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比特幣超出了10萬美元的夢想。特朗普和家人正在推出成人。埃隆·馬斯克(Elon Musk)提出了區塊鏈解決方案。一切都很好。我們是否仍然必須談論量子計算並破壞美好時光。一點現實檢查也許不會受到傷害。我們還稱其為威脅嗎?還是我們打算將其用於善良 - 進化?這是最終加強的關鍵嗎?讓我們找出答案。
Bitcoin is currently trading above the $100,000 mark, and the Trump family is launching their own memecoins. Elon Musk is also proposing blockchain solutions. But amidst all this good news, there's one topic that we can't avoid: quantum computing.
比特幣目前正在超過100,000美元的交易,而特朗普家族正在推出自己的成員。埃隆·馬斯克(Elon Musk)還提出了區塊鏈解決方案。但是,在所有這些好消息中,有一個我們無法避免的話題:量子計算。
Is it still a threat to Bitcoin, or can we use it for good? And is it the key to strengthening Bitcoin? Let's find out.
它仍然對比特幣構成威脅,還是我們可以永遠使用它?這是加強比特幣的關鍵嗎?讓我們找出答案。
If you want to reach out to 200,000+ subscriber community of the Token Dispatch, you can explore the partnership opportunities with us.
如果您想與代幣調度的200,000多個訂戶社區聯繫,則可以探索與我們的合作機會。
Advertise on Token Dispatch
在代幣派遣上做廣告
Google’s Willow Chip
Google的柳樹芯片
Back in December 2024, Google's new Willow quantum chip accomplished in five minutes what would take the world's fastest supercomputers approximately 10 septillion years. We're talking about a number with 24 zeroes, longer than the age of our universe.
早在2024年12月,Google的新柳樹量子芯片就在五分鐘內完成了大約10億年級的世界上最快的超級計算機。我們談論的是一個零24個零的數字,比宇宙年齡更長。
This sent shockwaves through the crypto community. Bitcoin dropped below $100,000, spooked traders dumped $1.6 billion in positions, and social media lit up with doomsday predictions about quantum computers cracking Bitcoin's cryptography.
這引起了加密社區的衝擊波。比特幣跌至100,000美元以下,驚嚇的交易者在職位上傾銷了16億美元,社交媒體對量子日計算機破裂比特幣的加密術的預測充滿了照明。
But while Google's breakthrough is remarkable, Willow's 105 qubits are still laughably far from the millions needed to threaten Bitcoin. It's like saying a toddler's first steps are threatening Usain Bolt's world record.
但是,儘管Google的突破是顯著的,但Willow的105量量位仍然遠離威脅比特幣所需的數百萬美元。這就像說蹣跚學步的第一步是威脅著Usain Bolt的世界紀錄。
However, the quantum threat to Bitcoin isn't merely about today's capabilities — it's about tomorrow's possibilities. And more importantly, about the $107 billion sitting in Satoshi's vulnerable old wallets.
但是,對比特幣的量子威脅不僅僅是當今的能力 - 這與明天的可能性有關。更重要的是,大約有1070億美元坐在薩托西脆弱的老錢包裡。
The implications are staggering. If quantum computing could crack Bitcoin's cryptography, we're not just talking about the potential theft of billions in digital assets. We're looking at the potential unraveling of the entire cryptographic foundation that makes Bitcoin, well, Bitcoin.
含義令人震驚。如果量子計算可能破解比特幣的密碼學,那麼我們不僅在談論數十億美元的數字資產盜竊。我們正在研究使比特幣,比特幣的整個密碼基礎的潛在拆卸。
But before we dive into the existential threats and potential solutions, we need to understand what we're really dealing with. Because the reality of quantum computing's threat to Bitcoin is both more complex and more fascinating than the headlines suggest.
但是,在我們深入研究生存威脅和潛在的解決方案之前,我們需要了解我們真正處理的問題。因為量子計算對比特幣威脅的現實既比頭條新聞更複雜,更令人著迷。
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升級到付款,以完全訪問我們的每周高級功能(Hashedin,蠕蟲,兔子洞和Mempool),以及僅訂戶的帖子。 2025年新年特別有限時間優惠 - 我們的年度訂閱折扣38%。
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要求新年優惠
We first need to grasp what makes quantum computers so fundamentally different from the machines we use today.
我們首先需要掌握是什麼使量子計算機與我們今天使用的機器根本不同。
Classical computers — the ones in your pocket and on your desk — think in bits, simple binary units that are either 0 or 1. Like a light switch that's either on or off, there's no in-between. This binary nature is why traditional computers are great at straightforward calculations but struggle with certain complex problems.
古典計算機 - 口袋和桌子上的計算機 - 用鑽頭,簡單的二進制單元為0或1。這種二進制性質是為什麼傳統計算機擅長直接計算而卻在某些複雜問題上掙扎的原因。
Quantum computers — operate on an entirely different plane of reality. They use quantum bits, or qubits, which thanks to a phenomenon called superposition, can exist in multiple states simultaneously. Imagine a coin that's not just heads or tails, but somehow both at once until you observe it.
量子計算機 - 在完全不同的現實平面上運行。他們使用量子位或量子位,這要歸功於一種稱為疊加的現象,可以同時存在於多個狀態中。想像一下硬幣不僅是頭或尾巴,而且要立即以某種方式觀察到它。
But that's not even the weird part. Qubits can also be "entangled" with each other, meaning the state of one instantly affects another, no matter how far apart they are. Einstein called this "spooky action at a distance," and it's what gives quantum computers their mind-bending potential.
但這甚至不是怪異的部分。 Qubits也可以彼此“糾纏”,這意味著一個狀態立即影響另一個狀態,無論它們的相距多遠。愛因斯坦稱這種“遠距離的怪異動作”,這就是使量子計算機具有思維彎曲潛力的原因。
This isn't just theoretical physics — it's why Google's Willow chip could perform in five minutes what would take classical computers ten septillion years.
這不僅僅是理論上的物理學,這就是為什麼Google的Willow Chip可以在五分鐘內執行的經典計算機要花費10億年的原因。
By leveraging these quantum properties, these machines can explore multiple solutions simultaneously, making them potentially devastating for cryptographic systems built on the assumption that certain mathematical problems are too time-consuming to solve.
通過利用這些量子性能,這些機器可以同時探索多個解決方案,從而使它們可能構成基於某些數學問題太耗時而無法解決的加密系統造成毀滅性。
Let's start with the fundamentals: Bitcoin's security relies on two critical cryptographic pillars — the SHA-256 hash function used in mining, and the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA) protecting your private keys. Not random choices—the result of decades of cryptographic evolution.
讓我們從基本原理開始:比特幣的安全性依賴於兩個關鍵的加密支柱 - 採礦中使用的SHA-256哈希功能,以及橢圓曲線數字簽名算法(ECDSA)保護您的私鑰。不是隨機的選擇,這是數十年的加密演化的結果。
That’s two critical vulnerabilities for Bitcoin.
這是比特幣的兩個關鍵漏洞。
First, quantum computers running Shor's algorithm could theoretically factor the large prime numbers that secure your private keys, essentially picking the most sophisticated locks we've ever created at an exponentially faster speed.
首先,從理論上講,運行Shor的算法的量子計算機可以考慮確保您的私鑰的較大質量數字,從本質上選擇了我們以指數級更快的速度創建的最複雜的鎖。
Second, Grover's algorithm could give quantum computers a massive advantage in mining, potentially centralising Bitcoin's decentralised consensus mechanism.
其次,格羅弗的算法可以使量子計算機在採礦方面具有巨大的優勢,可能會集中比特幣的分散共識機制。
The good news? The computational power needed is still astronomical.
好消息?所需的計算能力仍然是天文學的。
According to Universal Quantum's research, you'd need a quantum computer with 13 million qubits to crack a Bitcoin private key in just one day.
根據Universal Quantum的研究,您需要一台帶有1300萬噸的量子計算機在一天之內才能破解比特幣私鑰。
Google's groundbreaking Willow chip, impressive as it is, has just 105 qubits.
Google開創性的柳樹芯片令人印象深刻,只有105噸。
Buy Once, Earn Daily Bitcoin Forever
購買一次,永遠賺取比特幣
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Infinity哈希帶來了Cloud and Co的最佳方面
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