2024 年美国大选前夕，Polymarket 继续创下历史新高

根据 Dune Analytics 的最新数据，预测市场 Polymarket 10 月份的交易量已飙升至 9 月份的三倍多。

Prediction market platform Polymarket has seen a massive surge in trading activity this October, with a 3x increase compared to the previous month. According to Dune Analytics, Polymarket's trading volume reached an impressive $1.612 billion as of Oct. 26. This marks a significant increase from the $503.88 million recorded in September.

预测市场平台 Polymarket 今年 10 月的交易活动大幅激增，与上个月相比增长了 3 倍。根据 Dune Analytics 的数据，截至 10 月 26 日，Polymarket 的交易额达到令人印象深刻的 16.12 亿美元。这比 9 月份记录的 5.0388 亿美元大幅增长。

With just five days remaining in October, the platform's trading activity is poised to reach even greater heights. Notably, Polymarket's monthly active traders have also soared, reaching 163,140 in October, up from 80,514 in September.

十月仅剩五天，该平台的交易活动有望达到更高的高度。值得注意的是，Polymarket 的月活跃交易者数量也猛增，从 9 月份的 80,514 人增加到 10 月份的 163,140 人。

On Oct. 24, the platform achieved new all-time highs for both daily volume and active traders. Furthermore, open interest on the platform has also reached an all-time peak of over $287 million as of Oct. 26.

10 月 24 日，该平台日交易量和活跃交易者均创下历史新高。此外，截至 10 月 26 日，该平台的未平仓合约也达到了超过 2.87 亿美元的历史最高水平。

Dune Analytics' data reveals that a large proportion of the trading activity on Polymarket is related to the upcoming U.S. election, with an astonishing 76% to 91% of all trading volume being driven by election-related bets. These bettors also account for a substantial 76% of weekly users on the platform.

Dune Analytics 的数据显示，Polymarket 上的很大一部分交易活动与即将到来的美国大选有关，令人惊讶的是，所有交易量的 76% 至 91% 是由与选举相关的押注驱动的。这些投注者也占该平台每周用户的 76%。

However, it's also worth noting that non-election volume on Polymarket also reached a high on Oct. 7, indicating some diversification among traders on the platform.

然而，还值得注意的是，Polymarket 的非选举交易量也在 10 月 7 日达到了高位，这表明该平台上的交易者存在一定程度的多元化。

Polymarket's strong momentum is expected to continue in the lead-up to the election, but once Election Day passes on Nov. 5, the landscape could shift quickly. It will be fascinating to observe how this activity holds up post-election and whether prediction markets continue to garner interest as other major global events unfold.

Polymarket 的强劲势头预计将在选举前持续下去，但一旦 11 月 5 日选举日过去，情况可能会迅速发生变化。观察这一活动在选举后如何持续，以及随着其他重大全球事件的展开，预测市场是否继续引起人们的兴趣，将会很有趣。