XRP（XRP）形成雙頂和上升的楔形物，向1.94美元的短期下行風險發出信號。

NUPL表示交易者處於否認，類似於過去的爆炸前階段。

Key takeaways:

關鍵要點：

XRP is forming a double top and a rising wedge, which could lead to a short-term downside move toward $1.94.

XRP正在形成雙頂部和一個上升的楔形，這可能會導致短期下行行動向1.94美元。

The NUPL indicates that traders are in a "denial" phase, which has coincided with major corrections in the past.

NUPL表示交易者處於“否認”階段，這與過去的重大更正相吻合。

Long-term charts are still pointing to bullish targets in the Fib extension levels, which are at $3.69 and $17.

長期圖表仍然指出，在FIB擴展水平上看漲目標，為3.69美元和17美元。

XRP (XRP) has managed to rise by more than 50% in a month after forming a local low at $1.80. The cryptocurrency is now trading at around $2.5k, having faced selling pressure at the $2.65 resistance.

XRP（XRP）在形成1.80美元的當地低點後，在一個月內設法增加了50％以上。加密貨幣現在以2.5億美元的價格交易約2.5萬美元，其銷售壓力為2.65美元。

Improving risk appetite and prospects of an “altseason” have helped boost the cryptocurrency further in recent days. But could XRP rally further from current levels or risk a pullback in the coming days? Let’s examine.

改善風險的胃口和“ Altseason”的前景有助於在最近幾天進一步提高加密貨幣。但是，XRP可以在未來幾天內與當前水平相距甚遠，還是冒著回調的風險？讓我們檢查一下。

XRP 'double top' pattern hints at a possible sell-off

XRP“雙頂”圖案暗示可能拋售

XRP formed a double top pattern near the $2.65 resistance, which signals a possible trend reversal. The pattern includes two clear peaks and a neckline around $2.47.

XRP在2.65美元的電阻附近形成了雙頂圖案，這標誌著可能的趨勢逆轉。該圖案包括兩個透明峰值和一個麵條約為2.47美元。

After hitting the second peak, XRP dropped and fell below the neckline, confirming the double top pattern. A confirmed breakdown below this level puts the downside target at around $2.30.

撞到第二個峰後，XRP掉落並落在領口以下，確認了雙層圖案。低於此級別的確認故障使下行目標約為2.30美元。

The double top suggests that buying momentum is weakening after a strong rally, especially if buyers fail to break above the $2.65-$2.7 preference. If the pattern holds, it increases the chances of seeing further downside.

雙層高高表明，在強大的集會之後，購買勢頭正在減弱，尤其是如果買家未能超過2.65美元至2.7美元的偏好。如果模式成立，它會增加看到進一步缺點的機會。

Rising wedge signals a 20% price crash

上升的楔形信號是價格崩潰20％

XRP also broke down from a rising wedge pattern, which could indicate a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. Recent attempts to break above the pattern’s upper trendline have failed, and the same is evident from the Relative Strength Index (RSI) readings on the 4-hour chart.

XRP也從上升的楔形圖案中崩潰，這可能表明從看漲到看跌的動力轉變。最近試圖超越該模式的上層趨勢線的嘗試失敗了，從4小時圖表上的相對強度指數（RSI）讀數也可以明顯看出。

A wedge breakdown is usually confirmed when the price falls below its lower trendline, which XRP appears to be attempting to do now. The cryptocurrency is testing the support of the 50-4H exponential moving average (50-4H EMA; the red wave).

當價格低於其較低趨勢線時，通常會確認楔形分解，XRP似乎正在嘗試做。加密貨幣正在測試50-4H指數移動平均值（50-4H EMA；紅波）的支持。

Breaking below this support increases the chance of XRP falling another 20% to around $1.94. This level comes from measuring the height of the rising wedge pattern and subtracting it from the breakdown point.

突破此支持的機會增加了XRP再降到20％至1.94美元左右的機會。該水平來自測量上升楔形圖案的高度，並從崩潰點減去它。

The $2.00-$2.04 range is also important because it holds a large number of leveraged long positions, which are valued at around $50 million according to data resource CoinGlass.

$ 2.00- $ 2.04的範圍也很重要，因為它擁有大量槓桿式長位，根據數據資源Coinglass的價值約為5000萬美元。

If XRP drops below this range, many of these positions could be forced to close, causing a long squeeze. That would add selling pressure and push the price closer to the $1.94 target.

如果XRP降至此範圍以下，那麼許多這些位置可能會被迫關閉，從而導致長時間的擠壓。這將增加銷售壓力，並將價格推到1.94美元的目標。

The NUPL indicates that traders are in 'denial'

NUPL表示交易者處於“否認”

Shifting the focus to onchain data, XRP’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) has shifted into the Belief/Denial zone, shown in green on the Glassnode chart below. When in denial, many still expect prices to rise, even as momentum fades.

XRP的淨未實現的盈利/損失（NUPL）將焦點轉移到OnChain數據上，已轉移到了信念/否認區域，在下面的玻璃節圖上以綠色顯示。當否認時，即使動量消失，許多人仍然期望價格會上漲。

This NUPL level has historically marked the early stages of major corrections. For example, XRP entered this phase before sharp declines in 2018 and 2021.

這種NUPL水平歷史上標誌著重大糾正的早期階段。例如，XRP在2018年和2021年Sharp下降之前進入了這一階段。

If history repeats, XRP may face more downside in the short term, paving the way toward the price targets highlighted by the double top and rising wedge technical setups.

如果歷史重複，XRP可能會在短期內面臨更多的缺點，從而鋪平了朝著雙頂部和上升楔形技術設置突出顯示的價格目標的道路。

The post XRP price faces a 20% fall as traders enter 'denial' phase - Is a rebound likely? appeared first on TokenPost | Crypto, Web3, NFT, Metaverse, and More.

當交易者進入“拒絕”階段時，XRP後的價格面臨20％的下跌 - 反彈可能嗎？首先出現在TokenPost上|加密，Web3，NFT，Metaverse等。

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