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Pi coin's journey has not exactly been smooth since it launched in February 2025. While the hype around Pi Network had been building for years, things didn't go as expected when the mainnet finally opened up.
Many users struggled with migrating their accounts and assets, which caused a lot of frustration and made the launch feel messy. At the same time, the Pi Core Team didn't communicate clearly or frequently, which left the community feeling ignored and the updates were quite slow. Users didn't feel like they had a good idea of where the project was going.
Another issue was the mining rewards, which reduced over time, causing some people to lose interest.
On top of that, Pi Coin is still not listed on top exchanges like Binance or Coinbase, which makes it harder for people to trade or even trust the token's long-term future.
The result? A drop in community enthusiasm and distrust. Many users who had high hopes for the project started to feel disappointed and drained by the lack of progress.
Even now, while Bitcoin has been rising for more than five weeks and many altcoins have joined the rally, Pi Coin has been lagging behind. It struggled for three weeks and only started to climb a bit last week, trading between $0.56 and $0.75. At the time of writing, the PI price is around $1.17, still below a tough resistance at $1.35, which it has failed to break through multiple times.
But Bitcoin is now getting close to $103k, after recently touching $105k. Its all-time high is around $109k, and there’s a chance it could either rise again or pull back. If Bitcoin drops below $100k, then the $90k level becomes a realistic target. It’s a strong psychological support zone and one it has visited before.
So, the big question is: If Bitcoin dips to $90k, how low could Pi Coin go?
We asked ChatGPT to explore that, and here’s what it came up, in three possible scenarios.
Worst Case: PI Crashes to $0.50 or Lower
This is the pessimistic outcome. In this case, Bitcoin falls to $90,000 and Pi Coin's own weaknesses make things even worse.
The price has already been rejected at $1.35 a few times. If Bitcoin starts dropping, people usually sell risky or illiquid assets first, and Pi Coin fits that category. Since it's not listed on big exchanges like Binance or Coinbase, there's not enough trading activity or liquidity. That makes it easier for the price to fall quickly and heavily.
If the Pi Core Team stays silent during this time, trust could break even further. People won't want to hold a token when the team behind it is not communicating or taking action to save the network.
Also, the lack of real-world use cases will make things worse. There are still no major dApps or partnerships. If that doesn't change soon, many holders may decide to give up and sell their tokens.
The mining rewards are already low, which means fewer new users are joining the network and existing ones may start to leave as they get paid less and less to continue.
All of this combines to drag the PI price down to between $0.50 and $0.65.
Middle Ground: PI Pulls Back to $0.90–$1.05
In this more realistic scenario, Bitcoin drops to $90k, but Pi Coin doesn't completely collapse.
There's no major progress on Pi's side, but there's also no new drama. The team remains quiet, but nothing worse happens than what is already known. Many loyal users decide to wait things out, hoping the project will turn things around in the long run.
There may be some profit-taking from short-term traders, but panic selling doesn't take over completely. This leads to a more controlled pullback. The $1 level becomes an important support zone, and PI price could stay between $0.90 and $1.05 during the dip.
Best Case: PI Holds Above $1.10 Despite BTC Drop
Now here’s the optimistic outcome.
Even if Bitcoin drops to $90,000, Pi Coin might hold strong, but only if something positive happens inside the project.
If Pi Coin gets listed on a major exchange like Binance, that could bring in a lot of new attention and trading volume. People would be more confident, and the token would be easier to buy and sell.
If the Pi Core Team also releases a clear roadmap, shows progress with apps, or announces partnerships, the community could get excited again. Add in some rewards for community engagement or developer updates, and you have the perfect
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