XRP在下降趨勢線上折斷了

四個小時的二元表顯示，令牌引人入勝的$ 2.32左右，位於楔子上部邊界以北的北部。

XRP price has slipped above a descending trendline that had repelled every rally since February, yet derivatives positioning suggests the apparent breakout may still end with a shake-out, according to independent market technician CasiTrades.

根據獨立市場技術人員Casitrades的說法，自2月以來，XRP的價格已經超過了降落的趨勢線，但衍生品的定位表明，明顯的突破可能仍會因拋棄而告終。

The four-hour Binance chart shows the token gravitating around $2.32, fractionally north of the wedge’s upper boundary, but only a heartbeat away from surrendering that gain if leverage forces unwind.

四個小時的二手圖表顯示，令牌引人入勝的款項約為2.32美元，位於楔子上部邊界以北的北部，但如果槓桿力量放鬆，那隻會遠離投降。

XRP Crash Imminent?

XRP崩潰即將發生？

Casi frames the set-up in Elliott-wave terms, maintaining that the January–June advance completed a wave (1) at roughly $2.70 and then corrected to $2.02 at the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, thereby sketching wave (2) against the wedge’s base. The technician argues that the new thrust above resistance could mark the birth of wave (3), although funding dynamics cloud that bullish reading.

CASI以Elliott-Wave的方式將設置構架，並堅持認為1月至6月的預付款以大約2.70美元的價格完成了波浪（1），然後以1.236 FibonAcci擴展名更正至2.02美元，從而對楔形的基礎繪製了浪潮（2）。該技術人員認為，高於抵抗力的新推力可以標誌著波（3）的誕生，儘管資金動態云云卻看漲。

“We’re just days away from the apex of XRP’s macro consolidation and price is hovering above support, while funding quietly climbs. That’s a dangerous combo,” she wrote on X.

她在X上寫道：“我們距離XRP的宏觀整合的最高點只有幾天的路程，而價格卻徘徊在支持之上，同時資金悄悄地攀登。這是一個危險的組合。”

Eight-hour funding rates have already reached 0.01 percent. Casi insists that if they expand to 0.02 percent without a decisive price march, algorithms will hunt the liquidity pooling beneath 2.25 dollars.

八小時的資金率已經達到0.01％。 CASI堅持認為，如果他們在沒有決定性的價格三月的情況下擴大到0.02％，算法將搜尋2.25美元以下的流動性匯集。

“If we start to reach 0.02 % or higher with no move, it signals a high probability of a liquidity sweep to the downside.”

“如果我們不移動而開始達到0.02％或更高，它表明流動性掃蕩的可能性很高。”

The technician warns that such a flush would drag XRP through the reclaimed breakout level and expose $2.01, $1.90 dollars and potentially $1.55.

該技術人員警告說，這種沖洗將使XRP拖入收回的突破水平，並以$ 2.01，1.90美元的價格公開，並可能為1.55美元。

“That puts 2.01, 1.90 and even 1.55 in play if 2.25 fails. Of course, the capitulation itself would likely generate the exact momentum needed for a powerful wave 3 breakout.”

“如果2.25失敗，那就是2.01、1.90甚至1.55。當然，投降本身可能會產生強大的Wave 3突破所需的確切動量。”

The momentum backdrop remains ambivalent. The fourteen-period RSI on the same chart hovers near 62.5 yet registers lower peaks while price edges upward, hinting at a bearish divergence that often accompanies volatility spikes.

動量背景仍然是矛盾的。同一圖表上的14個週期RSI徘徊在62.5附近，但價格較低，而普萊斯則向上延伸，這暗示了看跌的差異，通常伴隨著波動性的尖峰。

Still, the break above the black trendline cannot be ignored: if sellers fail to reclaim that line swiftly, Casi’s projection of wave (3) targets $3.77 via the classic 1.618 external Fibonacci extension, with a still larger-degree objective above $4.40 dollars later this summer.

儘管如此，在黑色趨勢線上方的突破仍無法忽略：如果賣家未能迅速恢復該線路，Casi對Wave（3）的投影將通過經典的1.618外部斐波那契擴展名目標$ 3.77，而今年夏天晚些時候，較大的物業目標仍高於4.40美元。

Casi summarises the juncture bluntly: “Volatility is nearly inevitable. Whether it’s one last dip or a significant breakout, the next move is likely to define the rest of the summer.”

CASI直言不諱地總結了這個關頭：“波動幾乎是不可避免的。無論是最後一次浸入還是重大突破，下一步行動都可能定義了整個夏季的其餘部分。”

Traders therefore face a binary path. Either rising funding catalyses a liquidity sweep toward $1.55 dollars before catapulting XRP higher, or the token consolidates above $2.25 and turns the nascent breakout into a springboard toward $2.69 dollars, the barrier near $3.04 and, eventually, the 3.77-dollar wave (3) objective.

因此，交易者面對二進制路徑。在將XRP彈射到XRP之前，將資金上漲升級到1.55美元的流動性，或者代幣的合併超過2.25美元，並將新生的突破變成了2.69美元的跳板，售價為$ 3.04，最終將3.77美元的浪潮（3）目標（3）目標。

At press time, XRP traded at $2.25.

發稿時，XRP的交易價格為2.25美元。