经过多年的表现不佳，Litecoin（LTC）可能有望超过更广泛的Altcoin市场

莱特币（LTC）曾经被称为“比特币黄金的银色”，自2018年底部以来，较宽的山寨币市场的表现严重不足。

Litecoin (LTC) might be best known as the ‘silver to Bitcoin’s gold,’ and it has seen pale price gains compared to the broader altcoin market since the 2018 bottom.

Litecoin（LTC）可能是“比特币黄金的银牌”，与自2018年底部以来更广泛的Altcoin市场相比，价格上涨了。

While LTC is up over 300% in the past seven years, that pales compared to Ethereum and XRP, which went up by 3,300% and 750%, respectively, in the same period.

在过去的七年中，LTC的增长超过300％，但与以太坊和XRP相比，这显得苍白，同一时期分别上涨了3,300％和750％。

However, a new Bloomberg Intelligence update shows Litecoin has the highest odds of gaining spot ETF approval among major altcoins—potentially reviving interest in one of crypto’s longest-standing assets.

但是，新的彭博情报更新表明，莱特币在主要山寨币中获得ETF批准的几率最高，这在Crypto最长的资产之一中恢复了利益。

Litecoin Leading Altcoin ETF Race With 90% Approval Odds

Litecoin领先的Altcoin ETF竞赛具有90％的批准赔率

LTC, along with the layer-1 blockchain, Solana (SOL), holds a 90% probability of securing spot ETF approval in the US by the end of 2025, according to the crypto ETF dashboard.

根据Crypto ETF仪表板的数据，LTC与1层区块链SOLANA（SOL）一起持有90％的概率，以在2025年底之前在美国获得现场ETF批准。

This edge over XRP (85%), Dogecoin (80%), Cardano (75%), and Polkadot (75%) is attributed to Litecoin’s regulatory status.

比XRP（85％），Dogecoin（80％），Cardano（75％）和Polkadot（75％）的优势归因于Litecoin的监管状况。

The SEC is likely to classify it as a commodity due to a proof-of-work consensus mechanism like Bitcoin, and the CFTC already regulates its futures, simplifying the path to a spot ETF.

由于像比特币这样的工作证明共识机制，SEC可能将其归类为商品，并且CFTC已经调节其期货，从而简化了通往现货ETF的路径。

Grayscale, Canary, and CoinShares have all filed applications, with the SEC set to decide by October 2, 2025.

灰度，金丝雀和股份公司都提出了申请，SEC设定在2025年10月2日之前决定。

Solana, despite sharing the same 90% approval odds, faces a more complicated process. It lacks CFTC-regulated futures and hasn’t received a clear commodity designation from the SEC.

尽管有同样的90％的批准赔率，但Solana仍面临更复杂的过程。它缺乏由CFTC调节的期货，也没有从SEC获得明确的商品名称。

LTC Price Key Support, Has $150 Fib Level In Sight

LTC价格钥匙支持，有150美元的纤维水平

The LTC price chart is showing early signs of a bullish reversal after defending a critical multiyear ascending trendline support.

LTC价格图显示了在捍卫重要的多年升级趋势线支持后，它显示了看涨逆转的早期迹象。

This latest bounce also came just above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (~$84.83), which reinforces this zone as a strong accumulation area.

最新的反弹也恰好高于0.786斐波那契回回（〜$ 84.83），该速率加强了该区域作为强大的积累区域。

If the trendline support holds, then LTC could be setting up for a move toward the 0.618 Fib level, currently near $150. This Fib zone also coincides with a previous resistance range from mid-2023. A move to this level would represent a roughly 60% gain from current price levels near $92.

如果趋势线支持成立，那么LTC可能会设置朝着0.618 FIB水平的转移，目前接近150美元。该FIB区还与先前的电阻范围相吻合，范围为2023年中期。转移到此水平将代表当前价格水平接近92美元的收益约60％。

The 50-week and 200-week moving averages—currently around $83 and $95, respectively—are converging, forming a long-term decision point.

为期50周和200周的移动平均值（分别为83美元和95美元）正在融合，形成了一个长期决策点。

A decisive breakout above this compression zone could fuel a larger upside push, especially if the ETF rumors and speculation begin to heat up more intensely in the third quarter.

在此压缩区之上的决定性突破可以推动更大的上行推动，尤其是如果ETF谣言和猜测在第三季度开始更加强烈地加热时。

The relative strength index (RSI) on the two-week chart remains neutral around the 50 level, which suggests there is still some room for price expansion without triggering overbought conditions.

两周图表上的相对强度指数（RSI）在50级左右保持中立，这表明仍然有一些扩大价格的空间，而不会触发过高的条件。