XRP随着相关性下降到0.4，XRP失去了比特币的背景

经过一段持续的价格增长，XRP最近看到了看涨势头的放缓。

The price of XRP has seen a slowdown in bullish momentum recently, following a period of sustained price growth as the altcoin benefited from strong interest from investors, who have since begun to pull back.

XRP的价格最近在看涨的势头下降了，此后价格上涨了一段时间，因为Altcoin受益于投资者的强烈兴趣，这些投资者从那以后开始退缩。

While the price has been in decline, some market experts believe that the strength of investor support may prevent XRP from experiencing significant losses in the near term.

尽管价格下降，但一些市场专家认为，投资者支持的实力可能会阻止XRP在短期内遭受重大损失。

XRP Loses Its Bitcoin Backing

XRP失去了比特币的支持

The correlation between XRP and Bitcoin has decreased significantly, dropping to 0.4. This marks the lowest level since February this year.

XRP和比特币之间的相关性显着下降，下降到0.4。这标志着自今年2月以来的最低水平。

As CC 链上的观点 (Shiliajav) highlighted, whenever this correlation used to weaken in the past, XRP’s price would typically see a substantial decline, falling by 22%. However, after that drop, the asset would usually recover.

正如CC链上的观点（Shiliajav）强调的那样，每当过去用于削弱这种相关性时，XRP的价格通常会大幅下降，下降22％。但是，在此下降之后，资产通常会恢复。

With Bitcoin recently reaching a new all-time high (ATH), the decreasing correlation could be viewed as a sign of less support for XRP.

随着比特币最近达到了新的历史高（ATH），可以将减少的相关性视为对XRP的支持较少的迹象。

It’s common knowledge that when Bitcoin performs well, it usually pulls altcoins with it. Thus, this disconnect might spell trouble for XRP.

众所周知，当比特币的性能良好时，通常会加上altcoins。因此，此断开可能会为XRP带来麻烦。

Especially since, according to the same expert, the correlation coefficient has never been lower in 2023 than 0.4, which is "a very weak correlation."

特别是因为，根据同一位专家的说法，相关系数在2023年从未比0.4较低，这是“非常弱的相关性”。

"Whenever the correlation used to weaken significantly, we usually saw a 22% drop in the XRP price. After that, we saw the asset recover," the analyst stated.

分析师说：“每当相关用来显着削弱的相关性时，我们通常会看到XRP价格下降了22％。此后，我们看到资产恢复了。”

This correlation might continue to decrease further in the coming weeks as Bitcoin’s price pushes to new highs and the correlation drops even lower.

随着比特币的价格推向新的高点，相关性下降甚至降低，这种相关性可能会继续进一步下降。

In contrast to the weakening correlation with Bitcoin, XRP’s investor behavior shows a more stable trend, with the total supply of XRP that has remained untouched for 3-6 months steadily increasing this month.

与与比特币的相关性相比，XRP的投资者行为表现出更稳定的趋势，XRP的总供应在本月稳步增长了3-6个月。

This suggests that short-term holders (STH) are maturing and becoming mid-term holders, a positive sign signaling growing stability and confidence among XRP investors.

这表明，短期持有人（STH）正在成熟并成为中期持有人，这是XRP投资者的稳定性和信心的积极信号。

This is also evident in the fact that the 3-6 months supply on exchange is increasing, which occurs when STH become mid-term holders (MTH) by holding their tokens for a longer period without selling.

这一事实也很明显，即交换的3-6个月供应正在增加，这发生在STH成为中期持有人（MTH）的情况下，通过将其代币持有更长的时间而不会出售。

The increasing supply of dormant XRP indicates that more investors are holding onto their tokens rather than selling them. This long-term holding behavior could provide a buffer against short-term price fluctuations and help sustain the asset’s value in times of uncertainty.

休眠XRP的供应量增加表明，越来越多的投资者持有其令牌而不是出售它们。这种长期的持有行为可以为短期价格波动提供缓冲，并在不确定性时有助于维持资产的价值。

XRP Price Could Bounce Back

XRP价格可能会反弹

The digital asset is currently changing hands at $2.26, having slipped below the support level of $2.27 over the last 24 hours.

该数字资产目前以2.26美元的价格易手，在过去24小时内的支持水平低于2.27美元。

The price has been steadily decreasing for the last two weeks, largely due to the inability to break the $2.58 resistance. This suggests that upward momentum is stalling, and the price could continue to face downward pressure.

在过去的两个星期中，价格一直在稳步下降，这主要是由于无法打破2.58美元的电阻。这表明向上的动力正在停滞不前，而且价格可能会继续向下压力。

If this decline continues, XRP may test the next support level at $2.12, which would mark a significant loss for investors. Further declines could increase bearish sentiment and result in more selling pressure.

如果这种下降持续下降，XRP可能会将下一个支持水平的测试为2.12美元，这将标志着投资者的巨大损失。进一步的下降可能会增加看跌的情绪，并导致更大的销售压力。

However, if investor support strengthens and stabilizes the price, XRP could hold the $2.27 support level. This would allow for a potential rebound to $2.38 or even higher, invalidating the current bearish outlook.

但是，如果投资者支持增强并稳定价格，XRP可以持有2.27美元的支持水平。这将使潜在的反弹至2.38美元甚至更高，这使当前的看跌前景无效。

This support could pave the way for a new attempt to break past the $2.58 resistance and potentially push the price higher.

这种支持可能为新的尝试超越2.58美元的电阻并可能提高价格铺平了道路。