为什么尽管生态系统增长

波尔卡多（Polkadot）在2025年成为最先进的区块链网络之一。

Polkadot (DOT) has been a subject of discussion in 2025 as one of the most technically advanced blockchain networks. Backed by a strong developer community, the ecosystem is expanding rapidly with new parachains launching regularly and upgrades like Polkadot 2.0 on the horizon.

Polkadot（DOT）是2025年作为技术最先进的区块链网络之一的讨论主题。在一个强大的开发人员社区的支持下，生态系统正在迅速扩展，新的滑轮定期推出，并像Polkadot 2.0一样升级。

Some analysts and community members remain bullish on DOT, even predicting a return to its all-time high or a potential breakout above $50 in this cycle. However, while the technology keeps advancing, the price hasn’t followed suit yet.

一些分析师和社区成员仍然对DOT看涨，甚至可以预测在此周期中恢复其历史最高或潜在的突破。但是，尽管该技术不断发展，但价格尚未效仿。

This year, DOT price has struggled to gain momentum, especially as we reach the halfway point of 2025. A lot of the optimism around Polkadot is tied to its fundamentals, and the belief is that sooner or later, the price will catch up.

今年，Dot Price一直在努力获得势头，尤其是当我们到达2025年的中途时。围绕Polkadot的乐观情绪与其基本面有关，人们相信，价格迟早会赶上。

However, the market hasn’t shown any signs of that yet. On the charts, DOT is still pressured, and it hasn’t been able to sustain any strong bullish moves. For now, that $50 target seems far off given the current trend.

但是，市场尚未显示出任何迹象。在图表上，DOT仍然受到压力，并且无法维持任何强大的看涨动作。目前，考虑到当前趋势，这个50美元的目标似乎远远不够。

Polkadot Price Has Underperformed In 2025

Polkadot Price在2025年表现不佳

At the beginning of 2025, DOT price was trading at $7.80. Since then, it has dropped to around $4.02 by mid-June, marking a loss of nearly 50%. Despite brief relief rallies and attempts to break above the descending trendline, each rally has failed to sustain.

在2025年初，DOT价格的交易价格为7.80美元。从那以后，到6月中旬下降到4.02美元左右，标志着近50％的损失。尽管短暂的救济集会和试图超越下降趋势线，但每个集会都未能维持。

Early in June, DOT tried to break through the $4.20 resistance but was rejected again. This performance contrasts with the bullish sentiment seen across social platforms.

6月初，DOT试图突破4.20美元的抵抗，但再次被拒绝。这种表演与社交平台上看到的看涨情绪形成鲜明对比。

To reach $50 from its current level, DOT would need to climb by over 1,100%. While such a move is possible in the crypto market, nothing in the current chart structure supports that outlook.

要从目前的水平达到50美元，DOT需要攀升1,100％以上。尽管在加密市场中可以采取这种行动，但当前图表结构中没有任何支持。

Instead, DOT price is clearly stuck in a downtrend with no breakout signals in sight.

取而代之的是，点价格显然被陷入了下降趋势，没有任何突破信号。

Polkadkadot's Fundamentals Remain Strong, But Price Lags

Polkadkadot的基本面仍然很强，但价格滞后

Polkadot’s ecosystem is structured around its sharded multichain, which allows multiple blockchains to operate in parallel. The network also enables cross-chain communication and upgrades without forks. In 2025, the platform will continue expanding further.

Polkadot的生态系统是围绕其碎片多键组结构的，这允许多个区块链并行操作。该网络还可以实现跨链通信和无叉的升级。在2025年，该平台将继续进一步扩展。

These upgrades are aiming to decentralize decision-making and improve performance. Moreover, more than 200 projects are now building across parachains, and tools like Substrate make it easier for developers to launch new applications.

这些升级旨在分散决策并提高绩效。此外，现在有200多个项目正在跨摩托车建设，诸如基板之类的工具使开发人员更容易启动新应用程序。

However, these improvements have yet to be reflected in DOT’s market performance. Despite strong use cases and interoperability features, price has struggled to maintain any momentum.

但是，这些改进尚未反映在DOT的市场表现中。尽管使用强大的用例和互操作性功能，价格仍在努力保持任何动力。

Institutional interest remains largely focused on Bitcoin and Ethereum, and DOT has shown a low correlation to broader market rallies.

机构兴趣仍然主要集中在比特币和以太坊上，DOT与更广泛的市场集会的相关性低。

Polkadot Bearish Price Pattern Is Still Dominating

Polkadot看跌价格模式仍在主导

On technical charts, DOT price is trading well below a long-term descending trendline, with each bounce forming lower highs. The most recent attempt to push past $4.20 was rejected, and price is now hovering near the $4.00 zone.

在技​​术图表上，DOT价格远低于长期下降趋势线，每次反弹都形成较低的高点。最新推出4.20美元的尝试被拒绝了，现在价格徘徊在$ 4.00的区域附近。

Support between $3.40 and $3.65 has held multiple times, but volume remains weak, and buyers appear cautious.

支撑在$ 3.40到3.65美元之间已有多次，但数量仍然很弱，买家似乎谨慎。

Chart Analysis: DOT price action shows weakness as it fails to break above the trendline despite the bullish narrative on social media. The lack of volume on test of support levels also suggests that sellers are in control for now.

图表分析：尽管在社交媒体上叙述了看涨的叙述，但DOT价格动作表现出弱点，因为它未能超越趋势线。缺乏支持水平测试的数量也表明卖方目前正在控制。

Technical indicators also support a bearish view. The MACD has formed a bearish crossover, and the histogram is fading. RSI is currently at 41, still in the oversold zone but unable to generate any divergence to suggest a reversal.

技术指标还支持看跌的观点。 MACD形成了看跌的交叉，直方图正在褪色。 RSI目前为41岁，仍处于超售区，但无法产生任何差异来暗示逆转。

Unless DOT can close above the descending trendline with strong volume, the current trend is likely to continue. If support breaks, the price could revisit the $3.00 levels.

除非DOT可以以强大的量超过下降的趋势线，否则当前的趋势很可能会继续下去。如果支持中断，价格可能会重新审视$ 3.00的水平。

Can DOT Price Reach $50 This Year?

点价格今年可以达到50美元吗？

To reach $50 from $4.00, Polkadot price would need to rally by over 1,100%. That type of breakout has happened in previous cycles, usually with a broad market rally and strong catalysts.

要从$ 4.00达到50美元，Polkadot的价格将需要提高1,100％以上。这种类型的突破发生在以前的周期中，通常是在广泛的市场集会和强大的催化剂中。

At this point, neither the charts nor on-chain momentum are signaling such a move. The fundamentals are in place. The technology is improving. But the price is still lagging behind.

在这一点上，图表和链动量都没有信号。基本面已经到位。该技术正在改进。但是价格仍然落后。

Without a clear reversal in sentiment and confirmation from technical indicators, the $50 target appears unlikely for 2025. Despite the optimism surrounding ecosystem growth, the market has yet to respond.

如果没有明显的情绪和技术指标的确认，则50美元的目标似乎不可能2025年。尽管围绕生态系统增长的乐观情绪，但市场尚未做出回应。

Until that changes, DOT upside will remain limited, and the $50 mark may have to wait for another opportunity.

在此更改之前，点上升空间将保持限制，而50美元的大关可能必须等待另一个机会。