為什麼儘管生態系統增長

波爾卡多（Polkadot）在2025年成為最先進的區塊鍊網絡之一。

Polkadot (DOT) has been a subject of discussion in 2025 as one of the most technically advanced blockchain networks. Backed by a strong developer community, the ecosystem is expanding rapidly with new parachains launching regularly and upgrades like Polkadot 2.0 on the horizon.

Polkadot（DOT）是2025年作為技術最先進的區塊鍊網絡之一的討論主題。在一個強大的開發人員社區的支持下，生態系統正在迅速擴展，新的滑輪定期推出，並像Polkadot 2.0一樣升級。

Some analysts and community members remain bullish on DOT, even predicting a return to its all-time high or a potential breakout above $50 in this cycle. However, while the technology keeps advancing, the price hasn’t followed suit yet.

一些分析師和社區成員仍然對DOT看漲，甚至可以預測在此週期中恢復其歷史最高或潛在的突破。但是，儘管該技術不斷發展，但價格尚未效仿。

This year, DOT price has struggled to gain momentum, especially as we reach the halfway point of 2025. A lot of the optimism around Polkadot is tied to its fundamentals, and the belief is that sooner or later, the price will catch up.

今年，Dot Price一直在努力獲得勢頭，尤其是當我們到達2025年的中途時。圍繞Polkadot的樂觀情緒與其基本面有關，人們相信，價格遲早會趕上。

However, the market hasn’t shown any signs of that yet. On the charts, DOT is still pressured, and it hasn’t been able to sustain any strong bullish moves. For now, that $50 target seems far off given the current trend.

但是，市場尚未顯示出任何跡象。在圖表上，DOT仍然受到壓力，並且無法維持任何強大的看漲動作。目前，考慮到當前趨勢，這個50美元的目標似乎遠遠不夠。

Polkadot Price Has Underperformed In 2025

Polkadot Price在2025年表現不佳

At the beginning of 2025, DOT price was trading at $7.80. Since then, it has dropped to around $4.02 by mid-June, marking a loss of nearly 50%. Despite brief relief rallies and attempts to break above the descending trendline, each rally has failed to sustain.

在2025年初，DOT價格的交易價格為7.80美元。從那以後，到6月中旬下降到4.02美元左右，標誌著近50％的損失。儘管短暫的救濟集會和試圖超越下降趨勢線，但每個集會都未能維持。

Early in June, DOT tried to break through the $4.20 resistance but was rejected again. This performance contrasts with the bullish sentiment seen across social platforms.

6月初，DOT試圖突破4.20美元的抵抗，但再次被拒絕。這種表演與社交平台上看到的看漲情緒形成鮮明對比。

To reach $50 from its current level, DOT would need to climb by over 1,100%. While such a move is possible in the crypto market, nothing in the current chart structure supports that outlook.

要從目前的水平達到50美元，DOT需要攀升1,100％以上。儘管在加密市場中可以採取這種行動，但當前圖表結構中沒有任何支持。

Instead, DOT price is clearly stuck in a downtrend with no breakout signals in sight.

取而代之的是，點價格顯然被陷入了下降趨勢，沒有任何突破信號。

Polkadkadot's Fundamentals Remain Strong, But Price Lags

Polkadkadot的基本面仍然很強，但價格滯後

Polkadot’s ecosystem is structured around its sharded multichain, which allows multiple blockchains to operate in parallel. The network also enables cross-chain communication and upgrades without forks. In 2025, the platform will continue expanding further.

Polkadot的生態系統是圍繞其碎片多鍵組結構的，這允許多個區塊鏈並行操作。該網絡還可以實現跨鏈通信和無叉的升級。在2025年，該平台將繼續進一步擴展。

These upgrades are aiming to decentralize decision-making and improve performance. Moreover, more than 200 projects are now building across parachains, and tools like Substrate make it easier for developers to launch new applications.

這些升級旨在分散決策並提高績效。此外，現在有200多個項目正在跨摩托車建設，諸如基板之類的工具使開發人員更容易啟動新應用程序。

However, these improvements have yet to be reflected in DOT’s market performance. Despite strong use cases and interoperability features, price has struggled to maintain any momentum.

但是，這些改進尚未反映在DOT的市場表現中。儘管使用強大的用例和互操作性功能，價格仍在努力保持任何動力。

Institutional interest remains largely focused on Bitcoin and Ethereum, and DOT has shown a low correlation to broader market rallies.

機構興趣仍然主要集中在比特幣和以太坊上，DOT與更廣泛的市場集會的相關性低。

Polkadot Bearish Price Pattern Is Still Dominating

Polkadot看跌價格模式仍在主導

On technical charts, DOT price is trading well below a long-term descending trendline, with each bounce forming lower highs. The most recent attempt to push past $4.20 was rejected, and price is now hovering near the $4.00 zone.

在技​​​​術圖表上，DOT價格遠低於長期下降趨勢線，每次反彈都形成較低的高點。最新推出4.20美元的嘗試被拒絕了，現在價格徘徊在$ 4.00的區域附近。

Support between $3.40 and $3.65 has held multiple times, but volume remains weak, and buyers appear cautious.

支撐在$ 3.40到3.65美元之間已有多次，但數量仍然很弱，買家似乎謹慎。

Chart Analysis: DOT price action shows weakness as it fails to break above the trendline despite the bullish narrative on social media. The lack of volume on test of support levels also suggests that sellers are in control for now.

圖表分析：儘管在社交媒體上敘述了看漲的敘述，但DOT價格動作表現出弱點，因為它未能超越趨勢線。缺乏支持水平測試的數量也表明賣方目前正在控制。

Technical indicators also support a bearish view. The MACD has formed a bearish crossover, and the histogram is fading. RSI is currently at 41, still in the oversold zone but unable to generate any divergence to suggest a reversal.

技術指標還支持看跌的觀點。 MACD形成了看跌的交叉，直方圖正在褪色。 RSI目前為41歲，仍處於超售區，但無法產生任何差異來暗示逆轉。

Unless DOT can close above the descending trendline with strong volume, the current trend is likely to continue. If support breaks, the price could revisit the $3.00 levels.

除非DOT可以以強大的量超過下降的趨勢線，否則當前的趨勢很可能會繼續下去。如果支持中斷，價格可能會重新審視$ 3.00的水平。

Can DOT Price Reach $50 This Year?

點價格今年可以達到50美元嗎？

To reach $50 from $4.00, Polkadot price would need to rally by over 1,100%. That type of breakout has happened in previous cycles, usually with a broad market rally and strong catalysts.

要從$ 4.00達到50美元，Polkadot的價格將需要提高1,100％以上。這種類型的突破發生在以前的周期中，通常是在廣泛的市場集會和強大的催化劑中。

At this point, neither the charts nor on-chain momentum are signaling such a move. The fundamentals are in place. The technology is improving. But the price is still lagging behind.

在這一點上，圖表和鏈動量都沒有信號。基本面已經到位。該技術正在改進。但是價格仍然落後。

Without a clear reversal in sentiment and confirmation from technical indicators, the $50 target appears unlikely for 2025. Despite the optimism surrounding ecosystem growth, the market has yet to respond.

如果沒有明顯的情緒和技術指標的確認，則50美元的目標似乎不可能2025年。儘管圍繞生態系統增長的樂觀情緒，但市場尚未做出回應。

Until that changes, DOT upside will remain limited, and the $50 mark may have to wait for another opportunity.

在此更改之前，點上升空間將保持限制，而50美元的大關可能必須等待另一個機會。