XRP在下降趋势线上折断了

四个小时的二元表显示，令牌引人入胜的$ 2.32左右，位于楔子上部边界以北的北部。

XRP price has slipped above a descending trendline that had repelled every rally since February, yet derivatives positioning suggests the apparent breakout may still end with a shake-out, according to independent market technician CasiTrades.

根据独立市场技术人员Casitrades的说法，自2月以来，XRP的价格已经超过了降落的趋势线，但衍生品的定位表明，明显的突破可能仍会因抛弃而告终。

The four-hour Binance chart shows the token gravitating around $2.32, fractionally north of the wedge’s upper boundary, but only a heartbeat away from surrendering that gain if leverage forces unwind.

四个小时的二手图表显示，令牌引人入胜的款项约为2.32美元，位于楔子上部边界以北的北部，但如果杠杆力量放松，那只会远离投降。

XRP Crash Imminent?

XRP崩溃即将发生？

Casi frames the set-up in Elliott-wave terms, maintaining that the January–June advance completed a wave (1) at roughly $2.70 and then corrected to $2.02 at the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, thereby sketching wave (2) against the wedge’s base. The technician argues that the new thrust above resistance could mark the birth of wave (3), although funding dynamics cloud that bullish reading.

CASI以Elliott-Wave的方式将设置构架，并坚持认为1月至6月的预付款以大约2.70美元的价格完成了波浪（1），然后以1.236 FibonAcci扩展名更正至2.02美元，从而对楔形的基础绘制了浪潮（2）。该技术人员认为，高于抵抗力的新推力可以标志着波（3）的诞生，尽管资金动态云云却看涨。

“We’re just days away from the apex of XRP’s macro consolidation and price is hovering above support, while funding quietly climbs. That’s a dangerous combo,” she wrote on X.

她在X上写道：“我们距离XRP的宏观整合的最高点只有几天的路程，而价格却徘徊在支持之上，同时资金悄悄地攀登。这是一个危险的组合。”

Eight-hour funding rates have already reached 0.01 percent. Casi insists that if they expand to 0.02 percent without a decisive price march, algorithms will hunt the liquidity pooling beneath 2.25 dollars.

八小时的资金率已经达到0.01％。 CASI坚持认为，如果他们在没有决定性的价格三月的情况下扩大到0.02％，算法将搜寻2.25美元以下的流动性汇集。

“If we start to reach 0.02 % or higher with no move, it signals a high probability of a liquidity sweep to the downside.”

“如果我们不移动而开始达到0.02％或更高，它表明流动性扫荡的可能性很高。”

The technician warns that such a flush would drag XRP through the reclaimed breakout level and expose $2.01, $1.90 dollars and potentially $1.55.

该技术人员警告说，这种冲洗将使XRP拖入收回的突破水平，并以$ 2.01，1.90美元的价格公开，并可能为1.55美元。

“That puts 2.01, 1.90 and even 1.55 in play if 2.25 fails. Of course, the capitulation itself would likely generate the exact momentum needed for a powerful wave 3 breakout.”

“如果2.25失败，那就是2.01、1.90甚至1.55。当然，投降本身可能会产生强大的Wave 3突破所需的确切动量。”

The momentum backdrop remains ambivalent. The fourteen-period RSI on the same chart hovers near 62.5 yet registers lower peaks while price edges upward, hinting at a bearish divergence that often accompanies volatility spikes.

动量背景仍然是矛盾的。同一图表上的14个周期RSI徘徊在62.5附近，但价格较低，而普莱斯则向上延伸，这暗示了看跌的差异，通常伴随着波动性的尖峰。

Still, the break above the black trendline cannot be ignored: if sellers fail to reclaim that line swiftly, Casi’s projection of wave (3) targets $3.77 via the classic 1.618 external Fibonacci extension, with a still larger-degree objective above $4.40 dollars later this summer.

尽管如此，在黑色趋势线上方的突破仍无法忽略：如果卖家未能迅速恢复该线路，Casi对Wave（3）的投影将通过经典的1.618外部斐波那契扩展名目标$ 3.77，而今年夏天晚些时候，较大的物业目标仍高于4.40美元。

Casi summarises the juncture bluntly: “Volatility is nearly inevitable. Whether it’s one last dip or a significant breakout, the next move is likely to define the rest of the summer.”

CASI直言不讳地总结了这个关头：“波动几乎是不可避免的。无论是最后一次浸入还是重大突破，下一步行动都可能定义了整个夏季的其余部分。”

Traders therefore face a binary path. Either rising funding catalyses a liquidity sweep toward $1.55 dollars before catapulting XRP higher, or the token consolidates above $2.25 and turns the nascent breakout into a springboard toward $2.69 dollars, the barrier near $3.04 and, eventually, the 3.77-dollar wave (3) objective.

因此，交易者面对二进制路径。在将XRP弹射到XRP之前，将资金上涨升级到1.55美元的流动性，或者代币的合并超过2.25美元，并将新生的突破变成了2.69美元的跳板，售价为$ 3.04，最终将3.77美元的浪潮（3）目标（3）目标。

At press time, XRP traded at $2.25.

发稿时，XRP的交易价格为2.25美元。