經過多年的表現不佳，Litecoin（LTC）可能有望超過更廣泛的Altcoin市場

萊特幣（LTC）曾經被稱為“比特幣黃金的銀色”，自2018年底部以來，較寬的山寨幣市場的表現嚴重不足。

Litecoin (LTC) might be best known as the ‘silver to Bitcoin’s gold,’ and it has seen pale price gains compared to the broader altcoin market since the 2018 bottom.

Litecoin（LTC）可能是“比特幣黃金的銀牌”，與自2018年底部以來更廣泛的Altcoin市場相比，價格上漲了。

While LTC is up over 300% in the past seven years, that pales compared to Ethereum and XRP, which went up by 3,300% and 750%, respectively, in the same period.

在過去的七年中，LTC的增長超過300％，但與以太坊和XRP相比，這顯得蒼白，同一時期分別上漲了3,300％和750％。

However, a new Bloomberg Intelligence update shows Litecoin has the highest odds of gaining spot ETF approval among major altcoins—potentially reviving interest in one of crypto’s longest-standing assets.

但是，新的彭博情報更新表明，萊特幣在主要山寨幣中獲得ETF批准的機率最高，這在Crypto最長的資產之一中恢復了利益。

Litecoin Leading Altcoin ETF Race With 90% Approval Odds

Litecoin領先的Altcoin ETF競賽具有90％的批准賠率

LTC, along with the layer-1 blockchain, Solana (SOL), holds a 90% probability of securing spot ETF approval in the US by the end of 2025, according to the crypto ETF dashboard.

根據Crypto ETF儀表板的數據，LTC與1層區塊鏈SOLANA（SOL）一起持有90％的概率，以在2025年底之前在美國獲得現場ETF批准。

This edge over XRP (85%), Dogecoin (80%), Cardano (75%), and Polkadot (75%) is attributed to Litecoin’s regulatory status.

比XRP（85％），Dogecoin（80％），Cardano（75％）和Polkadot（75％）的優勢歸因於Litecoin的監管狀況。

The SEC is likely to classify it as a commodity due to a proof-of-work consensus mechanism like Bitcoin, and the CFTC already regulates its futures, simplifying the path to a spot ETF.

由於像比特幣這樣的工作證明共識機制，SEC可能將其歸類為商品，並且CFTC已經調節其期貨，從而簡化了通往現貨ETF的路徑。

Grayscale, Canary, and CoinShares have all filed applications, with the SEC set to decide by October 2, 2025.

灰度，金絲雀和股份公司都提出了申請，SEC設定在2025年10月2日之前決定。

Solana, despite sharing the same 90% approval odds, faces a more complicated process. It lacks CFTC-regulated futures and hasn’t received a clear commodity designation from the SEC.

儘管有同樣的90％的批准賠率，但Solana仍面臨更複雜的過程。它缺乏由CFTC調節的期貨，也沒有從SEC獲得明確的商品名稱。

LTC Price Key Support, Has $150 Fib Level In Sight

LTC價格鑰匙支持，有150美元的纖維水平

The LTC price chart is showing early signs of a bullish reversal after defending a critical multiyear ascending trendline support.

LTC價格圖顯示了在捍衛重要的多年升級趨勢線支持後，它顯示了看漲逆轉的早期跡象。

This latest bounce also came just above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (~$84.83), which reinforces this zone as a strong accumulation area.

最新的反彈也恰好高於0.786斐波那契回回（〜$ 84.83），該速率加強了該區域作為強大的積累區域。

If the trendline support holds, then LTC could be setting up for a move toward the 0.618 Fib level, currently near $150. This Fib zone also coincides with a previous resistance range from mid-2023. A move to this level would represent a roughly 60% gain from current price levels near $92.

如果趨勢線支持成立，那麼LTC可能會設置朝著0.618 FIB水平的轉移，目前接近150美元。該FIB區還與先前的電阻範圍相吻合，範圍為2023年中期。轉移到此水平將代表當前價格水平接近92美元的收益約60％。

The 50-week and 200-week moving averages—currently around $83 and $95, respectively—are converging, forming a long-term decision point.

為期50周和200週的移動平均值（分別為83美元和95美元）正在融合，形成了一個長期決策點。

A decisive breakout above this compression zone could fuel a larger upside push, especially if the ETF rumors and speculation begin to heat up more intensely in the third quarter.

在此壓縮區之上的決定性突破可以推動更大的上行推動，尤其是如果ETF謠言和猜測在第三季度開始更加強烈地加熱時。

The relative strength index (RSI) on the two-week chart remains neutral around the 50 level, which suggests there is still some room for price expansion without triggering overbought conditions.

兩週圖表上的相對強度指數（RSI）在50級左右保持中立，這表明仍然有一些擴大價格的空間，而不會觸發過高的條件。