2024 年美國大選前夕，Polymarket 繼續創下歷史新高

根據 Dune Analytics 的最新數據，預測市場 Polymarket 10 月的交易量已飆升至 9 月的三倍多。

Prediction market platform Polymarket has seen a massive surge in trading activity this October, with a 3x increase compared to the previous month. According to Dune Analytics, Polymarket's trading volume reached an impressive $1.612 billion as of Oct. 26. This marks a significant increase from the $503.88 million recorded in September.

預測市場平台 Polymarket 今年 10 月的交易活動大幅激增，與上個月相比增加了 3 倍。根據 Dune Analytics 的數據，截至 10 月 26 日，Polymarket 的交易金額達到令人印象深刻的 16.12 億美元。

With just five days remaining in October, the platform's trading activity is poised to reach even greater heights. Notably, Polymarket's monthly active traders have also soared, reaching 163,140 in October, up from 80,514 in September.

十月僅剩五天，該平台的交易活動可望達到更高的高度。值得注意的是，Polymarket 的每月活躍交易者數量也激增，從 9 月的 80,514 人增加到 10 月的 163,140 人。

On Oct. 24, the platform achieved new all-time highs for both daily volume and active traders. Furthermore, open interest on the platform has also reached an all-time peak of over $287 million as of Oct. 26.

10 月 24 日，該平台日交易量和活躍交易者均創下歷史新高。此外，截至 10 月 26 日，該平台的未平倉合約也達到了超過 2.87 億美元的歷史最高水準。

Dune Analytics' data reveals that a large proportion of the trading activity on Polymarket is related to the upcoming U.S. election, with an astonishing 76% to 91% of all trading volume being driven by election-related bets. These bettors also account for a substantial 76% of weekly users on the platform.

Dune Analytics 的數據顯示，Polymarket 上的很大一部分交易活動與即將到來的美國大選有關，令人驚訝的是，所有交易量的 76% 至 91% 是由與選舉相關的押注驅動的。這些投注者也佔該平台每週使用者的 76%。

However, it's also worth noting that non-election volume on Polymarket also reached a high on Oct. 7, indicating some diversification among traders on the platform.

然而，還值得注意的是，Polymarket 的非選舉交易量也在 10 月 7 日達到了高位，這表明該平台上的交易者存在一定程度的多元化。

Polymarket's strong momentum is expected to continue in the lead-up to the election, but once Election Day passes on Nov. 5, the landscape could shift quickly. It will be fascinating to observe how this activity holds up post-election and whether prediction markets continue to garner interest as other major global events unfold.

Polymarket 的強勁勢頭預計將在選舉前持續下去，但一旦 11 月 5 日選舉日過去，情況可能會迅速改變。觀察這項活動在選舉後如何持續，以及隨著其他重大全球事件的展開，預測市場是否繼續引起人們的興趣，將會很有趣。