XRP（XRP）形成双顶和上升的楔形物，向1.94美元的短期下行风险发出信号。

NUPL表示交易者处于否认，类似于过去的爆炸前阶段。

Key takeaways:

关键要点：

XRP is forming a double top and a rising wedge, which could lead to a short-term downside move toward $1.94.

XRP正在形成双顶部和一个上升的楔形，这可能会导致短期下行行动向1.94美元。

The NUPL indicates that traders are in a "denial" phase, which has coincided with major corrections in the past.

NUPL表示交易者处于“否认”阶段，这与过去的重大更正相吻合。

Long-term charts are still pointing to bullish targets in the Fib extension levels, which are at $3.69 and $17.

长期图表仍然指出，在FIB扩展水平上看涨目标，为3.69美元和17美元。

XRP (XRP) has managed to rise by more than 50% in a month after forming a local low at $1.80. The cryptocurrency is now trading at around $2.5k, having faced selling pressure at the $2.65 resistance.

XRP（XRP）在形成1.80美元的当地低点后，在一个月内设法增加了50％以上。加密货币现在以2.5亿美元的价格交易约2.5万美元，其销售压力为2.65美元。

Improving risk appetite and prospects of an “altseason” have helped boost the cryptocurrency further in recent days. But could XRP rally further from current levels or risk a pullback in the coming days? Let’s examine.

改善风险的胃口和“ Altseason”的前景有助于在最近几天进一步提高加密货币。但是，XRP可以在未来几天内与当前水平相距甚远，还是冒着回调的风险？让我们检查一下。

XRP 'double top' pattern hints at a possible sell-off

XRP“双顶”图案暗示可能抛售

XRP formed a double top pattern near the $2.65 resistance, which signals a possible trend reversal. The pattern includes two clear peaks and a neckline around $2.47.

XRP在2.65美元的电阻附近形成了双顶图案，这标志着可能的趋势逆转。该图案包括两个透明峰值和一个面条约为2.47美元。

After hitting the second peak, XRP dropped and fell below the neckline, confirming the double top pattern. A confirmed breakdown below this level puts the downside target at around $2.30.

撞到第二个峰后，XRP掉落并落在领口以下，确认了双层图案。低于此级别的确认故障使下行目标约为2.30美元。

The double top suggests that buying momentum is weakening after a strong rally, especially if buyers fail to break above the $2.65-$2.7 preference. If the pattern holds, it increases the chances of seeing further downside.

双层高高表明，在强大的集会之后，购买势头正在减弱，尤其是如果买家未能超过2.65美元至2.7美元的偏好。如果模式成立，它会增加看到进一步缺点的机会。

Rising wedge signals a 20% price crash

上升的楔形信号是价格崩溃20％

XRP also broke down from a rising wedge pattern, which could indicate a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. Recent attempts to break above the pattern’s upper trendline have failed, and the same is evident from the Relative Strength Index (RSI) readings on the 4-hour chart.

XRP也从上升的楔形图案中崩溃，这可能表明从看涨到看跌的动力转变。最近试图超越该模式的上层趋势线的尝试失败了，从4小时图表上的相对强度指数（RSI）读数也可以明显看出。

A wedge breakdown is usually confirmed when the price falls below its lower trendline, which XRP appears to be attempting to do now. The cryptocurrency is testing the support of the 50-4H exponential moving average (50-4H EMA; the red wave).

当价格低于其较低趋势线时，通常会确认楔形分解，XRP似乎正在尝试做。加密货币正在测试50-4H指数移动平均值（50-4H EMA；红波）的支持。

Breaking below this support increases the chance of XRP falling another 20% to around $1.94. This level comes from measuring the height of the rising wedge pattern and subtracting it from the breakdown point.

突破此支持的机会增加了XRP再降到20％至1.94美元左右的机会。该水平来自测量上升楔形图案的高度，并从崩溃点减去它。

The $2.00-$2.04 range is also important because it holds a large number of leveraged long positions, which are valued at around $50 million according to data resource CoinGlass.

$ 2.00- $ 2.04的范围也很重要，因为它拥有大量杠杆式长位，根据数据资源Coinglass的价值约为5000万美元。

If XRP drops below this range, many of these positions could be forced to close, causing a long squeeze. That would add selling pressure and push the price closer to the $1.94 target.

如果XRP降至此范围以下，那么许多这些位置可能会被迫关闭，从而导致长时间的挤压。这将增加销售压力，并将价格推到1.94美元的目标。

The NUPL indicates that traders are in 'denial'

NUPL表示交易者处于“否认”

Shifting the focus to onchain data, XRP’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) has shifted into the Belief/Denial zone, shown in green on the Glassnode chart below. When in denial, many still expect prices to rise, even as momentum fades.

XRP的净未实现的盈利/损失（NUPL）将焦点转移到OnChain数据上，已转移到了信念/否认区域，在下面的玻璃节图上以绿色显示。当否认时，即使动量消失，许多人仍然期望价格会上涨。

This NUPL level has historically marked the early stages of major corrections. For example, XRP entered this phase before sharp declines in 2018 and 2021.

这种NUPL水平历史上标志着重大纠正的早期阶段。例如，XRP在2018年和2021年Sharp下降之前进入了这一阶段。

If history repeats, XRP may face more downside in the short term, paving the way toward the price targets highlighted by the double top and rising wedge technical setups.

如果历史重复，XRP可能会在短期内面临更多的缺点，从而铺平了朝着双顶部和上升楔形技术设置突出显示的价格目标的道路。

The post XRP price faces a 20% fall as traders enter 'denial' phase - Is a rebound likely? appeared first on TokenPost | Crypto, Web3, NFT, Metaverse, and More.

当交易者进入“拒绝”阶段时，XRP后的价格面临20％的下跌 - 反弹可能吗？首先出现在TokenPost上|加密，Web3，NFT，Metaverse等。

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