創投家 Tim Draper 預測，由於 ETF 和減半，到 2024 年比特幣可能會成長兩倍

創投家Tim Draper 預測，受現貨交易所交易基金投資流入以及2024 年4 月比特幣減半臨近的推動，比特幣的價值到年底將大幅飆升至25 萬美元。這些因素，加上有限的供應和在人們對通貨膨脹和貨幣貶值的擔憂中，人們越來越接受比特幣作為一種支付方式，預計將增強其吸引力。

Renowned Venture Capitalist Predicts Tripling of Bitcoin Value by 2024 Amidst Influx of Exchange-Traded Funds and Looming Halving

著名創投家預測，隨著交易所交易基金湧入和減半迫在眉睫，到 2024 年，比特幣價值將成長兩倍

In an interview with Cointelegraph during Paris Blockchain Week, renowned venture capitalist Tim Draper reinforced his unwavering belief that Bitcoin (BTC) is poised for a substantial surge in value driven by a confluence of factors set to converge in 2024.

在巴黎區塊鏈週期間接受 Cointelegraph 採訪時，著名創投家 Tim Draper 強化了他堅定不移的信念，即比特幣 (BTC) 的價值將在 2024 年匯聚的一系列因素的推動下大幅飆升。

"If I were to make a prediction, it's entirely within the realm of possibility that we could witness Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by the end of this year. The market conditions are aligning quite favorably," Draper remarked, reflecting on his previous price forecast for 2022.

「如果我做出預測，我們完全有可能見證比特幣在今年年底達到 25 萬美元。市場狀況非常有利，」Draper 在回顧他之前對 2022 年的價格預測時說道。 。

The regulatory approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States has played a pivotal role in rekindling interest in Bitcoin and attracting capital inflows into its ecosystem. Draper opines that these investment vehicles have paved the way for investors who may have previously been hesitant to hold BTC directly due to concerns about self-custody. Furthermore, ETFs serve as a hedge against the devaluation of fiat currencies:

美國監管機構批准現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）對於重燃人們對比特幣的興趣並吸引資本流入其生態系統中發揮了關鍵作用。 Draper 認為，這些投資工具為那些先前可能因擔心自我託管而猶豫是否直接持有 BTC 的投資者鋪平了道路。此外，ETF 也可作為法定貨幣貶值的避險工具：

"I believe these funds provide individuals with an accessible means to acquire Bitcoin and hold it for the long term, enabling them to safeguard their financial well-being in the face of potential turmoil affecting the dollar or the euro."

“我相信這些基金為個人提供了一種獲取比特幣並長期持有比特幣的便捷方式，使他們能夠在面臨影響美元或歐元的潛在動盪時維護自己的財務狀況。”

Draper also highlighted the appeal of Bitcoin ETFs for investors seeking to maintain continuity in their portfolio management strategies. Access to Bitcoin ETFs allows them to continue entrusting their investments to established financial institutions such as Fidelity or JPMorgan, while incorporating this new asset class into their broader portfolios.

Draper 也強調了比特幣 ETF 對於尋求保持投資組合管理策略連續性的投資者的吸引力。獲得比特幣 ETF 使他們能夠繼續將投資委託給富達或摩根大通等老牌金融機構，同時將這個新資產類別納入更廣泛的投資組合中。

Draper's bullish outlook on Bitcoin is further underpinned by its finite supply and growing adoption as a legitimate payment option for various goods and services. This, coupled with the challenges confronting fiat currencies, including inflation and diminished purchasing power, is driving the masses toward Bitcoin as a haven:

德雷珀對比特幣的看好前景進一步得到了比特幣有限供應和越來越多的採用作為各種商品和服務的合法支付選擇的支撐。再加上法定貨幣面臨的挑戰，包括通貨膨脹和購買力下降，正在推動大眾將比特幣作為避風港：

"I no longer see the need to hold onto fiat currencies that steadily lose value over time due to political machinations, government spending, or arbitrary decisions by policymakers to inflate the money supply. Bitcoin has emerged as a bastion of security against these inflationary pressures.

「我不再認為有必要持有法定貨幣，因為政治陰謀、政府支出或政策制定者任意決定擴大貨幣供應量，這些貨幣會隨著時間的推移而逐漸貶值。比特幣已成為抵禦這些通膨壓力的安全堡壘。

In fact, I believe we are approaching a tipping point where individuals are becoming more comfortable with Bitcoin than with their own fiat currencies."

事實上，我相信我們正在接近一個轉折點，個人對比特幣比對自己的法定貨幣更加放心。”

The upcoming fourth Bitcoin halving, scheduled for April 20, is also poised to exert a significant impact on market dynamics. Draper emphasized the importance of this event, which reduces the issuance of new Bitcoins by half, for investors to consider:

即將於 4 月 20 日舉行的第四次比特幣減半也將對市場動態產生重大影響。 Draper 強調了這起事件的重要性，這使得新比特幣的發行量減少了一半，供投資者考慮：

"For those invested in the stock market, the adage goes, 'Don't bet against the Fed.' Similarly, for those invested in Bitcoin, the advice is, 'Don't bet against the halving.' It's a game-changer. As the supply shrinks, demand will naturally increase, leading to an upward trajectory for the price. This is fundamental economics — the interplay of supply and demand."

“對於那些投資股市的人來說，俗話說，‘不要做空美聯儲。’同樣，對於那些投資比特幣的人來說，建議是「不要押注減半」。它改變了遊戲規則。隨著供應減少，要求自然會增加，導致價格上漲。這是基本經濟學——供給和需求的相互作用。”

Draper reiterated his belief that even a modest single-digit percentage allocation to Bitcoin is becoming an increasingly attractive hedge against growing concerns over bank failures and devaluing sovereign currencies.

德雷珀重申了他的信念，即使是對比特幣的適度個位數百分比配置也正在成為越來越有吸引力的對沖手段，以應對人們對銀行倒閉和主權貨幣貶值日益增長的擔憂。

This news comes amidst concerns raised by the CEO of Trezor, a prominent cryptocurrency hardware wallet provider, regarding Coinbase's exposure to hackers and government surveillance due to its involvement in Bitcoin ETFs.

這項消息發布之際，著名加密貨幣硬體錢包提供商 Trezor 的執行長對 Coinbase 由於參與比特幣 ETF 而面臨駭客和政府監控表示擔憂。