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Bitmex的加密影响者和联合创始人必定会吸引一些认可的点头 - 他确实将比特币的幻灯片称为74,000美元,随后反弹。
Crypto traders are closely following the latest predictions from Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX. In his latest blog post, Hayes focused on the implications of foreign investors pulling out of US Treasury bonds and the role it could play in pushing Bitcoin to $1 million.
加密交易者正在密切关注Bitmex前首席执行官Arthur Hayes的最新预测。海耶斯在他的最新博客文章中专注于外国投资者从美国财政部债券中撤出的含义,以及它在将比特币提高到100万美元方面所起的作用。
Known for his bold predictions, such as calling Bitcoin’s recent slide to $74,000 and subsequent rebound, Hayes' insights often generate discussion in crypto circles.
Hayes的见解以他的大胆预测而闻名,例如将比特币最近的幻灯片召集到74,000美元,随后的反弹,经常在加密赛中引起讨论。
In a previous analysis, Hayes highlighted how Donald Trump's economic policies and rising global instability could drive investors away from US government debt, traditionally viewed as among the safest securities.
在先前的分析中,海耶斯强调了唐纳德·特朗普的经济政策和全球不断增长如何使投资者摆脱美国政府债务,传统上被视为最安全的证券之一。
“Foreign capital repatriation and the devaluation of the gargantuan stock of US treasuries will be the two catalysts that will power Bitcoin to $1 million sometime between now and 2028,” he wrote.
他写道:“外国资本遣返和美国国债的巨大股票的贬值将是两个将比特币驱动到比特币的两种催化剂,从现在到现在至2028年之间。”
“The time is now to make hay while the sun king takes a shine to Bitcoin.”
“现在是时候制作干草了,而太阳国王则对比特币发光了。”
Trump's support for crypto, along with diminishing trust in the US financial system, is quickly becoming a major trend, according to Hayes.
据海斯说,特朗普对加密货币的支持,以及对美国金融体系的信任减少,迅速成为一个主要趋势。
Over the past century, investors holding US Treasuries have encountered a period of no economic gain, according to Chris Kuiper, VP of research at Fidelity Digital Assets.
富达数字资产研究副总裁克里斯·库珀(Chris Kuiper)表示,在过去的一个世纪中,持有美国国债的投资者遇到了一段时期。
Speaking at a Bitcoin conference, Kuiper noted that after considering inflation and taxes, an investor who bought a Treasury bill 100 years ago would have reached the same wealth level only now.
库珀在比特币会议上说,在考虑通货膨胀和税收后,100年前购买财政部法案的投资者只有现在才达到相同的财富水平。
“If you held a Treasury bill for the past 100 years, after inflation and tax, you’d have made no progress,” Kuiper said.
Kuiper说:“如果您在过去100年中持有一项财政法案,在通货膨胀和税收之后,您将不会取得任何进展。”
“It’s worse than I thought.”
“这比我想的还要糟。”
However, as the world powers shift toward “nation-first” monetary policies, particularly under a Trump-led administration, there's a growing focus on preventing capital flight from Western nations.
但是,随着世界大国朝着“民族优先”的货币政策转向,尤其是在特朗普领导的政府下,越来越重视防止西方国家的资本飞行。
To counter this, these countries might introduce capital controls to keep investors' funds within their borders.
为了解决这个问题,这些国家可能会引入资本管制,以使投资者的资金在其边界内。
“As the time preference of the world’s most powerful people shifts toward the immediate, so too will the optimal asset class,” said Hayes.
海斯说:“随着世界上最有权势的人的时间偏好转向直接的直接,最佳资产阶级也将会。”
“And as this occurs, we will see capital flight from the West as quickly as possible.”
“随着这种情况的发生,我们将尽快从西方出发。”
But even with government efforts to restrict capital movement, there's an asset class that will remain largely untouched.
但是,即使政府努力限制了资本运动,也有一个资产类别将在很大程度上保持不变。
“As long as there is the internet, you will be able to sell fiat for Bitcoin. Through this medium of exchange, you will be able to take your capital to the highest-yielding, liquid asset in the world.”
“只要有互联网,您就可以为比特币出售法定菲亚特。通过这种交流媒介,您将能够将您的资本带入世界上收益最高的液体资产。”
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