风险投资家 Tim Draper 预测，由于 ETF 和减半，到 2024 年比特币可能会增长两倍

风险投资家 Tim Draper 预测，受现货交易所交易基金投资流入以及 2024 年 4 月比特币减半临近的推动，比特币的价值到年底将大幅飙升至 25 万美元。这些因素，加上有限的供应和在人们对通货膨胀和货币贬值的担忧中，人们越来越接受比特币作为一种支付方式，预计将增强其吸引力。

Renowned Venture Capitalist Predicts Tripling of Bitcoin Value by 2024 Amidst Influx of Exchange-Traded Funds and Looming Halving

著名风险投资家预测，随着交易所交易基金涌入和减半迫在眉睫，到 2024 年，比特币价值将增长两倍

In an interview with Cointelegraph during Paris Blockchain Week, renowned venture capitalist Tim Draper reinforced his unwavering belief that Bitcoin (BTC) is poised for a substantial surge in value driven by a confluence of factors set to converge in 2024.

在巴黎区块链周期间接受 Cointelegraph 采访时，著名风险投资家 Tim Draper 强化了他坚定不移的信念，即比特币 (BTC) 的价值将在 2024 年汇聚的一系列因素的推动下大幅飙升。

"If I were to make a prediction, it's entirely within the realm of possibility that we could witness Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by the end of this year. The market conditions are aligning quite favorably," Draper remarked, reflecting on his previous price forecast for 2022.

“如果我做出预测，我们完全有可能见证比特币在今年年底达到 25 万美元。市场状况非常有利，”Draper 在回顾他之前对 2022 年的价格预测时说道。 。

The regulatory approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States has played a pivotal role in rekindling interest in Bitcoin and attracting capital inflows into its ecosystem. Draper opines that these investment vehicles have paved the way for investors who may have previously been hesitant to hold BTC directly due to concerns about self-custody. Furthermore, ETFs serve as a hedge against the devaluation of fiat currencies:

美国监管机构批准现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）对于重燃人们对比特币的兴趣并吸引资本流入其生态系统发挥了关键作用。 Draper 认为，这些投资工具为那些此前可能因担心自我托管而犹豫是否直接持有 BTC 的投资者铺平了道路。此外，ETF 还可作为法定货币贬值的对冲工具：

"I believe these funds provide individuals with an accessible means to acquire Bitcoin and hold it for the long term, enabling them to safeguard their financial well-being in the face of potential turmoil affecting the dollar or the euro."

“我相信这些基金为个人提供了一种获取比特币并长期持有比特币的便捷方式，使他们能够在面临影响美元或欧元的潜在动荡时维护自己的财务状况。”

Draper also highlighted the appeal of Bitcoin ETFs for investors seeking to maintain continuity in their portfolio management strategies. Access to Bitcoin ETFs allows them to continue entrusting their investments to established financial institutions such as Fidelity or JPMorgan, while incorporating this new asset class into their broader portfolios.

Draper 还强调了比特币 ETF 对于寻求保持投资组合管理策略连续性的投资者的吸引力。获得比特币 ETF 使他们能够继续将投资委托给富达或摩根大通等老牌金融机构，同时将这一新资产类别纳入更广泛的投资组合中。

Draper's bullish outlook on Bitcoin is further underpinned by its finite supply and growing adoption as a legitimate payment option for various goods and services. This, coupled with the challenges confronting fiat currencies, including inflation and diminished purchasing power, is driving the masses toward Bitcoin as a haven:

德雷珀对比特币的看好前景进一步得到了比特币有限供应和越来越多的采用作为各种商品和服务的合法支付选择的支撑。再加上法定货币面临的挑战，包括通货膨胀和购买力下降，正在推动大众将比特币作为避风港：

"I no longer see the need to hold onto fiat currencies that steadily lose value over time due to political machinations, government spending, or arbitrary decisions by policymakers to inflate the money supply. Bitcoin has emerged as a bastion of security against these inflationary pressures.

“我不再认为有必要持有法定货币，因为政治阴谋、政府支出或政策制定者任意决定扩大货币供应量，这些货币会随着时间的推移而逐渐贬值。比特币已成为抵御这些通胀压力的安全堡垒。

In fact, I believe we are approaching a tipping point where individuals are becoming more comfortable with Bitcoin than with their own fiat currencies."

事实上，我相信我们正在接近一个转折点，个人对比特币比对自己的法定货币更加放心。”

The upcoming fourth Bitcoin halving, scheduled for April 20, is also poised to exert a significant impact on market dynamics. Draper emphasized the importance of this event, which reduces the issuance of new Bitcoins by half, for investors to consider:

即将于 4 月 20 日举行的第四次比特币减半也将对市场动态产生重大影响。 Draper 强调了这一事件的重要性，该事件使新比特币的发行量减少了一半，供投资者考虑：

"For those invested in the stock market, the adage goes, 'Don't bet against the Fed.' Similarly, for those invested in Bitcoin, the advice is, 'Don't bet against the halving.' It's a game-changer. As the supply shrinks, demand will naturally increase, leading to an upward trajectory for the price. This is fundamental economics — the interplay of supply and demand."

“对于那些投资股市的人来说，俗话说，‘不要做空美联储。’同样，对于那些投资比特币的人来说，建议是“不要押注减半”。它改变了游戏规则。随着供应减少，需​​求自然会增加，导致价格上涨。这是基本经济学——供给和需求的相互作用。”

Draper reiterated his belief that even a modest single-digit percentage allocation to Bitcoin is becoming an increasingly attractive hedge against growing concerns over bank failures and devaluing sovereign currencies.

德雷珀重申了他的信念，即使是对比特币的适度个位数百分比配置也正在成为越来越有吸引力的对冲工具，以应对人们对银行倒闭和主权货币贬值日益增长的担忧。

This news comes amidst concerns raised by the CEO of Trezor, a prominent cryptocurrency hardware wallet provider, regarding Coinbase's exposure to hackers and government surveillance due to its involvement in Bitcoin ETFs.

这一消息发布之际，著名加密货币硬件钱包提供商 Trezor 的首席执行官对 Coinbase 由于参与比特币 ETF 而面临黑客和政府监控的情况表示担忧。