Shiba Inu（Shib）價格預測：Memecoin的兩個月範圍內是否會突破？

流行的Memecoin目前正在交易兩個月範圍內，顯示出混合信號，因為它最近滑到了關鍵支持水平以下。

Shiba Inu (SHIB) is currently trading within a two-month range formation, showing mixed signals as it recently slipped below a key support level.

Shiba INU（SHIB）目前正在交易兩個月的構造範圍內，顯示出混合信號，因為它最近滑到了關鍵支持水平以下。

The cryptocurrency, which trades at $0.0000129, has experienced a slight dip of 0.4% from its intra-day high. Technical data suggests that bears have been gaining control in recent days.

該加密貨幣的交易價格為0.0000129美元，與日期高點相比，略有下跌0.4％。技術數據表明，最近幾天熊已經獲得了控制。

The memecoin failed to defend its mid-range support at $0.0000129, indicating that it may be more likely to fall toward range lows than push toward range highs in the short term. This breakdown follows what has been a challenging period for SHIB holders.

該紀念物未能以0.0000129美元的速度捍衛其中距離支持，這表明它可能更有可能落在射程低的情況下，而不是在短期內推向范圍高。這種崩潰遵循了希伯持有人的挑戰時期。

However, despite these bearish short-term signals, not all metrics paint a negative picture for the popular token.

但是，儘管這些看跌的短期信號，但並非所有指標都為受歡迎的令牌描繪了負面的圖片。

Exchange Net Position Change has remained negative since January, suggesting that more tokens are leaving exchanges than entering them. This pattern typically indicates reduced selling pressure and ongoing accumulation, contrasting with the high exchange inflows seen in December that marked the rally’s top.

自1月份以來，交換淨位置變化一直是負面的，這表明要離開交流的代幣要比進入交流更多。這種模式通常表明銷售壓力和持續的積累降低，與12月所看到的高交換流入形成對比，這標誌著拉力賽的頂部。

Recent funding rate data shows an increase in bearish sentiment, with rates dropping below zero.

最近的資金率數據顯示看跌情緒的增加，率降至零以下。

Simultaneously, Open Interest has fallen since April 26, presenting a mixed bag of signals. High Open Interest usually signifies strong bullish conviction, while decreasing Open Interest suggests traders are closing their positions and reducing overall market optimism.

同時，自4月26日以來，開放興趣就下降了，發出了一袋信號。高開放興趣通常表示強烈的看漲信念，同時減少開放興趣表明交易者正在關閉其立場並減少整體市場樂觀。

Long-Term Holder Growth

長期持有人的增長

On-chain analysis reveals encouraging trends for SHIB’s longer-term outlook. The number of long-term holders—those who have held SHIB for over a year—has steadily increased since mid-2022 and continues to rise into 2025, according to data from IntoTheBlock.

鏈分析揭示了SHIB長期前景的令人鼓舞的趨勢。根據Intotheblock的數據，自2022年中期以來，長期持有人的數量穩步增加，並一直穩步增加，並繼續增加到2025年。

This growth in long-term holders is particularly important as these investors typically reduce overall selling pressure, helping maintain price stability.

長期持有人的這種增長尤其重要，因為這些投資者通常會降低總體銷售壓力，從而有助於維持價格穩定。

Meanwhile, short-term traders (holding less than a month) have decreased by 36.5%, suggesting a shift away from purely speculative behavior.

同時，短期交易者（持有少於一個月）減少了36.5％，這表明從純粹的投機行為轉變。

Medium-term investors, or “cruisers” with holding periods between one and twelve months, have grown by 3.15%. This indicates more investors are adopting longer-term positions rather than seeking quick profits.

中期投資者或持有期限一到十二個月的“巡洋艦”增長了3.15％。這表明更多的投資者正在採用長期職位，而不是尋求快速利潤。

Active addresses saw a surge in early May, though activity has since decreased. While consistent high activity might indicate sustained demand, sporadic spikes often point to selling pressure. When combined with exchange outflows, the current pattern could suggest a period of accumulation.

主動地址在5月初的激增，儘管活動已經減少。儘管一致的高活動可能表明需求持續，但零星的尖峰通常表明銷售壓力。當與交換流出結合使用時，當前模式可能表明一段時間的積累。

The mean coin age has lacked a strong uptrend over the past month, unlike the January-March period when steady increases signaled network-wide accumulation. Recent dormant circulation metrics show small waves of token movement, reflecting modest selling pressure on-chain.

在過去的一個月中，平均硬幣年齡缺乏強大的上升趨勢，這與1月至3月期間穩定增加了網絡範圍內的積累。最近休眠的循環指標顯示，象徵性運動的小波，反映了鏈上銷售壓力適中。

Technical analyst Javon Marks has made headlines with a bold forecast for SHIB, predicting a potential 528% surge that would take the token to $0.000081. This projection comes after SHIB successfully retested a breakout level following its rally to a seven-month high of $0.00003329 in December 2024.

技術分析師Javon Marks對Shib的大膽預測成為頭條新聞，預測潛在的528％的速度將使代幣達到0.000081美元。這項預測是在Shib在2024年12月的七個月高點上成功地重新測試了突破水平的七個月高點。

According to Marks, the subsequent pullback to $0.0000108 was part of a normal technical structure that sets the stage for a more substantial rally. A key factor behind this bullish outlook is the hidden bullish divergence forming on SHIB’s chart, which typically signals underlying strength even when short-term indicators show weakness.

根據Marks的說法，隨後的回調到$ 0.0000108是正常技術結構的一部分，它為更實質性的集會奠定了基礎。這種看漲前景背後的關鍵因素是在Shib圖表上形成的隱藏的看漲差異，即使短期指標表現出弱點，也通常信號的強度信號。

Another factor contributing to positive sentiment is SHIB’s increasing token burn activity. Recent data from Shibburn shows a sharp rise in SHIB burns, with 2,219,043 tokens burned in 24 hours—a 278.42% increase. Over the past week, an even more impressive 313,950,965 tokens were removed from circulation, marking a 324.14% increase in the burn rate.

促成積極情緒的另一個因素是Shib的象徵性燃燒活動的增加。什本（Shibburn）的最新數據顯示，濕布燃燒急劇上升，24小時內燃燒了2,219,043個令牌，增長了278.42％。在過去的一周中，從循環中刪除了更令人印象深刻的313,950,965個令牌，標誌著燃燒率增加了324.14％。

The burn mechanism reduces SHIB’s circulating supply, which, when combined with consistent demand, can lead to upward price movement. As more tokens are burned, SHIB becomes scarcer, potentially supporting its long-term value if demand remains steady or increases.

燃燒機制減少了濕巾的循環供應，當結合一致的需求時，它會導致價格上升。隨著越來越多的令牌燃燒，濕骨變得稀缺，如果需求保持穩定或增加，則可能支持其長期價值。

The 30-day MVRV ratio has returned to negative territory, which could be an early sign that selling pressure from short-term holders is waning. This metric often provides a window for consolidation and accumulation before a new price move begins.

30天的MVRV比率已恢復為負地區，這可能是一個早期的跡象，即賣出短期持有人的壓力正在減弱。該指標通常為在新的價格移動開始之前提供了一個合併和積累的窗口。