選擇權交易員推動比特幣飆升至 10 萬美元目標

選擇權交易者正在大力投資比特幣將達到 10 萬美元的預測，其中 12 月和 3 月到期的看漲期權尤其受歡迎。做市商 Wintermute 將這種樂觀情緒歸因於比特幣能夠維持在 6 萬美元以上，交易員下了價值 63 億美元的看漲押注，將於 4 月到期。

Options Traders Fuel Optimism for Bitcoin's Surge to $100,000

選擇交易者對比特幣飆升至 10 萬美元感到樂觀

Market analysts at the crypto market maker Wintermute have conducted a comprehensive analysis of options data, revealing a surge in bullish bets on Bitcoin (BTC). These options, known as call options, will only pay off if Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $100,000 by September.

加密貨幣做市商 Wintermute 的市場分析師對選擇權數據進行了全面分析，顯示比特幣 (BTC) 的看漲押注激增。這些選擇權（稱為買權）只有在 9 月比特幣達到或超過 10 萬美元時才會獲得回報。

According to Wintermute's findings, the surge in call options activity is driven by several factors. One key catalyst is the perceived ability of Bitcoin to maintain its price above $60,000, which has led to a decline in short-selling activity.

根據 Wintermute 的調查結果，看漲期權活動的激增是由多個因素推動的。一個關鍵的催化劑是人們認為比特幣有能力將其價格維持在 6 萬美元以上，這導致賣空活動減少。

"The fact that Bitcoin has been able to hold steady at or above $60,000 is a positive sign that is encouraging bullish sentiment," said Jake Ostrovskis, an over-the-counter trader at Wintermute.

Wintermute 場外交易員傑克·奧斯特洛夫斯基斯 (Jake Ostrovskis) 表示：“比特幣能夠穩定在 60,000 美元或以上，這是一個積極的信號，鼓勵看漲情緒。”

Another contributing factor to the optimism is the launch of Runes, a Bitcoin token protocol that simplifies the interaction with Bitcoin-native tokens, including memecoins. Bartosz Lipiński, CEO of the crypto exchange Cube, views Runes as a potential catalyst for a price surge.

樂觀情緒的另一個促成因素是 Runes 的推出，這是一種比特幣代幣協議，可簡化與比特幣原生代幣（包括模因幣）的交互。加密貨幣交易所 Cube 的執行長 Bartosz Lipiński 將符文視為價格飆升的潛在催化劑。

"How much Bitcoin bulls can drive up the price is anyone's guess, but I believe that Runes has the potential to be a major factor," said Lipiński. "Early indications are promising."

「比特幣多頭能推高價格多少，誰也說不準，但我相信符文有潛力成為一個主要因素，」利平斯基說。 “早期跡像是有希望的。”

The analysis by Wintermute also highlights the significant activity in bullish options contracts expiring in December and March 2023. These contracts represent approximately $6.3 billion worth of Bitcoin, with over two-thirds being bullish.

Wintermute 的分析也強調了將於 12 月和 2023 年 3 月到期的看漲期權合約的重要活動。

Traders have also allocated an additional $3.3 billion in bullish bets for options expiring on June 28, which will pay off if Bitcoin reaches $75,000. This further underscores the widespread optimism among traders.

交易員還為 6 月 28 日到期的選擇權額外分配了 33 億美元的看漲押注，如果比特幣達到 75,000 美元，這將獲得回報。這進一步凸顯了交易員普遍的樂觀情緒。

Amidst concerns about macroeconomic factors and a post-halving sell-off, Lipiński believes that buyers are returning to the market. He observed a "good amount of demand" during recent price dips, with traders purchasing $1.2 billion worth of Bitcoin.

在對宏觀經濟因素和減半後拋售的擔憂中，利平斯基認為買家正在重返市場。他觀察到，在最近的價格下跌期間，“需求量很大”，交易員購買了價值 12 億美元的比特幣。

"Bargain hunters are capitalizing on lower prices to accumulate satoshis," said Lipiński.

「抄底者正在利用較低的價格來累積比特幣，」利平斯基說。

Ostrovskis confirms this trend, noting "significant spot buying across the board" through over-the-counter desks.

奧斯特洛夫斯基斯證實了這一趨勢，並指出透過場外交易「全面大量現貨購買」。

While the overall Bitcoin market has experienced a slight decline in the last 24 hours, trading at $64,710, the options data suggests a strong undercurrent of optimism among traders. The surge in bullish bets indicates a belief that Bitcoin is well-positioned for a significant price rally in the coming months.

儘管整個比特幣市場在過去 24 小時內略有下跌，交易價格為 64,710 美元，但選擇權數據表明交易者中存在強烈的樂觀情緒。看漲押注的激增表明人們相信比特幣處於有利位置，可以在未來幾個月內大幅上漲。