率降低概率达到99.9％ - 这是比特币可能反应的

由于本月晚些时候，美国美联储几乎削减了一定的利率，比特币可能处于重大价格突破的边缘。

The U.S. Federal Reserve is largely expected to cut interest rates at its June 18 meeting, according to CME FedWatch data, which shows a 99.9% probability of a rate decrease. This move could be a major macro catalyst for Bitcoin, potentially pushing the BTC price toward the $130,000 mark and triggering a wider altcoin rally.

根据CME FedWatch数据，预计美国联邦储备将在6月18日的会议上降低利率，该数据显示，利率下降的可能性为99.9％。这一举动可能是比特币的主要宏催化剂，有可能将BTC的价格推向130,000美元，并触发更广泛的Altcoin Rally。

Analyst Cyclop highlights the historical behavior of the market following rate cuts, explaining that easing monetary policy has consistently injected liquidity into risk assets, including crypto. In previous cycles, such shifts in monetary policy have marked the beginning of high-cap crypto pumps and full-blown altseasons.

分析师的独角兽强调了削减速度后市场的历史行为，并解释说，宽松的货币政策一直将流动性注入风险资产，包括加密货币。在以前的周期中，货币政策的这种转变标志着高盘加密泵和全面的高季节的开始。

A chart shared by the analyst showcases Bitcoin’s price action in relation to macro liquidity flows. If the anticipated rate cut materializes, it can be expected to unleash a new leg of upside momentum in the Bitcoin price.

分析师共享的图表展示了比特币与宏流动流有关的价格行动。如果预期的税率降低，则可以预计将以比特币价格释放新的上升势头。

The projected target from the breakout point on the chart aims toward $130,000, which is also supported by the improving global liquidity backdrop.

图表上的突破点的预计目标旨在达到130,000美元，这也得到了不断提高的全球流动性背景的支持。

Bitcoin has shown a strong tendency to respond positively to increased liquidity and a more dovish stance from central banks. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin, often pushing investors to seek higher returns by rotating capital into alternative stores of value. Additionally, rate cuts tend to weaken the U.S. dollar, which can further fuel capital inflows into crypto markets.

比特币表现出强烈的趋势，即对增加的流动性和中央银行的更艰难的立场做出积极反应。较低的利率降低了持有比特币等非收益资产的机会成本，通常会促使投资者通过将资本旋转到替代价值存储中寻求更高的回报。此外，削减税率往往会削弱美元，这可以进一步加入加密货币市场。

This setup now mirrors key turning points seen in past cycles, where monetary easing triggered sustained rallies in both Bitcoin and the broader digital asset space. Should the Fed proceed as expected, the move could spark a chain reaction: a Bitcoin breakout, followed by capital rotation into major altcoins, and ultimately, a broader altseason.

现在，该设置反映了过去周期中看到的关键转折点，在该周期中，货币宽松触发了比特币和更广泛的数字资产空间的持续集会。如果美联储按预期进行，此举可能会引发连锁反应：比特币突破，然后将资本旋转到主要的Altcoins，最终是更广泛的替代赛季。

With the countdown to the Fed’s decision progressing, traders are closely monitoring this development. The next policy move from the central bank may not just impact traditional markets but could also play a crucial role in shaping the trajectory of crypto markets for the remainder of the year.

随着美联储决策进展的倒计时，交易者正在密切监视这一发展。从中央银行进行的下一个政策转移可能不仅影响传统市场，而且还可能在整个一年中塑造加密货币市场的轨迹中发挥关键作用。