trading sentiment,” Bitfinex noted in its latest market report.

Bitfinex在其最新的市場報告中指出：“接下來的幾天將是至關重要的，因為BTC要么打破較高或重新審視較低的支持水平，這可能取決於宏觀經濟提示和交易情緒。”

Bitcoin price movements over the past 7 days.

比特幣的價格移動在過去7天中。

According to Real Vision analyst Jamie Coutts, the best-case scenario for Bitcoin price this year will see it hit $123,000 by June.

根據Real Vision分析師Jamie Coutts的說法，今年比特幣價格的最佳情況將在6月看到它達到123,000美元。

In March, Coutts set a price target of $150,000 for Bitcoin by the end of the year in a bull-bear scenario. However, in a recent interview with Real Vision, he adjusted the prediction, setting a best-case scenario of $123,000 by June.

3月，Coutts在牛市場景中將比特幣的價格目標定為150,000美元。但是，在最近對《真實視野》採訪時，他調整了預測，並在6月定下了123,000美元的最佳情況。

This adjustment follows recent price action and macroeconomic trends, which have introduced possibilities for a steeper correction or a more gradual recovery.

這種調整是在最近的價格行動和宏觀經濟趨勢之後進行的，這些趨勢引入了更陡峭的校正或更逐漸恢復的可能性。

According to the analysis, if Bitcoin experiences steeper declines from its 2025 high, the potential for reaching $123,000 in June will decrease. Conversely, if the price trends upward more smoothly, it could achieve this level.

根據分析，如果比特幣經歷的經歷從2025年高下降，那麼6月至123,000美元的潛力將減少。相反，如果價格趨勢更加順利，則可以達到這一水平。

The updated price target also takes into account the U.S. Federal Reserve's actions and the upcoming halving event in March 2024, both of which are expected to exert significant influence on Bitcoin price movements.

更新的價格目標還考慮了美國美聯儲的行動以及即將在2024年3月的減半活動，預計這兩者都會對比特幣價格變動產生重大影響。

If the Fed pivots earlier than anticipated and begins cutting interest rates in the second half of 2024, while simultaneously reducing inflation, it could create an environment conducive to a stronger and earlier recovery in the cryptocurrency market.

如果美聯儲比預期的要早，並在2024年下半年開始降低利率，同時降低了通貨膨脹，它可能會創造一個有利於加密貨幣市場中更強大和更早的恢復的環境。

Moreover, the halving event is likely to be a pivotal moment, potentially leading to a surge in price as BTC approaches the new all-time high set earlier this year.

此外，在今年早些時候BTC接近新的歷史最高時分時，一半的比賽可能是一個關鍵的時刻，可能導致價格上漲。

If the price increases smoothly from the current levels to $123,000, it could also trigger a massive liquidation of short positions, potentially leading to a price explosion.

如果價格從目前的水平順利上升到123,000美元，它也可能引發大量的短職位清算，可能導致價格爆炸。

If the lower time frames are considered, the price is currently facing resistance at the 200-EMA on the 4-hour chart, which might limit further gains in the short term.

如果考慮較低的時間範圍，則價格目前在4小時圖表上的200-EMA上面臨阻力，這可能會在短期內限制進一步的收益。