期权交易员推动比特币飙升至 100,000 美元目标

期权交易者正在大力投资比特币将达到 10 万美元的预测，其中 12 月和 3 月到期的看涨期权尤其受欢迎。做市商 Wintermute 将这种乐观情绪归因于比特币能够保持在 60,000 美元以上，交易员下了价值 63 亿美元的看涨押注，将于 4 月份到期。

Options Traders Fuel Optimism for Bitcoin's Surge to $100,000

期权交易者对比特币飙升至 100,000 美元感到乐观

Market analysts at the crypto market maker Wintermute have conducted a comprehensive analysis of options data, revealing a surge in bullish bets on Bitcoin (BTC). These options, known as call options, will only pay off if Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $100,000 by September.

加密货币做市商 Wintermute 的市场分析师对期权数据进行了全面分析，显示比特币 (BTC) 的看涨押注激增。这些期权（称为看涨期权）只有在 9 月份比特币达到或超过 10 万美元时才会获得回报。

According to Wintermute's findings, the surge in call options activity is driven by several factors. One key catalyst is the perceived ability of Bitcoin to maintain its price above $60,000, which has led to a decline in short-selling activity.

根据 Wintermute 的调查结果，看涨期权活动的激增是由多个因素推动的。一个关键的催化剂是人们认为比特币有能力将其价格维持在 60,000 美元以上，这导致卖空活动减少。

"The fact that Bitcoin has been able to hold steady at or above $60,000 is a positive sign that is encouraging bullish sentiment," said Jake Ostrovskis, an over-the-counter trader at Wintermute.

Wintermute 场外交易员杰克·奥斯特洛夫斯基斯 (Jake Ostrovskis) 表示：“比特币能够稳定在 60,000 美元或以上，这是一个积极的信号，鼓励看涨情绪。”

Another contributing factor to the optimism is the launch of Runes, a Bitcoin token protocol that simplifies the interaction with Bitcoin-native tokens, including memecoins. Bartosz Lipiński, CEO of the crypto exchange Cube, views Runes as a potential catalyst for a price surge.

乐观情绪的另一个促成因素是 Runes 的推出，这是一种比特币代币协议，可简化与比特币原生代币（包括模因币）的交互。加密货币交易所 Cube 的首席执行官 Bartosz Lipiński 将符文视为价格飙升的潜在催化剂。

"How much Bitcoin bulls can drive up the price is anyone's guess, but I believe that Runes has the potential to be a major factor," said Lipiński. "Early indications are promising."

“比特币多头能推高价格多少，谁也说不准，但我相信符文有潜力成为一个主要因素，”利平斯基说。 “早期迹象是有希望的。”

The analysis by Wintermute also highlights the significant activity in bullish options contracts expiring in December and March 2023. These contracts represent approximately $6.3 billion worth of Bitcoin, with over two-thirds being bullish.

Wintermute 的分析还强调了将于 12 月和 2023 年 3 月到期的看涨期权合约的重要活动。这些合约代表了价值约 63 亿美元的比特币，其中超过三分之二是看涨期权。

Traders have also allocated an additional $3.3 billion in bullish bets for options expiring on June 28, which will pay off if Bitcoin reaches $75,000. This further underscores the widespread optimism among traders.

交易员还为 6 月 28 日到期的期权额外分配了 33 亿美元的看涨押注，如果比特币达到 75,000 美元，这将获得回报。这进一步凸显了交易员普遍的乐观情绪。

Amidst concerns about macroeconomic factors and a post-halving sell-off, Lipiński believes that buyers are returning to the market. He observed a "good amount of demand" during recent price dips, with traders purchasing $1.2 billion worth of Bitcoin.

在对宏观经济因素和减半后抛售的担忧中，利平斯基认为买家正在重返市场。他观察到，在最近的价格下跌期间，“需求量很大”，交易员购买了价值 12 亿美元的比特币。

"Bargain hunters are capitalizing on lower prices to accumulate satoshis," said Lipiński.

“抄底者正在利用较低的价格来积累比特币，”利平斯基说。

Ostrovskis confirms this trend, noting "significant spot buying across the board" through over-the-counter desks.

奥斯特洛夫斯基斯证实了这一趋势，并指出通过场外交易“全面大量现货购买”。

While the overall Bitcoin market has experienced a slight decline in the last 24 hours, trading at $64,710, the options data suggests a strong undercurrent of optimism among traders. The surge in bullish bets indicates a belief that Bitcoin is well-positioned for a significant price rally in the coming months.

尽管整个比特币市场在过去 24 小时内略有下跌，交易价格为 64,710 美元，但期权数据表明交易者中存在强烈的乐观情绪。看涨押注的激增表明人们相信比特币处于有利位置，可以在未来几个月内大幅上涨。