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自2025年2月推出以来,Pi Coin的旅程并没有完全顺利。虽然Pi Network的炒作已经建立了多年,但是当Mainnet终于开放时,情况并没有像预期的那样。
Pi coin's journey has not exactly been smooth since it launched in February 2025. While the hype around Pi Network had been building for years, things didn't go as expected when the mainnet finally opened up.
自2025年2月推出以来,Pi Coin的旅程并没有完全顺利。虽然PI Network的炒作已经建立了多年,但是当Mainnet终于开放时,情况并没有像预期的那样。
Many users struggled with migrating their accounts and assets, which caused a lot of frustration and made the launch feel messy. At the same time, the Pi Core Team didn't communicate clearly or frequently, which left the community feeling ignored and the updates were quite slow. Users didn't feel like they had a good idea of where the project was going.
许多用户努力迁移其帐户和资产,这引起了很多挫败感,并使发布感到凌乱。同时,PI Core团队没有清楚或频繁地沟通,这使社区感到被忽略,更新也很慢。用户觉得自己对项目的去向不太了解。
Another issue was the mining rewards, which reduced over time, causing some people to lose interest.
另一个问题是采矿奖励,随着时间的流逝减少,导致某些人失去了兴趣。
On top of that, Pi Coin is still not listed on top exchanges like Binance or Coinbase, which makes it harder for people to trade or even trust the token's long-term future.
最重要的是,PI硬币仍未在Binance或Coinbase等顶级交易所中列出,这使得人们更难交易甚至信任令牌的长期未来。
The result? A drop in community enthusiasm and distrust. Many users who had high hopes for the project started to feel disappointed and drained by the lack of progress.
结果?社区热情和不信任的下降。许多对该项目寄予厚望的用户开始因缺乏进步而感到失望和消耗。
Even now, while Bitcoin has been rising for more than five weeks and many altcoins have joined the rally, Pi Coin has been lagging behind. It struggled for three weeks and only started to climb a bit last week, trading between $0.56 and $0.75. At the time of writing, the PI price is around $1.17, still below a tough resistance at $1.35, which it has failed to break through multiple times.
即使是现在,尽管比特币已经上升了五个星期,而且许多山寨币也加入了拉力赛,但Pi Coin仍在落后。它挣扎了三个星期,上周才开始攀升,交易在0.56美元至0.75美元之间。在撰写本文时,PI价格约为1.17美元,仍然低于强度的抵抗力,为1.35美元,未能通过多次突破。
But Bitcoin is now getting close to $103k, after recently touching $105k. Its all-time high is around $109k, and there’s a chance it could either rise again or pull back. If Bitcoin drops below $100k, then the $90k level becomes a realistic target. It’s a strong psychological support zone and one it has visited before.
但是,在最近售价10.5万美元之后,比特币现在已接近103K美元。它的历史最高水平约为$ 109,000,它有可能再次上升或退缩。如果比特币降至$ 10万美元以下,则$ 90K的水平将成为现实的目标。这是一个强大的心理支持区,也是它以前曾经访问过的一个。
So, the big question is: If Bitcoin dips to $90k, how low could Pi Coin go?
因此,最大的问题是:如果比特币降至$ 90K,Pi Coin可以走多低?
We asked ChatGPT to explore that, and here’s what it came up, in three possible scenarios.
我们要求Chatgpt探索这一点,这是在三种可能的情况下出现的。
Worst Case: PI Crashes to $0.50 or Lower
最坏的情况:PI崩溃至$ 0.50或更低
This is the pessimistic outcome. In this case, Bitcoin falls to $90,000 and Pi Coin's own weaknesses make things even worse.
这是悲观的结果。在这种情况下,比特币跌至90,000美元,而Pi Coin自己的弱点使情况变得更糟。
The price has already been rejected at $1.35 a few times. If Bitcoin starts dropping, people usually sell risky or illiquid assets first, and Pi Coin fits that category. Since it's not listed on big exchanges like Binance or Coinbase, there's not enough trading activity or liquidity. That makes it easier for the price to fall quickly and heavily.
价格已经以1.35美元的价格拒绝了几次。如果比特币开始下降,人们通常首先出售风险或流动性不足的资产,而PI硬币适合该类别。由于没有在Binance或Coinbase等大型交流中列出,因此没有足够的交易活动或流动性。这使得价格更容易迅速而沉重。
If the Pi Core Team stays silent during this time, trust could break even further. People won't want to hold a token when the team behind it is not communicating or taking action to save the network.
如果PI核心团队在此期间保持沉默,那么信任就可以进一步打破。当其背后的团队不进行交流或采取行动来保存网络时,人们就不会持有令牌。
Also, the lack of real-world use cases will make things worse. There are still no major dApps or partnerships. If that doesn't change soon, many holders may decide to give up and sell their tokens.
同样,缺乏现实世界的用例会使情况变得更糟。仍然没有主要的DAPP或伙伴关系。如果这种情况没有很快改变,许多持有人可能会决定放弃并出售其令牌。
The mining rewards are already low, which means fewer new users are joining the network and existing ones may start to leave as they get paid less and less to continue.
采矿奖励已经很低,这意味着更少的新用户加入了网络,而现有的用户可能会开始离开,因为他们获得的薪水越来越少。
All of this combines to drag the PI price down to between $0.50 and $0.65.
所有这些结合在一起,将PI价格降低到0.50美元至0.65美元之间。
Middle Ground: PI Pulls Back to $0.90–$1.05
中间立场:Pi退回到$ 0.90– $ 1.05
In this more realistic scenario, Bitcoin drops to $90k, but Pi Coin doesn't completely collapse.
在这种更现实的情况下,比特币跌至$ 90K,但Pi Coin并没有完全崩溃。
There's no major progress on Pi's side, but there's also no new drama. The team remains quiet, but nothing worse happens than what is already known. Many loyal users decide to wait things out, hoping the project will turn things around in the long run.
PI的一面没有重大进展,但也没有新的戏剧。团队保持安静,但没有什么比已经知道的更糟糕的事情了。许多忠实的用户决定等待问题,希望该项目从长远来看会扭转局面。
There may be some profit-taking from short-term traders, but panic selling doesn't take over completely. This leads to a more controlled pullback. The $1 level becomes an important support zone, and PI price could stay between $0.90 and $1.05 during the dip.
短期交易者可能会有一些盈利,但恐慌销售并没有完全接管。这会导致更具控制的回调。 1美元的水平成为一个重要的支撑区,而PI价格在下跌期间的价格可能保持在0.90至1.05美元之间。
Best Case: PI Holds Above $1.10 Despite BTC Drop
最佳案例:尽管BTC下降,PI仍持有以上$ 1.10
Now here’s the optimistic outcome.
现在这是乐观的结果。
Even if Bitcoin drops to $90,000, Pi Coin might hold strong, but only if something positive happens inside the project.
即使比特币降至90,000美元,Pi硬币也可能会保持强劲,但是只有在项目内部发生了积极的事情。
If Pi Coin gets listed on a major exchange like Binance, that could bring in a lot of new attention and trading volume. People would be more confident, and the token would be easier to buy and sell.
如果Pi Coin被列入像Binance这样的主要交易所,那可能会引起许多新的关注和交易量。人们会更加自信,而代币则更容易买卖。
If the Pi Core Team also releases a clear roadmap, shows progress with apps, or announces partnerships, the community could get excited again. Add in some rewards for community engagement or developer updates, and you have the perfect
如果PI Core团队还发布了清晰的路线图,显示应用程序的进展或宣布合作伙伴关系,则社区可能会再次感到兴奋。加上一些奖励以供社区参与或开发人员更新,您拥有完美的
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