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Bitmex的加密影響者和聯合創始人必定會吸引一些認可的點頭 - 他確實將比特幣的幻燈片稱為74,000美元,隨後反彈。
Crypto traders are closely following the latest predictions from Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX. In his latest blog post, Hayes focused on the implications of foreign investors pulling out of US Treasury bonds and the role it could play in pushing Bitcoin to $1 million.
加密交易者正在密切關注Bitmex前首席執行官Arthur Hayes的最新預測。海耶斯在他的最新博客文章中專注於外國投資者從美國財政部債券中撤出的含義,以及它在將比特幣提高到100萬美元方面所起的作用。
Known for his bold predictions, such as calling Bitcoin’s recent slide to $74,000 and subsequent rebound, Hayes' insights often generate discussion in crypto circles.
Hayes的見解以他的大膽預測而聞名,例如將比特幣最近的幻燈片召集到74,000美元,隨後的反彈,經常在加密賽中引起討論。
In a previous analysis, Hayes highlighted how Donald Trump's economic policies and rising global instability could drive investors away from US government debt, traditionally viewed as among the safest securities.
在先前的分析中,海耶斯強調了唐納德·特朗普的經濟政策和全球不斷增長如何使投資者擺脫美國政府債務,傳統上被視為最安全的證券之一。
“Foreign capital repatriation and the devaluation of the gargantuan stock of US treasuries will be the two catalysts that will power Bitcoin to $1 million sometime between now and 2028,” he wrote.
他寫道:“外國資本遣返和美國國債的巨大股票的貶值將是兩個將比特幣驅動到比特幣的兩種催化劑,從現在到現在至2028年之間。”
“The time is now to make hay while the sun king takes a shine to Bitcoin.”
“現在是時候製作乾草了,而太陽國王則對比特幣發光了。”
Trump's support for crypto, along with diminishing trust in the US financial system, is quickly becoming a major trend, according to Hayes.
據海斯說,特朗普對加密貨幣的支持,以及對美國金融體系的信任減少,迅速成為一個主要趨勢。
Over the past century, investors holding US Treasuries have encountered a period of no economic gain, according to Chris Kuiper, VP of research at Fidelity Digital Assets.
富達數字資產研究副總裁克里斯·庫珀(Chris Kuiper)表示,在過去的一個世紀中,持有美國國債的投資者遇到了一段時期。
Speaking at a Bitcoin conference, Kuiper noted that after considering inflation and taxes, an investor who bought a Treasury bill 100 years ago would have reached the same wealth level only now.
庫珀在比特幣會議上說,在考慮通貨膨脹和稅收後,100年前購買財政部法案的投資者只有現在才達到相同的財富水平。
“If you held a Treasury bill for the past 100 years, after inflation and tax, you’d have made no progress,” Kuiper said.
Kuiper說:“如果您在過去100年中持有一項財政法案,在通貨膨脹和稅收之後,您將不會取得任何進展。”
“It’s worse than I thought.”
“這比我想的還要糟。”
However, as the world powers shift toward “nation-first” monetary policies, particularly under a Trump-led administration, there's a growing focus on preventing capital flight from Western nations.
但是,隨著世界大國朝著“民族優先”的貨幣政策轉向,尤其是在特朗普領導的政府下,越來越重視防止西方國家的資本飛行。
To counter this, these countries might introduce capital controls to keep investors' funds within their borders.
為了解決這個問題,這些國家可能會引入資本管制,以使投資者的資金在其邊界內。
“As the time preference of the world’s most powerful people shifts toward the immediate, so too will the optimal asset class,” said Hayes.
海斯說:“隨著世界上最有權勢的人的時間偏好轉向直接的直接,最佳資產階級也將會。”
“And as this occurs, we will see capital flight from the West as quickly as possible.”
“隨著這種情況的發生,我們將盡快從西方出發。”
But even with government efforts to restrict capital movement, there's an asset class that will remain largely untouched.
但是,即使政府努力限制了資本運動,也有一個資產類別將在很大程度上保持不變。
“As long as there is the internet, you will be able to sell fiat for Bitcoin. Through this medium of exchange, you will be able to take your capital to the highest-yielding, liquid asset in the world.”
“只要有互聯網,您就可以為比特幣出售法定菲亞特。通過這種交流媒介,您將能夠將您的資本帶入世界上收益最高的液體資產。”
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