对比特币的量子计算威胁：时间和进化的悖论

比特币超出了10万美元的梦想。特朗普和家人正在推出成人。埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）提出了区块链解决方案。一切都很好。我们是否仍然必须谈论量子计算并破坏美好时光。一点现实检查也许不会受到伤害。我们还称其为威胁吗？还是我们打算将其用于善良 - 进化？这是最终加强的关键吗？让我们找出答案。

Bitcoin is currently trading above the $100,000 mark, and the Trump family is launching their own memecoins. Elon Musk is also proposing blockchain solutions. But amidst all this good news, there's one topic that we can't avoid: quantum computing.

比特币目前正在超过100,000美元的交易，而特朗普家族正在推出自己的成员。埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）还提出了区块链解决方案。但是，在所有这些好消息中，有一个我们无法避免的话题​​：量子计算。

Is it still a threat to Bitcoin, or can we use it for good? And is it the key to strengthening Bitcoin? Let's find out.

它仍然对比特币构成威胁，还是我们可以永远使用它？这是加强比特币的关键吗？让我们找出答案。

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如果您想与代币调度的200,000多个订户社区联系，则可以探索与我们的合作机会。

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Google’s Willow Chip

Google的柳树芯片

Back in December 2024, Google's new Willow quantum chip accomplished in five minutes what would take the world's fastest supercomputers approximately 10 septillion years. We're talking about a number with 24 zeroes, longer than the age of our universe.

早在2024年12月，Google的新柳树量子芯片就在五分钟内完成了大约10亿年级的世界上最快的超级计算机。我们谈论的是一个零24个零的数字，比宇宙年龄更长。

This sent shockwaves through the crypto community. Bitcoin dropped below $100,000, spooked traders dumped $1.6 billion in positions, and social media lit up with doomsday predictions about quantum computers cracking Bitcoin's cryptography.

这引起了加密社区的冲击波。比特币跌至100,000美元以下，惊吓的交易者在职位上倾销了16亿美元，社交媒体对量子日计算机破裂比特币的加密术的预测充满了照明。

But while Google's breakthrough is remarkable, Willow's 105 qubits are still laughably far from the millions needed to threaten Bitcoin. It's like saying a toddler's first steps are threatening Usain Bolt's world record.

但是，尽管Google的突破是显着的，但Willow的105量量位仍然远离威胁比特币所需的数百万美元。这就像说蹒跚学步的第一步是威胁着Usain Bolt的世界纪录。

However, the quantum threat to Bitcoin isn't merely about today's capabilities — it's about tomorrow's possibilities. And more importantly, about the $107 billion sitting in Satoshi's vulnerable old wallets.

但是，对比特币的量子威胁不仅仅是当今的能力 - 这与明天的可能性有关。更重要的是，大约有1070亿美元坐在萨托西脆弱的老钱包里。

The implications are staggering. If quantum computing could crack Bitcoin's cryptography, we're not just talking about the potential theft of billions in digital assets. We're looking at the potential unraveling of the entire cryptographic foundation that makes Bitcoin, well, Bitcoin.

含义令人震惊。如果量子计算可能破解比特币的密码学，那么我们不仅在谈论数十亿美元的数字资产盗窃。我们正在研究使比特币，比特币的整个密码基础的潜在拆卸。

But before we dive into the existential threats and potential solutions, we need to understand what we're really dealing with. Because the reality of quantum computing's threat to Bitcoin is both more complex and more fascinating than the headlines suggest.

但是，在我们深入研究生存威胁和潜在的解决方案之前，我们需要了解我们真正处理的问题。因为量子计算对比特币威胁的现实既比头条新闻更复杂，更令人着迷。

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We first need to grasp what makes quantum computers so fundamentally different from the machines we use today.

我们首先需要掌握是什么使量子计算机与我们今天使用的机器根本不同。

Classical computers — the ones in your pocket and on your desk — think in bits, simple binary units that are either 0 or 1. Like a light switch that's either on or off, there's no in-between. This binary nature is why traditional computers are great at straightforward calculations but struggle with certain complex problems.

古典计算机 - 口袋和桌子上的计算机 - 用钻头，简单的二进制单元为0或1。这种二进制性质是为什么传统计算机擅长直接计算而却在某些复杂问题上挣扎的原因。

Quantum computers — operate on an entirely different plane of reality. They use quantum bits, or qubits, which thanks to a phenomenon called superposition, can exist in multiple states simultaneously. Imagine a coin that's not just heads or tails, but somehow both at once until you observe it.

量子计算机 - 在完全不同的现实平面上运行。他们使用量子位或量子位，这要归功于一种称为叠加的现象，可以同时存在于多个状态中。想象一下硬币不仅是头或尾巴，而且要立即以某种方式观察到它。

But that's not even the weird part. Qubits can also be "entangled" with each other, meaning the state of one instantly affects another, no matter how far apart they are. Einstein called this "spooky action at a distance," and it's what gives quantum computers their mind-bending potential.

但这甚至不是怪异的部分。 Qubits也可以彼此“纠缠”，这意味着一个状态立即影响另一个状态，无论它们的相距多远。爱因斯坦称这种“远距离的怪异动作”，这就是使量子计算机具有思维弯曲潜力的原因。

This isn't just theoretical physics — it's why Google's Willow chip could perform in five minutes what would take classical computers ten septillion years.

这不仅仅是理论上的物理学，这就是为什么Google的Willow Chip可以在五分钟内执行的经典计算机要花费10亿年的原因。

By leveraging these quantum properties, these machines can explore multiple solutions simultaneously, making them potentially devastating for cryptographic systems built on the assumption that certain mathematical problems are too time-consuming to solve.

通过利用这些量子性能，这些机器可以同时探索多个解决方案，从而使它们可能构成基于某些数学问题太耗时而无法解决的加密系统造成毁灭性。

Let's start with the fundamentals: Bitcoin's security relies on two critical cryptographic pillars — the SHA-256 hash function used in mining, and the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA) protecting your private keys. Not random choices—the result of decades of cryptographic evolution.

让我们从基本原理开始：比特币的安全性依赖于两个关键的加密支柱 - 采矿中使用的SHA-256哈希功能，以及椭圆曲线数字签名算法（ECDSA）保护您的私钥。不是随机的选择，这是数十年的加密演化的结果。

That’s two critical vulnerabilities for Bitcoin.

这是比特币的两个关键漏洞。

First, quantum computers running Shor's algorithm could theoretically factor the large prime numbers that secure your private keys, essentially picking the most sophisticated locks we've ever created at an exponentially faster speed.

首先，从理论上讲，运行Shor的算法的量子计算机可以考虑确保您的私钥的较大质量数字，从本质上选择了我们以指数级更快的速度创建的最复杂的锁。

Second, Grover's algorithm could give quantum computers a massive advantage in mining, potentially centralising Bitcoin's decentralised consensus mechanism.

其次，格罗弗的算法可以使量子计算机在采矿方面具有巨大的优势，可能会集中比特币的分散共识机制。

The good news? The computational power needed is still astronomical.

好消息？所需的计算能力仍然是天文学的。

According to Universal Quantum's research, you'd need a quantum computer with 13 million qubits to crack a Bitcoin private key in just one day.

根据Universal Quantum的研究，您需要一台带有1300万吨的量子计算机在一天之内才能破解比特币私钥。

Google's groundbreaking Willow chip, impressive as it is, has just 105 qubits.

Google开创性的柳树芯片令人印象深刻，只有105吨。

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Infinity哈希带来了Cloud and Co的最佳方面