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加密貨幣新聞文章

XRP隨著相關性下降到0.4,XRP失去了比特幣的背景

2025/05/26 05:30

經過一段持續的價格增長,XRP最近看到了看漲勢頭的放緩。

The price of XRP has seen a slowdown in bullish momentum recently, following a period of sustained price growth as the altcoin benefited from strong interest from investors, who have since begun to pull back.

XRP的價格最近在看漲的勢頭下降了,此後價格上漲了一段時間,因為Altcoin受益於投資者的強烈興趣,這些投資者從那以後開始退縮。

While the price has been in decline, some market experts believe that the strength of investor support may prevent XRP from experiencing significant losses in the near term.

儘管價格下降,但一些市場專家認為,投資者支持的實力可能會阻止XRP在短期內遭受重大損失。

XRP Loses Its Bitcoin Backing

XRP失去了比特幣的支持

The correlation between XRP and Bitcoin has decreased significantly, dropping to 0.4. This marks the lowest level since February this year.

XRP和比特幣之間的相關性顯著下降,下降到0.4。這標誌著自今年2月以來的最低水平。

As CC 链上的观点 (Shiliajav) highlighted, whenever this correlation used to weaken in the past, XRP’s price would typically see a substantial decline, falling by 22%. However, after that drop, the asset would usually recover.

正如CC鏈上的觀點(Shiliajav)強調的那樣,每當過去用於削弱這種相關性時,XRP的價格通常會大幅下降,下降22%。但是,在此下降之後,資產通常會恢復。

With Bitcoin recently reaching a new all-time high (ATH), the decreasing correlation could be viewed as a sign of less support for XRP.

隨著比特幣最近達到了新的歷史高(ATH),可以將減少的相關性視為對XRP的支持較少的跡象。

It’s common knowledge that when Bitcoin performs well, it usually pulls altcoins with it. Thus, this disconnect might spell trouble for XRP.

眾所周知,當比特幣的性能良好時,通常會加上altcoins。因此,此斷開可能會為XRP帶來麻煩。

Especially since, according to the same expert, the correlation coefficient has never been lower in 2023 than 0.4, which is "a very weak correlation."

特別是因為,根據同一位專家的說法,相關係數在2023年從未比0.4較低,這是“非常弱的相關性”。

"Whenever the correlation used to weaken significantly, we usually saw a 22% drop in the XRP price. After that, we saw the asset recover," the analyst stated.

分析師說:“每當相關用來顯著削弱的相關性時,我們通常會看到XRP價格下降了22%。此後,我們看到資產恢復了。”

This correlation might continue to decrease further in the coming weeks as Bitcoin’s price pushes to new highs and the correlation drops even lower.

隨著比特幣的價格推向新的高點,相關性下降甚至降低,這種相關性可能會繼續進一步下降。

In contrast to the weakening correlation with Bitcoin, XRP’s investor behavior shows a more stable trend, with the total supply of XRP that has remained untouched for 3-6 months steadily increasing this month.

與與比特幣的相關性相比,XRP的投資者行為表現出更穩定的趨勢,XRP的總供應在本月穩步增長了3-6個月。

This suggests that short-term holders (STH) are maturing and becoming mid-term holders, a positive sign signaling growing stability and confidence among XRP investors.

這表明,短期持有人(STH)正在成熟並成為中期持有人,這是XRP投資者的穩定性和信心的積極信號。

This is also evident in the fact that the 3-6 months supply on exchange is increasing, which occurs when STH become mid-term holders (MTH) by holding their tokens for a longer period without selling.

這一事實也很明顯,即交換的3-6個月供應正在增加,這發生在STH成為中期持有人(MTH)的情況下,通過將其代幣持有更長的時間而不會出售。

The increasing supply of dormant XRP indicates that more investors are holding onto their tokens rather than selling them. This long-term holding behavior could provide a buffer against short-term price fluctuations and help sustain the asset’s value in times of uncertainty.

休眠XRP的供應量增加表明,越來越多的投資者持有其令牌而不是出售它們。這種長期的持有行為可以為短期價格波動提供緩衝,並在不確定性時有助於維持資產的價值。

XRP Price Could Bounce Back

XRP價格可能會反彈

The digital asset is currently changing hands at $2.26, having slipped below the support level of $2.27 over the last 24 hours.

該數字資產目前以2.26美元的價格易手,在過去24小時內的支持水平低於2.27美元。

The price has been steadily decreasing for the last two weeks, largely due to the inability to break the $2.58 resistance. This suggests that upward momentum is stalling, and the price could continue to face downward pressure.

在過去的兩個星期中,價格一直在穩步下降,這主要是由於無法打破2.58美元的電阻。這表明向上的動力正在停滯不前,而且價格可能會繼續向下壓力。

If this decline continues, XRP may test the next support level at $2.12, which would mark a significant loss for investors. Further declines could increase bearish sentiment and result in more selling pressure.

如果這種下降持續下降,XRP可能會將下一個支持水平的測試為2.12美元,這將標誌著投資者的巨大損失。進一步的下降可能會增加看跌的情緒,並導致更大的銷售壓力。

However, if investor support strengthens and stabilizes the price, XRP could hold the $2.27 support level. This would allow for a potential rebound to $2.38 or even higher, invalidating the current bearish outlook.

但是,如果投資者支持增強並穩定價格,XRP可以持有2.27美元的支持水平。這將使潛在的反彈至2.38美元甚至更高,這使當前的看跌前景無效。

This support could pave the way for a new attempt to break past the $2.58 resistance and potentially push the price higher.

這種支持可能為新的嘗試超越2.58美元的電阻並可能提高價格鋪平了道路。

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